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Tavern talk: Fixing Brady’s problems

Like a pitcher, Pats QB has lost his strike zone. Michael Lombardi

Print This October 14, 2009, 06:19 PM EST
15 Comments

What’s wrong with Tom Brady? I’ve been asked that question a lot recently. Why he isn’t the Tom Brady of old? What’s happened to him since his knee injury? Interestingly, the same questions were being asked of Peyton Manning last year when he returned from a knee injury. And their stats are surprisingly similar. Take a look:

Both were 3-2 after five games.

MANNING

115/182     63.1     1,302     8 TDs-5 INTs     9 SACKS        8 +25 PLAYS

BRADY

127/207     61.3     1,344     6 TDs-2 INTs     5 SACKS        7 +25 PLAYS

These stats look amazingly similar in that both players willed their teams to wins without playing their best football. Does this mean the best from Brady is yet to come?

Knee injuries are difficult to overcome in a short time. A quarterback’s lower body, like a baseball pitcher’s, is where he gets his power, drive and the accuracy. Footwork is essential to the quarterback, and right now, Brady occasionally loses the strike zone in terms of accuracy. He seems to be overthrowing the ball with his arm, not unlike a pitcher who loses the strike zone when he throws with just his arm.

This doesn’t happen all the time, but at times the ball doesn’t come off his hand as smoothly as it did before the injury. He doesn’t look as though he’s in rhythm with his wide receivers about where exactly on the field they’ll be on each play. On the seam route that he missed to Wes Welker, Brady thought Welker was going to hook up, and Welker thought he would stay in the seam since the middle of the field was open. Most routes in the Patriots’ scheme are read routes and require precise timing with the quarterback and wide receivers.

Brady is a competitor. He’s not shy about admitting his missed throws, and so he’ll continue to work on finding ways to improve. As his lower body strengthens, he should become more accurate and not overthrow every ball using his arm.

There is nothing wrong with the Patriots’ offensive scheme. They have guys open in the routes. What they need is for Tom Brady to be Tom Brady. And like Manning, it takes time to get back from an injury.

Follow me on Twitter: michaelombardi

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Romo
Oct 15, 2009
07:03 PM

patspscyho -- having watched film on Brady for all games this season, I think you've identified the primary area that Brady must fix. He is not consistent and balanced with his feet. Pressure that affects his ability to step into a throw (pressure directed at his left leg) has been devastating to his accuracy. I think he missed two TD throws vs. the Broncos because of such pressure.

Mr.Murder
Oct 15, 2009
09:06 PM

He's actually missed some of their easier reads. He's operating on assumptions and this is killing his true anticipation.

Part of the problem, IMO, is that they have changed some players there due to age or trade and it is shaping the awareness of their team as a whole. Some defensive players are gone, during the adjustment phase, the team has its stars trying to do more. Thus you see Brady out of his game.

If he settles into his game and plays great once again, that is excellence spectrum he commands. Brady is striving for perfection instead and he's getting ahead of his own real time ability.
Mike's quote to start the story the day before applies to Brady's present mindset.
He missed a MOFO read, because Dawkins was the player, he assumed Dawkins would read back when the guy is usually extremely aggressive. Maybe he was trying to anticipate that the defense would rotate behind Dawk and allow him to jump a route under, instead Dawk was frozen and Brady more or less froze with it.

The hardest thing to do is be confident in the easiest path when you are faced with a great challenge. That's where the fundamentals are sharpest as well, and he has had some fundamental issues with his mechanics.

Coupled with this is a series of setbacks to several players. Fred Taylor was running monstrously, but he lacks elusiveness and the hits took their toll on a faster timeline than he is accustomed. The overall run game is getting less effective and with it Watson's getting dinged up. Suddenly the line is teeing off on pash rush splits and your great point of attack blocker isn't always there to help command play action.

Wes and Randy could not find the groove and were getting hit more. The games that teams started rotating hard to Welker under to hit him early and wear him down were not anomalies, they are part of the trend against that route combo. The last two seasons he is starting to pay the price for the shallow series.

Randy also draws more doubles. The final option was once Gaffney, and the replacement name player has been a dud in Galloway. Yeah the last option does not see a lot of action but his reps must be effective, there's no timing there now, and there's less blocking as well. The sum of a player's efforts are greater than career stat lines, and the Pats are missing some of that in their peripheral players.

This is early in the year and the team still has a winning record. Their division no longer has easy chalk up wins in Miami and New York. That's twice a year you have to pay more to get past an opponent and it can carry over to the following week.

The team still needed Seymour, who can they add to make that kind of presence in the way they prepare and play? Players missing in how you prepare can affect the entire team mindset. Other players start leaving their own range of ability and try to play outside of their selves. There's no need to do it when you are great, be who you are.

When the team gets back into the

porno
Jun 03, 2010
09:05 AM

I'm not saying they won't have stretches in games where they click, I think they will, but not as consistently as they did then.

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