His salary might be all that saves his job. Robert Boland
APTitans head coach Jeff Fisher has a .542 winning percentage for his career, but his Titans are 0-6 this season.
A knowledgeable source told me last week that Titans coach Jeff Fisher’s job security isn’t all that assured. I was surprised too, but my source was insistent. Despite a perception that Fisher is one of the best in the business, a look at his record shows that he’s also remarkably inconsistent. He’s had only six winning seasons in 16 years in Tennessee, meaning he’s had more losing than winning seasons. While he has an enviable .542 winning percentage compared to a league-wide .492 in the salary cap era, the aftershock of one of the most lopsided beatings in NFL history, a 59-0 loss to New England, and an 0-6 start has to have both Fisher and Titans owner Bud Adams considering their options.
We’ve been down this road before, in 2006, when the Titans opened 0-5. Adams announced that he would not make any midseason coaching change, in part because Fisher would still be paid $2.5 million for the rest of the season. Adams reckoned he didn’t want to pay for anybody to sit on his sofa and earn that kind of money. Those 2006 Titans roared back to finish 8-8 under the leadership of Vince Young, saving Fisher, but general manager Floyd Reese paid for the letdown with his job.
Adams, however, has fired five previous coaches in midseason, including the man Fisher replaced, Jack Pardee, in 1994. Pardee was 1-9 for the then-Houston Oilers when Fisher was named interim head coach.
This year, without the departed DT Albert Haynesworth and defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz and with QB Kerry Collins set to turn 38 in December, there may not be another miracle for Fisher to pull out. And if my source is correct, it’s possible he may pay with his job. Although bet on Adams’ frugality to prevent any move until after the season.
APKerry Collins and the Titans were rolled 59-0 by New England on Sunday.
Fisher has been both lucky and good enough to have followed bad seasons with good ones, although his winning years are limited to 1999 and 2000, 2002 and 2003 and 2007 and 2008. He is signed through the 2011 season, and his contract is believed to be worth about $6 million annually. With $12-13 million still owed and coming off a 13-3 record in 2009, Fisher may have at least one more year of security -- at least from a financial perspective -- and he’s generally made the most of these win-or-else situations. But much of his control over the franchise could be dramatically altered. Also, if Adams signed Fisher to a contract in which Adams is excused from payments in the event of a lockout, it could make Fisher more likely to be fired sooner rather than later as Adams might only be on the hook for a year’s salary rather than two.
Would Fisher, sensing the handwriting on the wall, seek to get out of Nashville on his own terms? Again, with Bill Cowher, Jon Gruden, Mike Holmgren and Mike Shanahan all on the market, Fisher might not find 2010 to be the best time to be a coaching free agent. And as my source said, it’s highly unlikely that somebody who’s owed as much money as Fisher is would take affirmative action to get out of town.
Instead, it would make financial sense to wait to be fired and deal with any repercussions from having been fired later with an extra $12 million or so in your pocket.
I think they are referring to the combined winning percentages of present coaches throughout their careers (not just this season).
Bingo Pakenham, you get the prize and you offer a simple definition and in the study we looked at 16 years of coaching records and hires.
Wasn't the 13-3 record last year--in 2008?
I agree with RICH. Fisher would have job offers the day he was fired. In fact, I bet Dan Snyder would have Redskins One in the air heading to tennessee the hour of the announcement.
There's generally an assumption that Shanahan, Cowher, Holmgren and Gruden will be the most highly sought coaching hires for next year, but some of the most successful coaches over the last few years have been first-timers (who also seem much cheaper). And let's face it - of that list, only Cowher went out on a high note and Cowher was the beneficiary of a tremendous amount of ownership support and front-office talent. And Holmgren is the only one who really built his franchise from the ground up.
Here in DC -- where "Fire the Owner" is now a pretty reliable chant when things are going bad -- the expectation is that The Daniel will open up his bank account to lure one of the above to this deeply dysfunctional organization. Fisher won't be hot enough for his tastes. But I'd really wish he could learn from Arthur Blank -- stop trying to get the hot coach, get a really smart, well-trained personnel guy and a really smart, well-trained, seasoned new coach, have a plan, and let them execute it. Blank deserves a tremendous amount of credit for learning his lesson, taking on a lower profile, and hiring and supporting really good people.
Robert,
I've read that Floyd Reese was fired after losing a "power struggle" in Tennessee. Can you shed any light on what happened?
Thing is.... nobody can tell me what decisions Fisher has made that any of those other said coaches would NOT have made. He hasn't made any major decisions that have been catastrophic - except drafting Vince Young - which we all know by NOW Jeff Fisher didn't really WANT to do.
I like his style. Run first, pass later. Prevent injuries by running the ball, running time off the clock and running fewer plays. Fisher is not the kind of jackass who will run a score up and beat somebody 59-0. You don't know how badly I wanted somebody to knock Tom Brady on his ass on Sunday in the 4th quarter and put him out for a few games. That would have been priceless. Fisher is smart enough to put his younger players in and get them some experience in situations like that.
Fisher is not on the field missing tackles, out of position, dropping the ball or not picking up blitzes. Yes - it's his job to procure the personnel who can DO those things, but the Titans were 13-3 last year. Twenty-ONE of 22 players returned. They could do all of those things last year. Why wouldn't Fisher feel comfortable coming in to this season believing he already HAD effective personnel? He did. I would have, too.
It's kind of like driving home from work, parking in the driveway, and all is well. Get up the next morning to go to work, and the car won't start. There is no reasonable explanation for it. The car ran just fine the night before. Nothing has changed! Why wouldn't I believe my car would start the next morning? I put my key in and turn it with 100% confidence that the car will start. Nothing has given me a clue that it WON'T. No sputtering, no clankety-clank-clank noises, no hesitations, no knocking, no squealing. It should start.
Fisher has done this year what we ALL do every single day. He put the key in and turned it. The car just won't start. It's not Fisher's fault. We don't need a new driver, we just need to put some fuel in the tank.
Robert,
I've read that Floyd Reese was fired after losing a "power struggle" in Tennessee. Can you shed any light on what happened?
YEAH writes: "Fisher is not the kind of jackass who will run a score up and beat somebody 59-0. You don't know how badly I wanted somebody to knock Tom Brady on his ass on Sunday in the 4th quarter and put him out for a few games"
...no, but he's the kind of jackass who will celebrate when one of his players takes out another players knees.... YOU don't know how HAPPY I was to see this moron get HIS a$$ kicked, okay?
...and it wasn't Belichick who couldn't hold onto the ball on every possession....he could've scored 90 points if he really wanted to.....Plus Coach Porn Stache had it coming after popping off about spygate....LOVED IT
YEAH, the fact remains maybe he was only missing 1 player from the year before. But, that one player was the teams MVP hands down. The team revolved around him. Fishers strategy revolved around haynesworth. So, he let him go then he let all his veteran corners go to free agency. He decided to draft some rookie corners and it backfired. He greatly overestimated the talent on the team especially with backups and all the aging players. But thank god he locked up Collins! Gave him a two year deal. Now I definitely don't believe Collins is the problem but he kept him and let all these quality defense players go??? Why?? Anybody could have replaced Collins...anybody that didn't throw interceptions at least. Fisher has just gone away from what he believes...he wanted all the power, got it, and now it will be him that takes the fall. I am a diehard Titans fan and I hope they don't win a game this year. 59-0 can't be forgiven. They need to clean house. Fisher has run his course in Nashville...he's either gotten too lazy or too confident/careless. Never seen a better in game coach but his time is up in Nashville. It's bound to happen and it will happen this year....oh, and take a look at Denver...as an example...coaches can be replaced and need to be after a certain time. That's the NFL and you better get replaced after 59-0!
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Oct 20, 2009
10:50 AM
How can the league-wide winning percentage be .492? For every game won, there is a loss. For every tie, there is a half game won and a half a game lost for each team involved. By definition, the league-wide winning percentage is .500.
Also, I don't think that Adams would have to pay Fisher much of anything. He would be snatched up in a heartbeat by a team that would double or triple what he'd make for sitting at home.