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Breaking down Jennings' deal

Plus, Dolphins add more celebrity Andrew Brandt

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Inside the Jennings' deal

The contract that Greg Jennings completed with the Packers last week is an interesting study of the dynamics of negotiations and valuations of contracts in ways that include more than simple dollars and cents. As an admitted fan and friend of Greg, I strongly believe he deserves the money he received, and I give kudos to the Packers and agent Eugene Parker for ensuring that the two core players of their offense – Jennings and quarterback Aaron Rodgers – are now locked up through 2012. Looking closer at the deal brings out some attention-grabbing numbers.

Greg JenningsAPGreg Jennings

As to the total deal, it can range from $26-30 million for four years. For discussion purposes, let’s say the deal is worth $28M, an average of roughly $7M per year, putting Greg’s average per year near to the top tier of wide receivers, a group that includes Larry Fitzgerald and Randy Moss at $10M per year and Lee Evans, Calvin Johnson, Andre Johnson and Roy Williams below them. That, however, is too simplistic a way to look at the contract.

Jennings had one year remaining on his rookie contract, which would have paid him $535,000. Thus, his “new money” in the deal will pay him $27.5M over three years, giving him a “new money” average of over $9M, inching him closer to the top.

The other complicating factor in looking at this deal is that – as we sit here today without a salary cap for next year – Jennings would have become a restricted free agent next year.  Assuming the Packers would have placed a first-round tender on him (the tender was $2.2M this year) combined with the $535,000 he would have made this year, they would have Jennings’ rights for 2009 and 2010 for approximately $3M. This would make the “new money” in Jennings’ deal $25M over two years, an average of $12.5M, putting him at the very top of the receiver market.

Will there be a new Collective Bargaining Agreement next year, meaning the value of this contract is more in the three-year “new money” category rather than the two-year look? Time will tell, but the uncertainty of the labor future in the league shows the tricky nature of valuing contracts at this point in time.AP

Larry FitzgeraldAPLarry Fitzgerald

The other fascinating factor about the Jennings deal, as well as the Fitzgerald deal last year, both done by Eugene Parker, is the length. Jennings, who is 25, will have another bite at the free-agency apple (and the leverage associated with that) in four years, still at the tender age of 29. For a blue-chip player like Fitzgerald or Jennings to have two opportunities for free-agent riches following their rookie contracts is as important as anything else. Parker is someone who truly understands the concept of value in NFL contracts (even though I would not let him get away with a short deal when we worked on Jason Peters’ contract in April). Listening to Greg’s appreciation for Eugene after the deal indicated that he understood the value as well. …

Dolphins add more ownership

The new owner of the Miami Dolphins, Stephen Ross, appears to be trying to leverage the use of celebrity in marketing his product. First, he partnered with singer – and entrepreneur – Jimmy Buffett in a short-term naming-rights opportunity for Land Shark Lager as the name for the stadium. Although the inventory for Land Shark does not include the Pro Bowl and the Super Bowl, both of which will be played at that facility this season, it did and does include concerts and appearances by Buffett in bringing more awareness to the team from casual fans.

Gloria and Emilio Estefan APGloria and Emilio Estefan

Continuing that theme, Ross has brought on Emilio and Gloria Estefan as minority owners of the franchise. It’s not know what role, if any, the Estefans will have beyond a small piece of ownership, but they’re another step in the building of brand awareness for a franchise on the upswing after a magical season a year ago. …

And in the “Master of the Obvious” headline of the week:

“Cowboys are charging fans for tours of new stadium.”

Uh, ya think?

Of course they are. They’re not going to let fans into their new $1.15-billion edifice and its sanctums, including the locker room and field, for free.

In Green Bay, my office looked out on the gathering area for tours, which were always full this time of year. Admission in Green Bay is $11 for adults and $8 for children.  Cowboys Stadium charges $15 for adults and $12 for children. 

At Lambeau Field, these tours sold out regularly; the Packers could certainly charge more. At Dallas, I would suspect it’s the same, at least for the short-term honeymoon of the new building. Having said this, we must remember that these are two of the most recognizable brands in football. They are not typical. 

Comments

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Joseph Garrett
Jun 29, 2009
12:33 PM

I guess you have to be a Cowboy fan to have interest in touring their new stadium.

Otherwise, it would seem boring.

Lambeau Field, at least, is venerable -- a hallowed arena with ghosts and heroes aplenty.

BUT nothing has happened at Cowboys Park except for a few construction people throwing hamburger wrappers from the rafters.

Tim Evans
Jun 29, 2009
12:43 PM

Andrew - what are your thoughts on Driver's situation ... does he deserve more $$$. Do you think with the type of deal that Jennings got will make Driver seek a new deal? I doubt it will be a public thing, but I'm sure he'd like some extra coin, considering he has been 1,000+ yard receiver for the past 5 consecutive years.

Do you think Ted Thompson will do anything with Aaron Kampman's deal during the season or will this be something that has to wait until the offseason because of the new 3-4?

CW
Jun 29, 2009
12:51 PM

I posted this a few days back, but the comments section was down and it went up late. But to any Packers fans out there....

Is there a reason why Greg Jennings got his contract extension, but Javon Walker didn’t get one, after his Pro Bowl season in 2004? (89 passes / 1,382 yards / 12 touchdowns)?

Tim Evans
Jun 29, 2009
01:39 PM

CW - good question ... here's what I remember from the summer of 2005:

(1) That offseason was Ted Thompson's first year @ GM and I don't think he wanted to set precedent with giving in to player's demands.
(2) Javon Walker was drafted by Mike Sherman, so I don't think there was the bond between GM and Player that sometimes happens when a GM selects a player as "his guy" (probably similar to why there was no turning back on getting the Aaron Rodgers era started
(3) Greg Jennings never once complained publicly about his deal, with threats, hold outs, etc.

... those are my thoughts.

Jamie
Jun 29, 2009
01:50 PM

CW - Jennings was in the final year of his rookie contract and Walker had two years remaining on his rookie contract.

And though I don't recall Walker being a head-case prior to threatening to hold out or retire if not traded, I do know that Greg Jennings is a model citizen and then some for the Packers. Jennings is a great player and an even better person.

Kevin
Jun 29, 2009
01:54 PM

Walker also only had one good year when he DEMANDED a new contract. Jennings has a few years of demonstrated success at a high level.

Jamie
Jun 29, 2009
02:00 PM

CW (and indirectly Tim) - The biggest difference is that Jennings was in the final year of his rookie contract and Walker had two years remaining on his rookie contract. Thompson did not want to set a precedent of being forced to re-negotiate prior to a player's final contract year.

And though I don't recall Walker being a head-case prior to threatening to hold out or retire if not traded, I do know that Greg Jennings is a model citizen and then some for the Packers. From what I've seen and heard, Jennings is a great player and an even better person.

dan
Jun 29, 2009
02:15 PM

Can I post a comment yet?

Scott M.
Jun 29, 2009
02:49 PM

CW - the main difference between the two is that in the case of Jennings, unless the CBA does go away completely, he'd be a restricted FA after this season and there really isn't a tender that could protect a player at that level. The same likely could've been said about Walker when he did his holdout except he was still two years away from his contract being up. There was no danger of "losing" Walker to FA, with Jennings, it would've been a real possibility if they didn't get the deal done.

Po'ed Citizen
Jun 29, 2009
02:53 PM

The difference between Javon " my mommy says I need more money for my house " Walker and Jennings was that Greg produced right out of the gate. He was able to play all three positions and he blew away Walkers numbers his first year. It took Walker a few years to have that one good season. Jennings is and will be a model citizen and you know he will continue to bring it without all the mental defecation. If all goes well and he stays healthy he's going to get paid again.

Marko
Jun 29, 2009
05:22 PM

Thanks for the insights, Andrew.

Rogue 420
Jun 30, 2009
02:46 AM

Great perspective on the Jennings deal. I thought it was a mistake for Thompson to wait this long to get the deal done with Jennings. He gave Rodgers his money after only a few games in his first season as a starter. Jennings has progressed every year and is in the upper tier of wide outs. As for Walker, he was a one hit wonder and a diva. Nuff said. I really think Kampman's not getting a deal until the Packers see how he performs in the new defense.

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