QUOTE: “The secret of being a bore is to tell everything.” -- Voltaire
Week 8 in the NFL. We enter my favorite month of the football season -- November, when every game carries some form of playoff significance. November football is different than football at any other time of the season because every game impacts another, and even a meaningless game has importance because of the playoff qualifiers.
APSteve Spagnuolo and the Rams seek their first victory of the season Sunday in Detroit.
So which teams are really competing for the playoffs and which teams are working for next year? And by working for next year, I don’t mean that it’s necessarily a bad thing – there’s much to gain from learning how to prepare to win. It fits into the theme of going from good to great; there have to be gradual steps. The bottom half of the teams in the NFL must show their fan base and the rest of the league that they have a plan and are making progress toward fulfilling that plan. Playing hard in November makes everyone stand up and take notice.
Wednesday, on “Inside the NFL” on Showtime, we had a segment called “Bulldoze or Band-Aid,” asking which teams need to start over and which ones need minor repairs. These teams will have an impact on the playoffs because if they beat a team that’s contending, it will crush them, and their strength of schedule will factor into the equation.
This morning, I thought I would continue that theme and examine the six bottom-dwelling clubs.
St. Louis: Steve Spagnuolo knows he’s facing a long rebuilding process, and watching him work on the sideline last Sunday showed he has not lost his enthusiasm for his team. He’s not blaming the players for the mess in St. Louis. He knows it’s not their fault -- they just lack talent. No need to blame the players as long as they’re trying to compete. The last three high picks -- Adam Carriker (injured reserve), Chris Long and Jason Smith -- have not made significant contributions, so this rebuilding project is going to take a long time. It will start with a quarterback in the 2010 draft, and hopefully, Spagnuolo has learned the Giants’ player procurement plan. He will need to model this team after the Giants’ way. The Rams are a long way from being competitive, whether the franchise is sold this year or next. They might only win when they play a bottom half team, but never when they play a top one.
APTodd Haley and the Chiefs have a steep hill to climb.
Kansas City: The bulldozer has been out already, and clearly the Chiefs’ plan is to acquire draft picks and completely redo the team. Team owner Clark Hunt has given general manager Scott Pioli the keys to the store to run the team, and he must hope the events of the past six months have not done anything to make him feel delusional about that decision. There are many unhappy people in Kansas City, on and off the field, and I’m not convinced that the changes in K.C. are over. Someone I respect greatly in the league told me that the Chiefs are actually easier to play this year than they were last year. Ouch. I bet Clark Hunt wouldn’t want to hear that.
Tampa Bay: The Glazer family made the decision to fire Jon “Love You Bro” Gruden because they wanted to build their team with a young quarterback that the fan base could identify with. Everyone in the league knows this team would not be winless if Gruden was coaching it. It’s not a winless team in terms of talent, especially on offense, but it lacks the defensive players to run the current scheme. The Bucs hired a very young coach, who clearly is learning on the job — and still has a lot to learn. They need to put a band-aid on some of the problems, but their lack of universal experience in the building and their committee concepts of running a team make me believe that, in their present state, they will not be able to identify the right problems to fix.
APWill Vince Young get his chance to start again?
Tennessee: I have great respect for Jeff Fisher as a coach, but his team is caught in a very difficult spot. Its older players are not playing as well as they did before, and its younger players are not consistent enough. The Titans obviously need to decide what to do with quarterback Vince Young, and not playing him is not going to help them make that decision. If I were Fisher, I would let Young play and show the world what you know — even if you keep losing games. Once they get the quarterback fixed, this team is a Band-Aid away from being able to compete.
Detroit: The Lions need to keep improving their talent base, and drafting a quarterback who appears to be a very good player has started the massive rebuilding process. They’re ahead of the Rams only because they admitted they needed a quarterback, while the Rams kept burying their heads in the sand. This week, the two teams play each other, so we might be able to determine which one is actually farther along.
Cleveland: I’m going to make this prediction right here and now: This time next year, the Browns will not be any better, and owner Randy Lerner will finally realize what everyone I talk to in the NFL seems to know now — that he’s given control of his team to the wrong man. Take all the time you need to reach this decision, but you will eventually come to the same conclusion.
Washington: They are an added bonus this morning because I read that GM Vinny Cerrato has said he gave coach Jim Zorn a playoff-caliber team. Which makes me think of a William F. Buckley Jr. quote: “I won’t insult your intelligence by suggesting that you really believe what you just said to be true.” But I would insult Vinny — he’s out of touch with reality.
What are your thoughts?
Follow me on Twitter: michaelombardi
Hey Mike,
Once the Mangenius era is over in Cleveland, maybe Lerner can hire Charlie Weis who will soon be available... That way, they can have a trifecta of ex-Belichick assistants who can't run their own programs....
In August, I would not have said this, but I'm glad to be a Bronco's fan. McD and Cerrato both thought they had playoff teams...one of them is right and the other may be insane. So, when Zorn calls running plays and Portis can't get 4 yards a pop anymore; is that Zorn's fault? If Mike Shanahan called that same running play, Portis would gain 7, right? Give me a break. WA is horrible, but that works out, because my Broncs play them in a few weeks. =)
Mike,
Will Spags make the transition to head coach? Phenomenal d-coordinator, do you trust him with the keys?
Mike,
With the importance of offensive lines, is it still smart to spend a 1st round pick on a QB when he's going to be asked to play against a poor O-line and get pounded every week?
At what point is it better to pass on a QB at the top of the draft, in order to draft a LT for example? Or are all these O-Linemen taken early not nearly as "safe" picks as they seem, compared to the "hit or miss" nature of high drafted QBs?
I understand that this is a list of bottom dwellers; however, the Rams and Lions are making a concerted effort to improve their respective franchises. Washington will bring in another marquee free agent and will contribute nothing, Tennessee will get that ship righted...Fisher is too talented a coach to allow for another sub-par season, I am unaware as to what is ailing the Bucs, but I agree with you that the team would not be where they are now if "Chucky" were still there. The only team that has decided to give up and not make an effort to improve is Cleveland. It saddens me, as I am a life-long Browns fan (hard to admit...), but the team has made NO EFFORT WHATSOEVER to get better. Mangina has stripped the team and filled voids with players no one else wanted...what is really going on up in Cleveland? Why is this so hard for them compared to every other franchise? I know it's the "Mistake on the Lake", but hasn't Cleveland amassed enough karmic debt to get a few good seasons?
Cerrato's point was that if Samuels hadn't been lost for the season, they had a competitive team. They went 6-2 the first half last year with a worse roster, so he has some basis for his statement, even though I think we all agree he made some serious errors in not upgrading the O line.
Whatever, this season is lost. The team needs to upgrade at headcoach, GM, QB and O line. Not an impossible task by any means. The toughest slot to fill could be QB, as there do not appear to be any more Kyle Ortons being cut loose around the league and drafting a signal caller is always fraught with risk. The Skins have whiffed three times in the recent past, using first round picks on Rep. Heath Schuler, Patrick Ramsey and Jason Campbell. They let Trent Green go rather than pay him. They could have picked up Kurt Warner or Kerry Collins. This unfortunate history, more than Dan Snyder, is what has undermined their last 18 years.
Vince Young is going to play this week . I don't think Jeff Fisher wants to see Vince Young stink it up . If Vince Young doesn't do it now he will never make it in the NFL . The Titans are 0-6 & he has no expectations on him . He has had a year to learn the game & there is no need for a mental breakdown . I look forward to watching him Sunday .
I really, really, REALLY hate being a Browns fan...which makes me hate Modell even more than ever. The second version of this franchise should just move to the CFL.
Hey Mike, how about some full disclosure? Any history with you and Cerrato?
Cerrato sounds like the clueless corporate windbag that he is. He simply cannot evaluate talent. So, since he and the Boi Wonder Snyder concocted another horrible roster, it MUST be ALL Zorn's fault. Right? No way. And btw, Zorn came looking for the O-Coordinator position BEFORE a Head Coach was hired. Another zany idea brought to you by the comedy team of Wonder Boi Snyder and Cerrato. And then THEY told Zorn how great he was and that he should be THEIR Head Coach, not the other way around. What a couple of ingrates and losers.
On the Redskins: there's a saying in Washington that "if you can smile when things are going wrong, you've already figured out who to blame." Looks like Vinny has had this figured out for quite a while. One thing to note about how bad things are with the Redskins -- as of the Monday night game, the team started enforcing a policy prohibiting hand-made signs being brought into the stadium. Dan Steinberg with the Washington Post took a look through the garbage to see what had to be thrown out. A fair number of them weren't terribly kind to the owner, let's say.
On Tampa: watching the game from London against the Patriots, I don't think I've ever quite felt as sorry for anybody as Raheem Morris, in possibly the most severe case of being out of his depth in the history of the planet. Two of his assistants had worked for Belichick in Cleveland -- I'd love to know what they were thinking when working with Morris on the game plan, and at what point did "Oh, Man, we're so screwed..." enter the conversation.
Finally, on KC: I've never understood the decision to hire Todd Haley and I still don't. Everybody knew it was going to be a long rebuilding process, and emotional leaders like Haley don't do long rebuilding processes well, at least generally.
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Oct 29, 2009
11:32 AM
It is interesting that you left Oakland of your list. They are a disgrace to watch and to root for. It is because they are beyond hope?