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85,000 fans doesn’t equal a plan

NFL must still figure out how to globalize the game. Robert Boland

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The reports of a full, vocal and excited house for New England’s blowout of Tampa Bay in London’s Wembley Stadium on Sunday should be greeted with some gratification because the NFL has finally done something to export the game abroad and found success. After playing preseason games around the world, launching the World League of American Football (later renamed NFL Europe and finally renamed NFL Europa, just to give it a bit more continental flair to hide the fact it had shrunk to being a league of five teams based in Germany and one in Amsterdam), the NFL has finally hit on something which has achieved enough initial interest to keep doing.

Roger GoodellAPThere's a lot of work to be done if Roger Goodell and the NFL truly want to internationalize the game and the league.

Two years of playing real games in London has demonstrated that there’s an audience for American football abroad, even if the games are still not much more than a novelty. But the stakes are high for the NFL, a league that is very late to the game of internationalization.

Why does it matter? Well, for one thing, we live in a shrinking and flattening world. While Tom Friedman may have told us about it, not even he can tell us how that shrinking and flattening is going to turn out. It could be that a sport like ice hockey, mired in fourth place in the United States, might have new future in a world where seven or eight nations play it at a competitive level (U.S., Canada, Russia, Finland, Sweden, Czech Republic, Germany, Slovakia). Or the simplest sport -- think running -- with a global star like Usain Bolt might have a second chance.

The point is that no one knows what the future holds, but the signs seem to indicate that in a world of converging culture and sport, it won’t be enough to simply be America’s best-loved sport and economic colossus. So the NFL can’t just wait and hope. In his Sunday at the Post column, Michael Lombardi gave us an extremely appropriate Winston Churchill quote that perfectly sums up the NFL’s challenge to be competitive in the future on the global stage: The NFL must “depend on its brains for survival, on skilled minds that are at least proportionate” to those found in soccer and basketball. Translating the NFL to cultures where it’s not rooted is tremendously difficult. It loses something when removed from the weeklong buildup, cheerleaders, tailgating and office pools. It lacks the numbers of participants or the simplicity of other sports. So it must depend on skilled minds to translate and position it for survival on a global stage.

In a period where domestic revenues figure to be off and the cost of creating new fans and new consumers of licensed products is high, exporting the game to new money may help carry it through tough times. Yet the success of two regular-season games in London does not equate to a strategy for long-term success, and the NFL needs just that to make the sport much more than a vanity abroad.

Randy MossAPRandy Moss and the Pats put on a successful show for the London fans at Wembley Stadium.

The NFP’s Andrew Brandt strongly detailed all the competitive issues that make taking regular-season games abroad difficult. Eventually, the novelty will wear off and games need to go places other than London. But the NFL can’t be deterred. It needs to plot a course and stick to it, even though it will face adversity in globalizing the game. Major League Soccer Commissioner Don Garber spoke recently at NYU about merely keeping his league in business long enough to take root and have demographic changes carry soccer to the first tier of American sports. Garber talked about a 50-year-long view, and that’s exactly the kind of patience the NFL must have abroad if it’s to be relevant globally in a flat world. It can’t have 50 different starts and stops.

A stadium filled with 85,000 fans is a great start. Now a plan must be developed, and the proportionate NFL brainpower must ensure its survival. What would that plan look like? It might include a 17-game schedule expressly for playing in uniquely global places. It might include a global Super Bowl. Before scoffing, just consider that with ticket packages starting at about $5,000 a person, the pricing has already made this a once-in-a-lifetime luxury or a corporate expense, so it doesn’t particularly matter if it’s played in Wembley or Land Shark Stadium. The chance to go to London or Rome might just get more people to go rather than fewer.

But to really internationalize the sport, any plan must include coaching and equipment support for American football clubs playing outside the U.S. Actually, the NFL would do well to do a little more of that here at home, too. Finally, it must include a partnership to get foreign-born players to the U.S. for college. It’s too late to “discover” a player in his early 20s and hope he can measure up to NFL standards, but if foreign players came earlier and an American college scholarship (something still highly valued around the world) was the carrot, the future of the game on a global scale would look better and better.

Comments

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Ivan
Oct 27, 2009
11:17 AM

NFL is an American sport and doesn't stand a chance even in a million years anywhere outside the US. The rest of the world worships the beautiful game, the other, real football, and it has a century and half old tradition of doing so.
American football is perfect for the short attention span of Americnas, w/ stop-start pattern, and 1 hour of actual play w/ 3 hours of TV ads.

Mr.Murder
Oct 27, 2009
12:51 PM

Developmental leagues may actually key new market development for the sport. That's where some of Europe's most competitive fans are being raised. Semipro and developmental teams are sowing the seeds of football's feature, eurosports style.

Eric Green
Oct 27, 2009
01:18 PM

Ummm, ok Ivan. Then why are you reading the Post, if soccer is so much better. Actually, the NFL may be to complex and intellectual of a game for those outside the U.S.:)

I find it funny that Garber talks about a fifty year plan. In about fifty years at current population trends, the U.S. will have a huge latin population that may even be in the majority. So, I am guessing he is not so concerned about converting the current population, but waiting for the arrival of another.


One thing I would argue with you is the need to expand overseas and globally. The NFL could easily alienate their current fan base.

Robert Boland
Oct 27, 2009
02:25 PM

Eric, I am not suggesting expanding overseas or alienating domestic fans, which could happen. I am merely stating the league needs a plan to deal with globalization and position itself better in a converging world. They have been playing at it for 20 plus years. And instead of 20 years of development to show, they have 20 different, one year strategies which have failed or just been abandoned.

noel
Oct 27, 2009
05:38 PM

The Canadian football league can't even get canadian kids to play the sport and they've been around how long. The NFL will NEVER be international ! Why? ,well lets start with the obvious its a bastardized version of soccer and rugby, try forcing baseball down INDIA's throat its not going to happen. Football has been forced on us thru highschool and college culture. A kid never had interest in the sport but figures out, joining the football team ,its the easy way to get laid. This isnt going to happen in other countries. The NBA has made strides because its not a ripoff of another more international sport. The NBA also is in the Olimpics which helps alot ,but is not an option for a steriod sport. The NFL should spend money on keeping the culture of HS football alive by subsizing the sport before more HS drop the sport due to money and low #'s of players.

realclue
Oct 27, 2009
08:57 PM

Here is the problem. NOBODY plays American football in other countries. Sure, a few do but much less than play Ultimate Frisbee here. They don't get the rules and they (wrongly) think that it is a sport for sissies because Rugby doesn't require equipment. Oh yeah, about that... equipment. You think you can find shoulder pads at the local sports store in Rome? How about a field? Basketball spread around the world (it is now a distant second to soccer) for the simple reason that it is easy to play basketball and the rules are easy to understand. Not bc Stern is some smart guy. That is American football's problem. NOBODY plays!

Julian
Oct 28, 2009
02:03 PM

I agree with Mr. Boland on the idea of attracting internarional athletes for playing american football in college. This will increase the chances of international players in the NFL and will give a rooting interest in another countries. I am a South American fan, from Colombia, and the sport news only talk about American football when the SuperBowl is played. To prove my point, at least they used to show some highlights when former kicker Fuad Reveiz was playing...

Anyway, it's going to be hard for the NFL to grow on the rest of the world. In my city, there is a small minority who really understands the game (even following the Draft closely, me included) and the vastly majority only appeciates the "show" aspect...But, even for a guy who is really interested for the NFL like me, there is no way that I would skip a soccer game to watch your football guys.


Julian
Oct 28, 2009
02:04 PM

I agree with Mr. Boland on the idea of attracting internarional athletes for playing american football in college. This will increase the chances of international players in the NFL and will give a rooting interest in another countries. I am a South American fan, from Colombia, and the sport news only talk about American football when the SuperBowl is played. To prove my point, at least they used to show some highlights when former kicker Fuad Reveiz was playing...

Anyway, it's going to be hard for the NFL to grow on the rest of the world. In my city, there is a small minority who really understands the game (even following the Draft closely, me included) and the vastly majority only appeciates the "show" aspect...But, even for a guy who is really interested for the NFL like me, there is no way that I would skip a soccer game to watch your football guys.


gwiese
Oct 29, 2009
03:18 PM

an interesting discussion here - so here our my thoughts: (for reference I am an American living last 10 years in Denmark and an avid NFL fan of several teams. I just got back from the London game).
1) One doesn't need to play the game (or have played as a youth) to like watching a sport.

2) A country does not need a history of cheerleaders or its high schools playing the game to follow the sport. Denmark is a good example of this as it has a growing and active NFL fan base.

3) It DOES help to have a connection to the game and in Denmarks case it was the kicker Morten Andersen.

4) The country DOES need constant, consistant and timely long-term exposure to the game. Think about a new TV show premiering in the fall. It will have little chance of building a following if - say after 3 shows its time gets moved to a different slot , then misses a week or 2 before resuming, etc. NFL needs to license the viewing of the game to a national station for at least a 2-3 year period for a very cheap rate. Once the game catches on it, can increase the fees gradually. Which is exactly what happened in Denmark as it started out on a free minor sports channel for several years before switching to a major channel after the popularity increased. The games are shown live -real time - WITH LOCAL DANISH broadcasters.

5) NFL should subsidize prizes during the show (quiz time) during the commercial breaks (footballs, jerseys, etc).

The sport can grow internationally, it does not need a majority following but only a small but loyal fan base. With so many tv channels with a lack of good prime time programming - this should not present a problem if the staions licensed to carry the game are well chosen.

It has worked in the UK as well as Denmark. It has a following in Germany which could be exponentially increased as Germans don't follow rubgy like the British do. With a regular season game in Berlin (one in London and one in Berlin for 2 games total each year OR just have one per year like now but alternate between London and Berlin).

NFL webpages in some major foreign languages in the markets they are trying to grow. Not hard to do and wont cost much money for NFL to sponsor.

That the super bowl is covered by so many different countries - (and the growth of fans in UK and Denmark) shows the viability of growing the NFL fanbase abroad. But as Boland stated, it needs a plan with some smarts (with international business experience) behind it.

The NFL is actually growing abroad - believe it or not. But the pace needs to be excelerated before the novelty wears off.

gwiese
Oct 29, 2009
03:19 PM

an interesting discussion here - so here our my thoughts: (for reference I am an American living last 10 years in Denmark and an avid NFL fan of several teams. I just got back from the London game).
1) One doesn't need to play the game (or have played as a youth) to like watching a sport.

2) A country does not need a history of cheerleaders or its high schools playing the game to follow the sport. Denmark is a good example of this as it has a growing and active NFL fan base.

3) It DOES help to have a connection to the game and in Denmarks case it was the kicker Morten Andersen.

4) The country DOES need constant, consistant and timely long-term exposure to the game. Think about a new TV show premiering in the fall. It will have little chance of building a following if - say after 3 shows its time gets moved to a different slot , then misses a week or 2 before resuming, etc. NFL needs to license the viewing of the game to a national station for at least a 2-3 year period for a very cheap rate. Once the game catches on it, can increase the fees gradually. Which is exactly what happened in Denmark as it started out on a free minor sports channel for several years before switching to a major channel after the popularity increased. The games are shown live -real time - WITH LOCAL DANISH broadcasters.

5) NFL should subsidize prizes during the show (quiz time) during the commercial breaks (footballs, jerseys, etc).

The sport can grow internationally, it does not need a majority following but only a small but loyal fan base. With so many tv channels with a lack of good prime time programming - this should not present a problem if the staions licensed to carry the game are well chosen.

It has worked in the UK as well as Denmark. It has a following in Germany which could be exponentially increased as Germans don't follow rubgy like the British do. With a regular season game in Berlin (one in London and one in Berlin for 2 games total each year OR just have one per year like now but alternate between London and Berlin).

NFL webpages in some major foreign languages in the markets they are trying to grow. Not hard to do and wont cost much money for NFL to sponsor.

That the super bowl is covered by so many different countries - (and the growth of fans in UK and Denmark) shows the viability of growing the NFL fanbase abroad. But as Boland stated, it needs a plan with some smarts (with international business experience) behind it.

The NFL is actually growing abroad - believe it or not. But the pace needs to be excelerated before the novelty wears off.

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