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Weekend notes: attacking Packers' Rodgers

Does Haley start Cassel? Will Seymour play? A look at Sunday’s games. Matt Bowen

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The Bears head to Lambeau Field on Sunday night with some question marks at the corner position, and it should be interesting to see how Lovie Smith calls the game from the defensive side of the football against Packers QB Aaron Rodgers.

Charles TillmanAPCornerback Charles Tillman

From my experience as a player, teams will test the edges of a defense early in a ballgame to see where players — such as the Bears’ Charles Tillman — are at in terms of their straight-line speed, their ability to turn their hips and their ability to plant and drive on the ball, which is being watched by the coaches up in the press box. If they see any hesitation in Tillman’s game, expect the Packers to challenge him down the field and try to steal an early big play.

But in saying that, what do the Bears do on defense? Do they sit back in their Tampa 2 scheme and allow Tillman and fellow corners Nathan Vasher and Zack Bowman to squat on receivers, funnel them inside to the safeties and play the flat? Or do they bring pressure — both zone and man — and try to make Rodgers get the ball out of his hands quickly before his feet are planted?

If I’m the Bears, I show Rodgers plenty of different looks, roll the safeties and corners at the snap of the football and bring more pressure than we’re used to seeing from a Lovie Smith-coached team. Yes, the Bears will rely on their Cover 2 scheme plenty of times tomorrow night — and their four-man rush — but in my opinion, for this defense to make game-changing plays, Smith needs to dial up enough pressure to make Rodgers feel uncomfortable in the hope the Bears can steal a play or two — because if this game turns into a shootout, I have to go with Green Bay.

The Broncos’ Brandon Marshall is scheduled to play Sunday against the Bengals, giving us another example of how offseason drama is easily put to bed when regular-season action starts. There was no chance Marshall was going to miss out on tomorrow’s game check, just as there was no chance that Broncos head coach Josh McDaniels was going to put his offense on display for the first time without his biggest playmaker.

Matt CasselAPWill Cassel play on Sunday?

Chiefs head coach Todd Haley is in a tough spot heading to Baltimore this weekend with the decision he has to make about starting quarterback Matt Cassel. The former Patriot is not yet fully recovered from a sprained knee he suffered in the preseason, and with the amount of pressure the Chiefs can expect to see from the Ravens’ defense, putting Cassel out there with limited mobility could be a recipe for disaster.

But what’s the other option? Brody Croyle? Add in the fact that all eyes will be on Haley after he dismissed offensive coordinator Chan Gailey, and this is not the script you’d want in your first game as an NFL head coach. Do you risk the health of your franchise quarterback or do you head into a game against one of the NFL’s best defenses with a quarterback who couldn’t start anywhere else in the NFL?

Detroit’s Matthew Stafford picked a tough defense to start his NFL career against when the Lions travel to New Orleans to open the season against defensive coordinator Gregg Williams and the Saints.

Matthew StaffordAPStafford could be in for a rude awakening on Sunday.

Yes, there are plenty of teams in this league that rely on their pressure packages as their dominant calls in the game plan, but Williams’ defenses are designed to give multiple pre-snap looks — something Stafford didn’t see in the preseason. I played in Williams’ scheme. It is complex, it is attacking, and the premise of the game plan is to dictate the flow of the game to the offense through pressure and coverage, which Williams will do tomorrow against Stafford.

Most likely, the Lions spent the last week watching Jacksonville tape from last season to get an idea what they can expect in certain down and distance situations. But with a full offseason to work with Williams, the New Orleans defense will have some new looks that should confuse the rookie and lead to big plays for the Saints.

The Richard Seymour drama looks like it’s coming to an end with reports that the former Patriot will show up in Oakland this weekend. It may come as a surprise that the Raiders expect to play Seymour after missing a week of practice, but even without the work, he’s still the best defensive lineman on the roster in Oakland — and this defensive front was shredded all preseason. The Raiders have no choice but to play him.

The Falcons host Miami tomorrow, and I’m interested to see how Atlanta plays against a physical team like the Dolphins. I expect Miami to use some creative formations on offense, but the backbone of this team is the downhill power running game with Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams. Miami has a young defense, and this may be the most physical offensive team it faces all year.

I understand that the Dolphins started the rage last season that is the wildcat formation, but when they need a play in the running game, they line up and run the ball right at defenses. A good challenge to open the season for Atlanta.

Julius PeppersAPWill Peppers and the Panthers be able to slow down McNabb and the Eagles?

We’ll learn a lot tomorrow about the Panthers’ defense when they host Donovan McNabb and the Eagles. Ron Meeks came down from Indianapolis to run the Panthers’ defense, and that translates to a unit that relies on coverage with a four-man rush — something we haven’t seen for years in Carolina.

I believe the Panthers have enough speed at linebacker and in the secondary to make plays in the Cover 2 scheme, but the question remains if Carolina can produce pressure — especially on third downs — from its four-man rush. DE Julius Peppers needs to have a big game to allow Carolina to sit back in coverage and force McNabb to unload the ball to his underneath routes, where the Panthers can make a tackle and get off the field on third downs.

Follow me on Twitter: MattBowen41

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Packer Pete
Sep 12, 2009
06:02 PM

A shoot out implies that both squads are firing. When only one side is shooting, as will be the case when the Mighty Packers meet the Lowly Bears in Lambeau Sunday evening, that is defined as an execution. The pregame smoke seen wafting from the visiting locker room tomorrow night will not be an accidental blaze, but rather the collective last cigarettes of the Flatlanders' football team.

Daniel
Sep 12, 2009
06:28 PM

@Packerpete.

Why are Packer fans so cocky coming into this season???

You went 6-10 last year and 2 of those victories were against the lions.

If your confidence is based on your preseason form... please note that the lions went 4-0 last year in preseason... now whilst it's obvious that you're not gonna go 0-16, it is equally obvious that you're not as good as you or the media think you are.

PS. you will beat the bears by atleast 14 points... but your defense still sucks.

Sean in GB
Sep 12, 2009
06:36 PM

I won't be surprised if the Packers come out and try to establish the running game early against the Bears. Everyone is expecting them to come out firing because Rodgers and the passing game were red hot in the preseason, and because Tillman has been hurt, but I think the Packers will want to get Grant going early and keep the Bears on their heals instead of pinning their ears back and coming after Rodgers. The Packers pounded the Bears on the ground at Lambeau last year and rolled to an easy win. I expect they'll try to do the same tomorrow night.

Packers 31, Bears 17

ACDC84
Sep 12, 2009
07:25 PM

I'm so sick of these two pathetic "6-10 last year" and "the Lions were 4-0 in the preseason last year" arguments. They are tired, played, and irrelevant.

First, who cares about the Lion's 4-0 preseason. So you're saying that any team that goes 4-0 in the preseason is a lock to win zero games that year?? I think not (and by the way, the Pack was 3-1 this year). While the preseason win/loss record doesn't mean a thing, the way your starters play against the opponents' starters does mean something, and the Pack has dominated in that regard. I would imagine that many of Detroit's "key" scores last year happened when their soon-to-be-cut scrubs scored on their opponent's soon-to-be-cut scrubs.

As for 6-10, again, why is that relevant? Miami didn't worry to much about their 1-15 '07 when they went on to win the division the very next year. The most casual fan would simply look at a win/loss record and make an unintelligent judgment of said team. A thoughtful fan smart enough to look at a team subjectively would realize that key injuries, a few bad breaks, and a terribly predictable defensive scheme can cause a team to post a win/loss record that is not consistent with their chances to vastly improve the very next year.

marcopo
Sep 12, 2009
10:06 PM

Daniel: The reason Packer fans are so "cocky" this season is simple. The Packer's have an exceptional team this year. The 6-10 and Detroit arguments are lame in a league that sees huge swings becoming common. But, since you are on this site, and probably a better than average fan, you must have noticed that the Packers have caught the attention of pretty much everybody. As a Packer fan, I haven't been this excited about the teams potential since '96, a long time ago. Therefore, I'm gonna enjoy every moment I can, especially when the Pack whips the Bears and the Queens (trash talk supplied, lol).

dtown
Sep 12, 2009
10:52 PM

i am a packer fan, but has anyone seen a running attack? everything is rodgers. still no running game. 10-6 season.

dhall
Sep 12, 2009
11:42 PM

Matt, love your columns but Matthew Staffiord could not have asked for an easier road defense to go against. I'm glad you played for Gregg Williams, but New Orleans is a weak defense no matter who is calling the plays. There are at least 25 better defenses out there. The D-coordinator can only do so much. Plus, it's in a dome on a fast track.

Marcopo
Sep 13, 2009
02:36 AM

dhall: Are you saying they don't have Peterson, then I understand your comment. Outside of that, not only do they have a running game, but the offensive line seems much improved over last year. In a preseason game they amassed like 250 yards rushing. That's a little taller than "no running game"

Sdwat52
Sep 13, 2009
09:30 AM

Rodgers is a fine QB - I mean, heck - ESPN voted him one of the "Prettiest", and all. Still, I think that this could indeed become a shootout, and with Cutler's performance under fiire in Denver during presason, I wouldn't look for him to panic and run for cover.

I think Olsen and Forte will have big games here, 3-4 or no. And I think Cutler is a LOT better at handling a blitz than Rodgers.

Packers fall in game 1, 31 - 21.

Koition
Sep 13, 2009
10:57 AM

MattBowen - Trying to give your boys some tips, eh? I'm still waiting for an article describing what it was like for a Bears fan becoming a Packer and what that involved for you and your family.

Daniel - Just Packers fans? I think Bears and Viking fans have been equally annoying this year... I think some of the other guys explained why we are so enthusiastic well enough already, but I want to make a couple points...

Yes, the defense did suck last year, but with half the starters out and a vanilla scheme, I don't think the Bears would fare that well either. Have you looked at the roster defensively? Not many weak spots, and a coordinator who actually knows how to use them will definately help.

Didn't the 8-8 Bears beat the same Lions twice? Not too mention stole one from the Packers? So by that same logic, I can make the same ignorant comments about the Bears...

@sdwat
Sep 13, 2009
11:37 AM

Rodgers passer rating is better against the blitz than cutler

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