Mississippi State’s Dixon looks like an NFL starter. Wes Bunting
Observations and analysis from the 11th week of the college football season, including thoughts about some of the nation’s top offensive prospects.
My bad
APMississippi State RB Anthony Dixon
I have to admit that I vastly underrated the talents of Mississippi State running back Anthony Dixon in my latest senior rankings and that he looks like a potential starting back in the NFL. After talking to some scouts in the league last week and watching his performance Saturday against Alabama, I’m starting to believe Dixon has the makings of a real workhorse in the NFL. Sure, his stats were only modest vs. the Crimson Tide (22 carries for 81 yards, six catches for 59 yards), but he consistently was able to pick up tough yards at the line of scrimmage and bail out his overmatched offensive line. Dixon’s combination of instincts, lateral quickness and power makes him tough to bring down inside, and he exhibits a much better first step than given credit for. He isn’t the most explosive straight-line athlete and isn’t going to be a big-time threat at the second level, but the guy has consistently been able to manufacture yards behind a poor Mississippi State offensive line while running against the best defenses in the country. And although his stats won’t blow you away, Dixon looks capable stepping into an NFL training camp and improving a team’s run game.
Bigger than his size would suggest
I was really impressed with the play of Pittsburgh left tackle Jason Pinkston vs. Notre Dame. The junior lineman is listed at 6-4, 305 pounds, but he possesses a thick, broad upper body and displays impressive coordination in all areas of his game. He looked very natural reaching the corner in pass protection and consistently was able to keep his base down and anchor at the point of attack. Plus, he generates impressive power on contact and was very fluid when asked to pull and hit a moving target in space. Now, although he possesses good length for his size, I don’t think he’s a left tackle at the next level. But he definitely has me intrigued enough to warrant major consideration as a potential starting right tackle or guard in the NFL.
Maybe he’s the better prospect
APLSU RB Keiland Williams
LSU running back Keiland Williams finally got his chance to start in the absence of former starting back Charles Scott and didn’t disappoint. Williams finished the game against Louisiana Tech with 116 yards on only 15 carries for two touchdowns and averaged 7.7 yards per carry. Louisiana Tech isn’t the most talented of defenses, but it’s notable that Williams gives the LSU offense a little more playmaking ability in the run game than Scott ever did. Williams looks much more instinctive inside and possesses the short-area quickness to make a man miss and create on his own if everything isn’t blocked to perfection -- unlike Scott, who, although he runs with good power, struggles to be effective if the offensive line doesn’t win up front. I’ve always like Williams’ base off his game tape and thought that he simply needed to chance to shine. And now, with a strong finish to the season, it wouldn’t surprise me one bit if it’s Williams who ended up being the top running back selected out of LSU at draft time.
Hard to overlook
Say what you want about Stanford running back Toby Gerhart not being the greatest of athletes, but the guy simply finds a way to get the job done. Gerhart has rushed for 401 yards in his last two games -- vs. Oregon and Southern Cal -- and has the type of power to absolutely wear down opposing front sevens. He exhibits impressive vision and patience at the line of scrimmage and does a great job allowing his blocks to set up, dropping his pad level and churning out tough yards inside. Gerhart also possesses impressive balance for his size and is a much more gifted short-area athlete than given credit for. He’s sudden enough to sidestep a defender in space and consistently runs through would-be tackles at the line. I don’t think he’s a featured back in the NFL because he struggles to create on his own and lacks much of a second gear. But if you’re in need of a physical No. 2 type of back who can block in the pass game and convert short-yardage situations, Gerhart is your guy.
MAC wideouts just don’t stack up
Bryan Anderson, Central Michigan (6-5, 215)
APCentral Michigan WR Bryan Anderson
Anderson is a tall, well-built receiver who possesses impressive body control and coordination for a receiver his size. However, his lack of initial burst in all areas of his game really has me concerned about his upside at the next level. He does a nice job using his body to shield defenders and attack the football, but he isn’t a real sudden athlete and gets too leggy when trying to change directions and get back up to speed. His size and ball skills will definitely get him a shot at the next level, but the idea that he has the potential to start on the outside for an NFL team is wishful at best.
Taylor Price, Ohio (6-1, 212)
Although Price is a good-looking receiver who possesses the speed to threaten defenses vertically, he fails to consistently beat press coverage and get into his routes quickly. He exhibits a good initial burst off the line and possesses the body control to snap off routes cleanly vs. off man/zone. However, he isn’t nearly as explosive when asked to fight his way through any kind of a bump and lacks the type of short-area quickness and strength to routinely win battles off the line. Price will likely get over-drafted because of his size/speed numbers, but he’s never going to make an impact in the NFL until he learns to beat press man.
Stephen Williams, Toledo (6-5, 199)
Williams is another tall wideout who has shown the ability to pluck the football away from his frame and does a nice job setting up his routes underneath. Williams, however, struggles to play with any kind of suddenness and takes way too long to get out of his breaks to separate at the next level. Although he’s been productive this season and does a nice job finding soft spots in zone coverage, there’s simply nothing dynamic about his game that would threaten cornerbacks at the next level, and he will struggle to make plays vs. any kind of man coverage in the NFL.
Follow me on Twitter: WesBunting
wes,
appreciate your stuff man, good eye.
I think you went blind watching Rico McCoys film .
you have 8 senior LB's ahead of him, wake-up Wes,it's the SEc baby. no other conference with the whole works! top linemen,top running backs, top coaches. when you have a LB listed FBS from SEC at LB, you have something. not talking about the hyped guys,the ballers dude. check it out.
how dare you hate on the MAC...Temple is loaded! just not with junior and senior prospects. just you wait.
I have been singing Danario Alexanders praises all season Clay, Wes just ignores it. He will win the Biletnikoff this year and should have a spot at the Heisman ceremony.
Mizfku82 & Clay:
How can I give a high grade to a wide out who can't beat press coverage? The NFL is not the Big-12 where every wide out gets a free release, opposing corners play soft and allow you to run all over. I have seen him three times since the summer and have not come impressed away once. He's been productive and is a great college wide out who should win all the awards in the world. But he's not a starter in the NFL and looks no more then a #4 WR who needs to line up off the line in the slot.
Here is my my thoughts on him against Nebraska this season..http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/Scouts-notebook-Thursday-review-9775.html
Mizfku82 & Clay:
How can I give a high grade to a wide out who can't beat press coverage? The NFL is not the Big-12 where every wide out gets a free release, opposing corners play soft and allow you to run all over. I have seen him three times since the summer and have not come impressed away once. He's been productive and is a great college wide out who should win all the awards in the world. But he's not a starter in the NFL and looks no more then a #4 WR who needs to line up off the line in the slot.
Here is my my thoughts on him against Nebraska this season..http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/Scouts-notebook-Thursday-review-9775.html
From Wes's earlier post about Super Nario: He isn’t a great athlete, and his lack of lateral shiftiness off the line was exposed every time he tried to beat press coverage. He isn’t a burner and lacks the speed to threaten defenders down the field, so opposing corners were able to get up in his face, sit on his routes and jump passes underneath. Alexander really struggled to create any kind of separation vs. physical press man coverage, and although he possesses a nice-sized frame, he doesn’t look anything more than a borderline roster guy.
Which games did you watch? I think it's hilarious that you say he isn't a burner, have you seen him play? He toasted 3 KStated db's on sat when they had the angle. He has said that he is finally healthy from an offseason injury, so you are now finally seeing the true DA. The only thing that will hurt his draft stock would be his history of injuries, because when he has been on the field he makes plays. I'm just curious where you learned how to break down film? I am also grad of SMWW(sports broadcasting), do you have any experience regarding breaking down film other than that?
Great stuff, Wes.
Considering your positive words about both Dixon and Gerhart, I was wondering which guy you expect to be ranked higher on your next set of RB rankings. My impression is that you'd have Dixon higher - just want to make sure.
Also, would you hazard any guesses as to when they'll get picked in next year's draft?
Great article.
Thanks
Mizfku82:
I have seen him vs. Nebraska and Texas this season and jr. tape of him from last year against Iowa State.
Look I am sure he looks fast against Kansas State, but you have to evaluate him against the best competition to get a good feel of his talents. There are a lot of slower wide outs who look fast in the Big-12. Texas and Nebraska were able to get in his face, re-route him off the line and he struggles to separate and get into his routes.
Alo:
I like Dixon more, but not getting into where they get drafted...I am just trying to figure out who can play in the NFL and who cant.
Wes,
Those are fair points and we saw how it took Maclin a few weeks to adjust before producing against NFL coverage. But from a size/speed/athleticism/hands standpoint I'd have to think Alexander is an intriguing prospect, especially relative to the class of senior WRs. Without the injury history doesn't a guy with his measurables and production usually warrant a high grade? On that note, how much does the injury history factor into his projection?
First time Dixon played that I was able to view him I thought of Emmit. Not the stopwatch demon, but someone who runs with heart and authority. He hasn't had the luxury of great QB play to help him either, so his stats are always against eight or nine man fronts.
Wes,
Those are fair points and we saw how it took Maclin a few weeks to adjust before producing against NFL coverage. But from a size/speed/athleticism/hands standpoint I'd have to think Alexander is an intriguing prospect, especially relative to the class of senior WRs. Without the injury history doesn't a guy with his measurables and production usually warrant a high grade? On that note, how much does the injury history factor into his projection?
What do you think about Ben Tate and Dexter McCluster?
Wes, I haven't seen Gerhart play, but as a Bucs fan, I just have to ask: is there a little Mike Alstott in his game??
wes, oh wes, how is gerhart "not the greatest of athlete's" when he is faster then chris wells and knoshown moreno, and both of them were first round picks. As usual with you, if a player is white, then he is automaticlly a blue coller, lunch pail overachiever. Why don't you try for once to not knock a white player's athletic ability in one of your rants
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Caldwell made the decision
Nov 16, 2009
03:39 PM
Aside from bettering Jeremy Maclin's production in both all america seasons, what else does Mizzou WR Danario Alexander need to do to gain recognition as the best senior WR in the country? Super 'Nario may even be in the running for Big 12 Offensive POY.