First, a shout-out to a longtime friend who just became the all-time leading receiver in Green Bay Packers history. Donald Driver arrived in Green Bay in 1999 -- the same time I did -- as a seventh-round pick in 1999 with little chance of making the team. Even as a receiver buried on the depth chart, Driver was special. While bigger and stronger receivers would get banged up and broken down, he endured and outlasted them all, from Antonio Freeman to Billy Schroeder to Corey Bradford to Terry Glenn to Javon Walker and more. He would constantly tell me that he would break this record, and I would politely smile. He did. I’ll have more on this unique player later in the week. Kudos to Donald....
APThe Bucs landed a second-round pick for Gaines Adams.
The NFL trading deadline has spurred a deal, with the Bucs sending Gaines Adams to the Bears for a second-round pick in 2010. Although the deadline usually creates a lot of smoke and very little fire, this trade involves many interesting factors that worked toward a significant result for both teams. Let’s take a look:
The haves and have-nots
The NFL -- in response to those clamoring to put some pizazz into the element of trades -- has always resisted moving the deadline to later in the season. The rationale has been to avoid the pattern in Major League Baseball, where teams that are out of playoff contention can trade front-line players to contending teams for the stretch run, usually receiving prospects in return. The feeling in the NFL was to not allow teams to “play for next year.”
That theory, however, is betrayed by what’s happened early this season. More so than any time in recent memory, there appear to be a handful of teams with no chance of contending for playoff spots, even at this early stage of the season. One of those teams is the winless Bucs, who traded the fourth overall pick in the 2007 NFL Draft for a player to be named later (in April 2010).
The Bears certainly hope to be playing into the postseason. They forfeited their top pick in the 2010 draft for quarterback Jay Cutler and now their second-round pick for Adams (they’ll have another day of leisure on the first day of the draft). In a change of philosophy from the formerly draft-is-king mode of Bears general manager Jerry Angelo, the future is now for the Bears.
The player
Adams, the fourth pick in the 2007 draft, is not a Pro Bowl defensive end, but he had solid production for the Bucs. With 38 tackles in each of the 2007 and 2008 seasons and 12½ sacks, Adams was certainly a productive player.
With Pro Bowl defensive ends receiving contracts averaging over $10 million a year with more than $30 million guaranteed, this is certainly a premium position. Adams is not at that level, not yet, but it’s instructive to show how much teams will pay for that position. Even continuing the level of performance Adams has had so far in his career, he would be in line for an impressive payday in the next couple of years. That time, however, can wait, with almost four years left on his contract.
APBears DE Mark Anderson will have a new line mate in Adams.
The players affected
Two defensive ends currently playing for the Bears are in the last year of their contracts, an obvious consideration in the Bears’ acquisition of Adams.
Adewale Ogunleye will be an unrestricted free agent when his contract expires after this season. He’s 32 but currently leads the Bears in sacks with four. With age and cost a potential concern, the Bears can judge Adams’ progress as a factor in how they approach Ogunleye.
Mark Anderson is also in the last year of his contract. Unlike Ogunleye, however, his status is unclear. As we presently stand, without a new Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA) or a salary cap in 2010, Anderson will be a restricted free agent whose rights are controlled by the Bears. If a new CBA is negotiated with the same guidelines we’ve had in the NFL, he would be an unrestricted free agent. So the Bears are also able to wait and see on Anderson while evaluating Adams.
The contract
Adams is in the third year of one of these rookie contracts at the top of the draft that draw so much attention as financial anomalies that need to be addressed in the next CBA. The Bucs have already paid him $16 million in the following payments:
Signing bonus: $13M
2007 roster bonus: $2.1M
2007 salary: $285,000
2008 salary: $370,000
2009 salary: $265,000
APBears DE Adewale Ogunleye will be an unrestricted free agent at the end of the year.
Adams will be paid the balance of his 2009 salary ($635,000) by the Bears this year. They also assume the remaining salaries of $1.08M in 2010, $1.1M in 2011, and $1.15M in 2012. The salaries for this year, 2010 and 2011 are guaranteed for injury only. These are extremely reasonable numbers for even a mediocre defensive end.
Adams has a large number of incentives and escalators in the contract, mostly involving sack production starting at 8½ sacks and making the Pro Bowl, maxing out at $13.4M. He has earned none so far and will certainly not earn any this year, with the chances in coming years very slim.
Comparing value and future cost
From a value standpoint, giving up a second-round draft choice is a truly valuable asset to give up, and personnel people can debate the value of Adams against a 2010 second-round pick. The financial terms, however, skew toward Chicago, which acquired an extremely reasonable contract -- the bulk of the money having been paid by the Bucs -- for a prime position on the team and hedging against paying their existing defensive ends a high market value.
The Bears will need their money. If Jay Cutler progresses as expected, they’re looking at rewarding him with an APY (average per year) of $15M and a guarantee over $30M, based on recent deals by Matt Cassel, Philip Rivers and Eli Manning.
As for the Bucs, a low second-round pick will cost them approximately $1.5M in guaranteed money next year. Adding in next year’s rookie minimum salary -- $325,000 -- their $1.825M commitment in 2010 to the player acquired for Adams is about equal to the amount saved in trading Adams, his $1.08M salary plus the $635,000 in salary that they’re not paying Adams this year, for a total of $1.715M. Thus, on a cash flow basis, trading Adams for a 2010 second-rounder cost the Bucs a little over $100,000 in short-term cash.
The bigger issue, of course, is the $16M already paid to Adams.
APThe Bears are better positioning themselves to pay Jay Cutler big bucks.
The trade illustrates the truth about top rookie contracts: Unless escalators are kicking in later in the contract, the bulk of compensation of these deals is paid in the first two years, leaving the later years as very reasonable prices for players early in their careers and potentially years away from free agency. If Adams is a player for the Bears, he may be one the best values in the NFL in the next couple of years since the bulk of his pay came from Tampa Bay.
The cap hit
The Bears simply added $635,000 to their 2009 cap and took on future injury guarantees in 2010 and 2011.
The Bucs, in trading a player with huge acceleration in the contract, have used this trade to eat up a large chunk of their considerable cap room. With a $13M signing bonus, the Bucs now will have over $11M in a cap charge on Adams -- between salary paid, present proration and future acceleration -- on their 2009 cap. Without an ability to roll cap room over from 2009 to 2010 due to the expiration of the cap, teams either use their cap room or lose it. The Bucs are now using a good majority of their 2009 available cap room for a player now playing for the Bears.
Trades in Major League Baseball have come to the NFL. A team out of contention, the Bucs, has sold a once-prime asset to a contender, the Bears, for a prospect (second-round pick). And like baseball, the trading team has taken on most of the financial burden for the player, making the deal even more attractive for the acquiring team. Early trade deadline or not, the sell-off trade has occurred in football.
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A Steinbrenner plan in Tampa? Who could imagine it?
I found this analysis to be very interesting. I guess I am left with the question of why in the world would the Bucs make this trade? Have they just decided that this player does not fit their system? He seems to offer good value for what they would be paying him, going forward, and they will be lucky to get a player this good with a relatively low second round pick. I thought the Bears overpaid for Cutler, but unless I am missing something, they got a bargain here.
Andrew,
This contract is exactly the problem with the draft pay-outs in the top 10 - not just for the owners, but also the players. I read in a prior article here at the NFP that up to 75% of players go broke shortly after their career's end. How do we expect a guy like Adams to turn out when he gets so much money up frint?
I'm not opposed to the amount of guaranteed money given to the rookies, just the way the pay-outs are distributed. Instead of giving 22 yr old, fresh out of college $15M right away and then expecting them to not to change, why not put that money in a trust account and given out 20% a year for 5 years? It's still quaranteed money. Once you have $15m in the bank, you start to live like someone with that much money in the bank. And then you wake up to yrs 2-6 of the contract and realize you only make about $1m a year. And we wonder why players are always looking to re-negotiate their contracts with multiple years left.
meateater,
You are missing something. Mr Brandt obviously has not actually watched that much Buc football for the past three seasons. The Bucs were able to pick up a second for a guy who isn't much better than many free agents available at any given time. I have seen Gaines' 13 1/2 career sacks as each one happened. Many of them were garbage sacks, and often against sub-par OT's. He has NEVER taken control in a game, even for a few plays. He is often a liability on the field.
I certainly wish Rod and Lovie the best of luck with him, but the Bucs got the better of this deal (assuming they don't blow the pick, which is not a given), regardless of what a "bargain" Adams remaining contract is.
feel,
Thanks for the explanation. I recall the Bucs coach calling him out earlier for lackluster play. Basically, they just gave up on him then. I guess it's easier to wash your hands of a draft msitake when the people who picked him are gone.
Wow, that is some atrocious wig my friend. Truly scary.
When I read figures that rookies get it is eye-opening. But the fact that within 5years of NFL play, 75% per cent of the players are broke is astounding. Even in todays market, lol.
Adams is a high character guy, could have a huge upside, big bang for the bucks.
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Oct 19, 2009
12:38 PM
Great stuff-would this be something the new CBA would focus on? The Bucs have given Gaines Adams the majority of his contract money (in regards to signing bonus and other first year incentives) and got some production for him; however, the Bears will probably get a more talented Adams (after he matures into a player on the D-Line, and naturally gains more experience) than the player he was in Tampa Bay. Would a new CBA mandate that the Bears have to split his signing bonus, or at least off-set the costs the Bucs have endured, so that a team would be willing to make this trade feasible in both the player/prospect arena as well as the financial implications associated with this trade? There doesn't seem to be a deterrent in place to avoid something like this from happening. I can only see something like this exacerbating the trade landscape if the owners elect to have future un-capped seasons...