Hopefully, my look inside the 49ers-Michael Crabtree negotiations on Friday proved the point that it’s not as simple as “slotting the pick” and filling in the numbers accordingly. This one is complicated for a few reasons, some of which we discussed then.
In negotiating the contract for Jeremy Maclin, the wide receiver taken after Crabtree in the first round (albeit nine picks later), one of the difficulties was that the selection was sandwiched in the first round by players who were defensive linemen, offensive linemen, a tight end, a quarterback, etc. Should that matter, you ask? For the purposes of base contract and guaranteed money, not really. The player is picked where he’s picked; it’s of no import -- except for a quarterback -- what position he plays.
APThe Michael Crabtree saga continues as the 49ers begin Week 3 of the season.
The place it matters is upside, i.e., escalators. It’s challenging to equate the level of difficulty of the escalator to players in entirely different positions where statistical accomplishments -- very important to a wide receiver -- are largely irrelevant, save for sacks. The primary escalation marker for many positions is playing time, not directly relevant to a receiver.
Similar challenges have been present in the Crabtree drama. Directly above him are linemen B.J. Raji of the Packers and Eugene Monroe of the Jaguars, whose upside is based primarily on playing time. Above those picks is the much-discussed Darrius Heyward-Bey deal with the Raiders, whose contract the Crabtree camp is trying hard to latch on to for obvious reasons. Although it will be extremely difficult to approach the hard numbers of the Heyward-Bey contract, it’s the escalator that Crabtree’s camp argues should be the apples-to-apples comparison.
Heyward-Bey’s contract has a base value of $38 million, almost $16 million more than the pick above Crabtree, Raji at $22M. While Raji has been the marker used by the 49ers -- a reasonable data point for both sides -- Heyward-Bey has been a focal point for the other side.
Heyward Bey’s contract value goes to nearly $41M for 60 catches one time in his first four years; it escalates to over $43M for 60 catches twice. Crabtree has taken notice. While he makes the argument that this contract should be a key data point because of the position the players play, especially regarding upside, the 49ers point to the fact that the deal is three picks away, buffered by two deals in between. Another dynamic appears to be one first written about by Mike Sando of ESPN and discussed here at the NFP by my colleague Brad Biggs: the lack of production of wide receivers in offenses run by 49ers coordinator Jimmy Raye. Just as opponents have scouting reports on whom they’re playing, agents have scouting reports on philosophies of coordinators that affect the earning potential of clients. As Sando and Biggs pointed out, in Raye’s 12 previous seasons as an offensive coordinator, only twice has a wide receiver reached 1,000 yards, and only twice has a wide receiver had more than 64 receptions. To put that in perspective, 22 receivers had more than 1,000 yards last season and 30 had more than 64 receptions.
APJeremy Maclin was the next receiver taken after Crabtree.
In the Maclin negotiation, the concern about escalators from the Maclin camp was that even though the Eagles pass as much as any team in the league, they spread the ball around, lessening the chances for dramatic impact of the escalators. In the case of Crabtree, the concern is simply the run-oriented style of attack being used by the 49ers.
Like Maclin, the Crabtree talks are complicated by factors beyond the base contract and the guarantee. Upside is key to any contract, especially first-round contracts. And slotting is in play here, but slotting against whom? The picks next to Crabtree, or the wide receiver three picks away? The drama continues.
Yet another complicating factor is what may have been said to Crabtree about his contractual value in the event he sits out this season and enters the 2010 draft. While most feel he would be making a huge financial mistake sitting out this year, it’s something no one can be sure of. Now reports have surfaced that tampering may have been a factor in the negotiations and has been alleged by the 49ers. This is yet another twist to this saga.
With the games on the field beginning, it hasn’t stopped the action off the field in front offices and the business of football. Here are some recent moves that have been engineered over the past couple of weeks around the league:
Arizona
Adrian Wilson converted $3M of his $8.5M salary into signing bonus, prorated for salary cap purposes, to lower his present cap charge while raising his future cap amounts.
To be clear, let’s dispel two myths about this contract: (1) that Wilson sacrificed money to help the team, and (2) that this restructure foreshadows a pending contract extension for Anquan Boldin.
Wilson’s restructure simply gives the Cardinals breathing room for the season, not additional resources to address his deal. As with the earlier Larry Fitzgerald restructure by the Cardinals, they’re worried about cap and cash flow right now, not a big new contract for Boldin.
APDrew Brees restructured his contract to give the Saints more flexibility.
New Orleans
Drew Brees restructured his contract to provide the Saints with some much-needed cap relief, converting over half of his $9.8M salary into signing bonus. He’ll make the same amounts over the next three years and have the same cash flow while giving the Saints $3.4M of additional cap room this year, putting them at $5.5M of available room to last the season.
Carolina
A.J. Feeley received $50,000 to sign. The only team in the NFL under the Mendoza line of $1M of Cap room, look for the Panthers to try to restructure a contract or two soon since we’re in a season where all earned incentives are going to count on the cap when earned -- unlike previous years -- due to next year being uncapped.
Philadelphia
Jeff Garcia also received $50,000 to sign and a two-game guarantee of salary. The amount is moot, however, because Garcia, as a vested veteran, is guaranteed at least one-quarter of the 10-year minimum salary, an amount worth approximately $211,000.
Indianapolis
Hank Baskett, released by the Eagles and unclaimed due to his $1.545-million salary (the restricted free-agent tender for the second-round draft compensation) was given a $100,000 bonus to sign with the Colts after being pursued by the Rams and a couple of other teams.
And here are some players who took pay cuts prior to the start of the season, avoiding release by their teams:
- Sean Jones, Eagles
- Ryan Denney, Bills
- Cornell Green and Paul McQuistan, Raiders
- Jamar Nesbit, Saints.
All of these reductions were in the $500,000 range. The players made the decision that, in this economy, it’s better to be working at a reduced rate than maybe not working at all.
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Andrew, do you think that the Niners organization would have even bothered to file this complaint unless they had some sort of proof to bring to the commissioner? West coast teams normally get no respect at the NFL Front offices as it is. What kind of proof must the Niners have to show the commissioner? It had better be good. But the truth is, THERE IS OBVIOUSLY TAMPERING going on in this negotiations, because the process should have gone much more easily than it has. I believe the Cowboys and Jets both have vested interests in obtaining Crabtree, and throwing a monkey wrench into the process of signing Crabtree would be the easiest way to get a chance at him next year in the draft. But if he reenters the draft, any team that takes him in the first or second round is going to be getting a lot of scrutiny because of the rumors that there were other teams interested in Craptree. As a Niner fan, I want nothing to do with this low life scumbag. The Niners have a good thing going and bringing in Craptree just complicates the good job that Singletary is doing. By the way, amazed by the complete lack of coverage on the Niners rebuild story. They are 2-0 in the West and no one even mentions it outside of San Francisco. The East Coast Bias in sports has never been more obvious...
angeljperea wrote on 09/21/2009 04:06:17 PM:
Hey 49er faithful: Lets hope it is true, but proven. SF will get one of NY Jets top draft pic next year along with two no #1 s. Then, Crap-Tree draft would be a BIG bonus for our continued rebuilding effort. If true his agent should be suspended from doing NFL business as well. This 'greed' strategy may yet blow-up in Crap-tree's face! I guess he "may" not have passed his ethics/ character build course at Texas Tech.
Message: Hey Mr. Crab- just do what Dr. Lou Holtz advised you, lose your dishonest agent and take the millions and work on being the next 49er Jerry Rice, not being a disfunctional T.O. Be careful what you wish for, you may ended up in Buffalo blocking in the snow instead of catching TD passes in the SF sun!! So be smart and be part of something special!
OKAY, Okay... You I am just NOT going to buy into that line of thinking, Crabtree gets what a guy at his spot gets and that that... There is always some guy who doesn't want to play by the rules and take MORE than his fair share. Now, if Crabtree feels he deserves more money because had he been selected out of USC, Florida, Texas, OU, OR Ohio State he would have been drafted at a higher draft position, two things; first, then he should've thought about that and gone to one of those schools, 2ndly perhaps he should've run at the Combine and gotten the surgery afterwards...
These things do not happen in a vacuum, and Mr Crabtree has to take responsibility. Look, I am at the stage with Crabtree and and his charlatan Agent Eugen Parker that I hope Crabtree doesn't sign this year, then next year he ends up getting the same OR less money. Parker hooked his wagon tothe WRONG player to challenge league slotting policy. Crabtree IS SLOW, and SLOW WR'S do not translate WELL in the NFL... I liked Crabtree at Tech, but he is over playing his hand, me thinks.
Does Garcia's signing bonus count toward the CBA minimum guarantee? Did Garcia sign for more than the league minimum making a two-game guarantee worth more than the one-quarter minimum? If not, why would the Eagles guarantee two games if they knew they would be on the hook for the higher one-quarter minimum?
Andrew - do you still think Crabtree will sign before the November deadline?
Thanks.
Rich and Robert-
The 49ers make the charge; the NFL will investigate with their staff interviewing the accused team. The team obviously believes there is evidence. I'll have more on this in Wednesday Why's tomorrow.
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Sep 21, 2009
02:42 PM
Andrew: My favorite team is the Niners. Can you give any insight into the process of filing a tampering charge? For example, do the Niners have to prove the case or does the NFL investigate on its own? Can teams or players refuse to cooperate wtih the NFL?