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Second day trades

Tony Villiotti reviews who won and lost Friday's moves on paper. Tony Villiotti

Print This May 10, 2014, 11:00 AM EST

The following article is based on the classic Jimmy Johnson trade value chart, and Tony's own trade Value Chart desribed in this article.

The second day of the draft featured a busy trade market with (by my count) 12 trades involving 17 different teams. The 49ers (involved in four trades) and the Dolphins (involved in three trades) were the most active traders.

Following is a listing of the 12 trades and additional information about each. All the trades involved an exchange of draft positions with additional consideration paid to the team that moved down. The additional consideration received/paid is shown for each transaction and then compared to both the Jimmy Johnson Trade Value Chart and the so-called Villiotti Trade Value Chart, which is still under development. The comparison with the two Trade Value Charts (“TVC”) is the basis for drawing conclusions regarding each trade.

Cowboys Move from #47 to #34 in trade with Redskins
• Player selected by Cowboys: LB Demarcus Lawrence
• Additional consideration received by Redskins: #78 in 2014 draft
• Value of moving from #47 to #34 per Jimmy Johnson TVC: #92 pick
• Value of moving from #47 to #34 per Villiotti TVC: pick in the #25-#46 range
• Verdict: 13 spot move-up makes it expensive under the Villiotti TVC
 - Bargain price paid by Cowboys but closer to an even deal when compared to more traditional measures

Lions Move from #45 to #40 in trade with Seahawks
• Player selected by Lions: LB Kyle Van Noy
• Additional consideration received by Seahawks: #111 and #227 selections in 2014 draft
• Value of moving from #45 to #40 per Jimmy Johnson TVC: #122 selection
• Value of moving from #45 to #40 per Villiotti TVC: selection after #187
• Verdict: Lions slightly overpaid so small advantage to the Seahawks

Rams Move from #44 to #41 in trade with Bills
• Player selected by Rams: CB Lamarcus Joyner
• Additional consideration received by Bills: #153 selection in 2014 draft
• Value of moving from #44 to #41 per Jimmy Johnson TVC: #156 selection
• Value of moving from #44 to #41 per Villiotti TVC: 7th round selection
• Verdict: A reasonable trade for both teams

Eagles Move from #54 to #42 in trade with Titans
• Player selected by Eagles: WR Jordan Matthews
• Additional consideration received by Titans: #122 in 2014 draft
• Value of moving from #54 to #42 per Jimmy Johnson TVC: #95 selection
• Value of moving from #54 to #42 per Villiotti TVC: selection between #47 and #73
• Verdict: Titans were ripped off


Chargers Move from #57 to #50 in trade with Dolphins
• Player selected by Vikings: OLB Jeremiah Attaochu
• Additional consideration received by Dolphins: #125 in 2014 draft
• Value of moving from #57 to #50 per Jimmy Johnson TVC: #112 selection
• Value of moving from #57 to #50 per Villiotti TVC: selection between #115 and #187
• Verdict: A relatively fair trade for both teams

Broncos Move from #63 to #56 in trade with 49ers
• Player selected by Broncos: WR Cody Latimer
• Additional consideration received by 49ers: #171 plus 2015 4th round pick
• Additional consideration received by Broncos: 242nd selection in 2014
• Value of moving from #63 to #56 per Jimmy Johnson TVC: #115 selection
• Value of moving from #63 to #56 per Villiotti TVC: selection between #115 and #187
• Verdict: Assuming the 2015 pick is at the end of the 4th round (#128 or so), the trade is about even

49ers Move from #63 to #57 in trade with Dolphins
• Player selected by 49ers: RB Carlos Hyde
• Additional consideration received by Dolphins: #171 selection in 2014 draft
• Value of moving from #63 to #57 per Jimmy Johnson TVC: #120 selection
• Value of moving from #63 to #57 per Villiotti TVC: selection between #115 and #187
• Verdict: 49ers underpaid for the move and had the advantage

Jaguars Move from #70 to #61 in trade with 49ers
• Player selected by Jaguars: WR Allen Robinson
• Additional consideration received by 49ers: #150 selection in 2014 draft
• Value of moving from #70 to #61 per Jimmy Johnson TVC: #121 selection
• Value of moving from #70 to #61 per Villiotti TVC: selection between #115 and #187
• Verdict: Jaguars may have underpaid by a slight amount; edge to 49ers

Dolphins Move from #81 to #67 in trade with Raiders
• Player selected by Dolphins: OT Billy Turner
• Additional consideration received by Raiders: #116 in 2014 draft
• Value of moving from #81 to #67 per Jimmy Johnson TVC: #132 selection
• Value of moving from #81 to #67 per Villiotti TVC: selection between #47 and #73
• Verdict: Consideration paid was about right per historical norms but the Raiders were significantly underpaid per Villiotti TVC

Texans Move from #101 to #83 in trade with Eagles
• Player selected by Texans: DT Louis Nix
• Additional consideration received by Eagles: #141 in 2014 draft
• Value of moving from #101 to #83 per Jimmy Johnson TVC: #111 selection
• Value of moving from #101 to #83 per Villiotti TVC: selection between #74 and #114
• Verdict: Eagles received too little; win for Texans 

Jaguars Move from #105 to #93 in trade with Patriots
• Player selected by Jaguars: G Brandon Linder
• Additional consideration received by Patriots: #179 in 2014 draft
• Value of moving from #101 to #83 per Jimmy Johnson TVC: #111 selection
• Value of moving from #101 to #83 per Villiotti TVC: selection between #74 and #114
• Verdict: Eagles received too little; win for Texans

Browns Move from #106 to #95 in trade with 49ers
• Player selected by Browns: RB Terrance West
• Additional consideration received by 49ers: #180
• Value of moving from #106 to #95 per Jimmy Johnson TVC: #136 selection
• Value of moving from #101 to #83 per Villiotti TVC: selection between #115 and #187
• Verdict: 49ers received too little; minor win for Browns

As previously noted the 49ers were the most active team in Friday’s the trade market. The four transactions all involved the accumulation of draft choices by the 49ers. To what end is the question as the 49ers are dealing from a position of strength. The four transactions yielded three extra picks for the 49ers.

Two of the transactions should really be viewed as one:

• The 49ers moved from #56 back to #63 and received a #171 and a 2015 4th round pick for their trouble
• They then turned around and traded the #63 and their #171 for selection #57
• The net result of these two trades is that the 49ers moved down one spot in exchange for a 2015 fourth round pick
 - Hard to criticize that strategy

The other two transactions each provided one extra draft choice and were as follows:

• They surrendered the #61 spot to the Jaguars in exchange for #70 and #150
• They then moved from the 93rd spot in exchange for the #105 and #180 selection
• So with those two picks they ended up with four picks

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