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Diner morning news: 49ers need a passing fix

No guarantees Crabtree will help improve team’s weakness. Michael Lombardi

Bookmark and Share Print This Send This October 21, 2009, 10:29 AM EST
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QUOTE: “Reading furnishes the mind only with materials of knowledge; it is thinking makes what we read ours.” -- John Locke, “Of the Conduct of the Understanding” (1706)

Michael Crabtree’s fast education

Michael CrabtreeAPHow productive will Michael Crabtree be in San Fran's offense?

The 49ers have decided the time is now for Michael Crabtree to get in a game and help their anemic passing game. Matt Bowen did a great job breaking this down earlier today. Coming off a week in which nine teams collected over 400 yards of offense, the 49ers have yet to pass for more than 200 yards in any game this season. That will have to change if they’re going to win the NFC West. The Niners must find a way to make plays down the field in the passing game. Yards per attempt is the key stat, not how many yards you run for each week. I know I tend to harp on this statistic about the passing game, but for me it’s a clear indication of a team’s ability to win. Take a look:

RANK      TEAM             YARDS PER      WON/LOSS

23.           BUFFALO              5.1                  2-4
24.           DETROIT               5.0                  1-5
25.           ST LOUIS               5.0                  0-6
26.           TENNESSEE          5.0                  0-6
27            SAN FRAN             5.0                  3-2
28.           TAMPA BAY          4.9                   0-6
29.           CAROLINA             4.9                  2-4
30.           KANSAS CITY        4.6                  1-5
31.           OAKLAND              4.5                  2-4
32.           CLEVELAND          4.1                  1-5

One thing we know about these teams is that they’re struggling to get consistent play from their quarterbacks. The other number that jumps out is that the 49ers are the only team with a winning record in the group. The real question then becomes: How long can they keep winning without making plays down the field?

Can Crabtree offer some solution to the 49ers’ passing game Sunday in Houston in what figures to be an entertaining game? The Texans have been on a mini-roll of late in terms of their run defense (contrary to popular belief, Matt “I Love Me Some Texans” Bowen did not go to Houston to meet with the coaching staff so he could go over his eight-man-front fits). They have not allowed 50 yards rushing in any of their past three games, so they might be able to play the 49ers’ run game well. And if they do that, it will cripple San Francisco’s offense.

Shaun HillAPShaun Hill doesn't exactly possess the best ability to throw the deep ball.

Being one-dimensional is not good in any facet of life, but it’s really bad for a football team, especially as the season moves from autumn to winter. The 49ers’ opponents have seen them on tape, and their personnel has been broken down as it relates to the scheme they’re running. So getting Crabtree now will add a new wrinkle to the offense. Whether that wrinkle is real or not, defenses will have to defend Crabtree until they learn more about his skill level. No team is worried that Shaun Hill’s passing is going to beat them; the key to beating the 49ers is forcing them to throw, taking away their run game. Now, with Crabtree, the defense will have to pay the passing game some respect, at least early on.

As I write this today from the NFL Films offices before shooting “Inside the NFL” for Showtime, I’m reminded of a conversation I had a few weeks ago with Phil Simms about quarterbacks. We were talking about making big plays in the passing game and the only way that teams will respect the long ball is based on the quarterback, not the wideouts. His belief, which I agree with completely, is that no matter how talented the wide receivers, it’s the quarterback’s ability to throw accurately down the field that’s the key to a successful passing game. Hill is 4 of 22 for 144 yards when he throws the ball more than 20 yards. He has one long pass for 50 and another for 39. So if you’re the Texans, are you going to worry about Crabtree being in the game?

Starting Crabtree is not going to change the fortunes of the 49ers’ passing game unless he can take a five-yard pass and turn it into a big play. As long as Hill is starting at quarterback, the 49ers must win the game playing their style — which is with physical toughness on defense and avoiding mistakes on offense. The formula worked well early in the season, but now, as they face a team that can move the ball on anyone, this game will require them to open up their passing game. On paper, having Crabtree looks like it might help, but on the field, I’m not confident he can cure what ails the passing game.

Random thoughts…

Jay CutlerAPJay Cutler's deal with the Bears is a win-win for both parties.

The Jay Cutler extension with the Bears is a win for both sides. The Bears took the money that would have essentially gone to their first-round picks this year and next and shifted it to Cutler’s account. Teams have to give up high picks for players who need an extension or they won’t have the money to pay their draft picks. I’d rather give the money to Cutler than any rookie….

I’m with Steve Smith of the Panthers in the sense that the team’s offensive coaches must find a way to use him each week. He has to touch the ball at least 10 times a game. He’s too talented and too vital to the offense to have only one catch, as he did Sunday against Tampa Bay. Offensive coordinator Jeff Davidson must be a tad more creative and enhance Smith’s role….

All this talk about the Chargers being a talented team is really just talk — especially on defense. When you break down who’s playing in their front seven, you realize they are just not a very good defense. They’ve missed with too many picks, and clearly, their top players are not playing very well….

New England has a bye after playing the Bucs in London, but after the week off, the Patriots meet Miami, Indy, the Jets, New Orleans and Miami again. That’s a very tough road ahead of them.

Follow me on Twitter: michaelombardi

Comments

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Dan
Oct 21, 2009
11:07 AM

San Fransisco knew they had QB issues at the end of last season. I have yet to understand why they didn't make a move for a variety of folks who were on the market. An average NFL QB gets them into the playoffs.

Eric Green
Oct 21, 2009
11:11 AM

I am glad that you mentioned SD. I was curious if you thought it was a lack of talent or coaching. A lot of people were high on SD this year even though they weren't great last year.

Mr.Murder
Oct 21, 2009
11:19 AM

San Diego is punch drunk from their first game of the season. Their physicality was taken away.

LL Live from Blue Hole
Oct 21, 2009
12:14 PM

Dude, I thought you were rooted and raised in the SF way...Joe Montana was not a mad bomber...the whole premise of the wco is to use short passes as runs, turn the short receptions into explosive plays...Jerry Rice would turn a 5 yard slant into a 65 yard TD...Crabby is the real deal, stupid ass business decisions aside...if Hill can be accurate under 20, Crabby will take care of the rest...he will also make the other recievers mo betta..."it's a numbers game Johnny!"

Mr.Murder
Oct 21, 2009
12:49 PM

Gore being injured removes the play pass threat as well.

latopia
Oct 21, 2009
12:54 PM

According to the latest rankings from Football Outsiders, San Francisco fields the 2nd WORST oline in the league -- 31st run, 31st pass-protect -- and you're blaming Hill for lack of time or accuracy to find an otherwise undistinguished receiving corps downfield?

Geez. And who did you "blame" for 9/11?


n.b Too much Maiocco, Killion, Kawakami, Poole, Purdy, Barrows, Sando, ESPN, other media outsiders without a clue et al. will rot your brain.

I highly recommend John Crumpacker, Dan Brown, Gwen Knapp, Nancy Gay or actual DVRs of the season to date for healthier, fat-free synapses on the realities of Niner football.

latopia
Oct 21, 2009
01:33 PM

Current oline rankings at FO -> www.bit.ly/fo_ol

dan
Oct 21, 2009
01:56 PM

Randy Moss made Culpepper and even an 80-year-old Randall Cunningham look like pro-bowlers.

Brad James
Oct 21, 2009
02:04 PM

I think 49ers-Texans is one of the more intriguing games of the week. It will be interesting to see what kind of an impact Crabtree can really have on the San Francisco offense. As for the Chargers, the team doesn't play hard and while there's talent, it's gone to waste for years. San Diego has traditionally underachieved. I mean, with Dan Fouts, Charlie Joiner, Kellen WInslow, etc., did they EVER win a championship? Oddly enough, Stan Humphries is the only Bolt quarterback to ever lead the team to a Super Bowl appearance, and what Charger fan would take Humphries over Fouts in his heyday or Rivers today? No, my Broncos are much hungrier and ready to win the AFC West going away and become consistent contenders. The Patriots do have a murderer's row ahead of them. Do not sleep on the Dolphins, that could easily be New Orleans' most difficult game of the season, although in watching the Saints-Giants game on NFL Replay, the Dolphins' only hope is to control the clock, much like they did against Indianapolis.

GC in DC
Oct 21, 2009
04:02 PM

The Patriots always seem to get better as the season progresses. That stretch after the bye should be an interesting test. I'll bet Belichick spends the whole flight back from London scheming for Manning, Henne and Sanchez. Watching Brady and Brees in the same game will be a real treat.

Mr.Murder
Oct 21, 2009
04:07 PM

One of the best matchups this week is Sean Smith vs. Drew Brees and the bevy of Saints receivers. The rookie corner has been impressive, he has huge game, and Brees loves to challenge defenders, but still plays the numbers in his favor..

Bet anyone that Will Allen gets thrown at more.

The Gritz Blitz
Oct 21, 2009
04:57 PM

Good grief . All Shaun Hill does is rack up W's . Shaun Hill has moxie . The Falcons are a better team & they didn't have Frank Gore . They should have beaten the Vikings . If the woeful Texans defense knocks the 49ers around like the Falcons then we can start to worry . If anything strikes me about the 49ers tossing game its that they basically seem to pass when it would be expected . This Jimmy Raye guy strikes me as quite vanilla . The opposite of the old OC Mike Martz .

Carson
Oct 21, 2009
05:05 PM

The 49er's will definitely have their hands full in Houston on Sunday. They should be able to stop the Texans' run game, but who other than the Jets can stop that passing game. Now that Kris Jenkins is out for the year I don't know how much success even the Jets would have against that offense.

So, the 49er's better be able to run, run, run. If Gore goes off they should be able to control the clock and win the game.

If not, then Houston will move to 4-3.

Cecil
Oct 21, 2009
08:36 PM

"This Jimmy Raye guy strikes me as quite vanilla ."

I'm shocked that you, as a fan of NFL football, aren't familiar with Raye's ouevre. He's the most painfully outdated coordinator in the league, and has been so for nearly twenty years.

Honestly, was he even in football before Singletary hired him? One of my best friends is a Chiefs fan and still wakes up in cold sweats thinking about Raye's play-calling.

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