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| 01 |
Ryan Nassib QB, Syracuse |
6-3 |
228 |
8.6 D |
Full Scouting Report |
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Scouting Report:
STRENGTHS - The most technically sound quarterback in the Draft, Nassib's quick and compact release combines with his footwork so that he can consistently set-up and get rid of the ball in a flash. Light on his feet, Nassib slides within the pocket, strides into his throws and makes accurate passes to all areas of the field. He has consistently shown the ability to step-up to avoid the deep rush, the quickness and agility to avoid pressure up the middle and can re-set and throw accurately. Not one who will win any arm strength battles, Nassib clearly has enough arm strength to make every NFL throw with zip and accuracy. I am confident that he has the arm to be effective throwing in some of the tougher stadiums, like Buffalo and New York. A consistently accurate passer, he does an excellent job of hitting receivers right as they come out of their cuts so that they can pluck the ball, tuck it away and get started up the field fast. Always poised within the pocket, Nassib does not get rattled as the pocket gets squeezed, which is good because he was constantly pressured and would not have been so productive at Syracuse if he could not deal with constant pressure. Able to make strong and accurate throws with pressure in his face and willing to throw the ball away rather than force passes into dangerous spots, Nassib does not make the errors that many quarterbacks do when the pocket purity is breached.
WEAKNESSES - At 6020 and 223 pounds, Nassib has just adequate size and does not look like the big, strapping quarterback that NFL teams prefer. He has a tendency to put too much air under his 25+ yard throws down field, which allows the cornerback to recover to get in position to make a play on the ball. He will need to improve his deep ball passing to become a premier NFL quarterback because being able to threaten deep opens up the defense and creates bigger windows for the passer.
SUMMARY - While watching practice at the East West Shrine Game I was asked by more than a few people what my thoughts on Nassib were and I told them I had not charted him yet. However, on the Friday and Saturday after the East West practices and before the Senior Bowl I charted out five games and within the first half of the Northwestern game it was clear he was top quarterback. Although he lacks the great size NFL teams prefer, he has enough size at 6020 and combined with his excellent mechanics, strong arm and accuracy, he has all the physical traits necessary. His consistent ability to maintain his poise within the pocket despite constant pressure is impressive and I believe he will be even better in this area in the NFL because he will get better protection than he had at Syracuse. Overall, I am sure I have Nassib rated drastically higher than anyone else does, but I am confident that he will develop into a high end starting quarterback in the NFL. Do not be surprised if he makes a late move up draft boards and ends up being a Top 10 pick despite being viewed as more of a second / third round prospect heading into the Combine. ***While some may start talking about Nassib lacking ideal size at 6020 and 223, here are some other high draft picks that are similar in size and others who have become successful NFL quarterbacks with similar size. Robert Griffin III 6023 and 223, Andy Dalton 6020 and 216, Russell Wilson 5105 and 204, Matt Stafford 6022 and 225 and Christian Ponder 6020 and 228.
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| 02 |
Matt Barkley QB, Southern California |
6-2 |
230 |
8.0 I |
Full Scouting Report |
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Scouting Report:
STRENGTHS - As fundamentally sound quarterback, Barkley is able to consistently play to the limits of his ability. Smooth dropping back to pass, his excellent footwork enables him to plant and drive off back foot to make quick and accurate throws on quick hitting passes. This great technique contributes to Barkley being the most accurate passer of the top quarterbacks in this year's draft class. Not only accurate on short/intermediate passes, Barkley has great touch on deep throws. Having played in USC's pro style offense, Barkley is well versed in making the pre-snap read, making the correct checks and setting the protection. Unlike many college quarterbacks, Barkley uses shoulder fakes and his eyes to move defenders and open up receivers easily and then can get rid of the ball quickly and accurately to the receiver he opened up. Perhaps his best trait is that he does not panic under pressure and will not force passes into bad spots to avoid sacks. He consistently shows a willingness to throw the ball away.
WEAKNESSES - Barkley lacks elite physical talent. While he has a good enough arm to make all the necessary NFL throws, he lacks a premier arm and will have some issues in bad weather and windy conditions. Although he can move and slide well to avoid pressure in the pocket, he is not a top athlete and is not going to make plays scrambling with the ball. He has been playing with a lot of elite offensive weapons at USC and has not dominated consistently, which raises concerns in my eyes about how he will do when his team is equal in talent to the opponent. Additionally, despite all the talent on offense he struggled to consistently convert key third and fourth downs into first downs to keep drives alive.
SUMMARY - The rare college quarterback who never redshirted and started four years for one of the premier football programs in the country, Barkley has experienced as much pressure as any college quarterback in recent memory. While many expected him to come out early for the 2012 NFL Draft, barkley impressed many in the NFL by staying in school to try and finish what he started despite USC's sanctions. After a disappointing senior season where USC failed to achieve the great success many expected, Barkley has shown toughness, composure and grit trying to lead the team. Not a premier physical talent, he will be downgraded by some teams because there are questions about his ability to pass effectively in bad weather/windy conditions. Overall, Barkley is a much better NFL prospect than many say he is and I feel there are a lot of similarities between him coming out of USC and Drew Brees when he came out of Purdue. Based on Barkley's ability to step in and be a productive starter at USC as a true freshman, I think he will be ready to handle starting as a rookie in the NFL. I believe that Barkley will end up being a good starting quarterback in the NFL, but will need to improve his ability to convert key downs to extend drives to become better than an average NFL starter.
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| 03 |
E.J. Manuel QB, Florida State |
6-5 |
240 |
7.9 I |
Full Scouting Report |
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Scouting Report:
STRENGTHS - Extremely athletic, Manuel has the tools to make big plays with his arm and legs. His size, strength and quick feet help him to consistently pull free from and avoid sacks within the pocket. Poised and relaxed in the pocket, Manuel does not rush and force passes into bad spots to avoid sacks. He will stand strong in pocket and can make a strong, accurate throw with pressure closing in on him. When forced to move to avoid pressure, Manuel is fast to re-set feet and gets rid of the ball quickly. Outstanding upper body mechanics help him to get rid of the ball very fast. When he strides into his throws aggressively he can make strong 15+ yard throws with good zip and accuracy, fitting the ball into tight spots. He has excellent tough throwing to running backs on "wheel" routes and to receivers deep down the field along the sideline. A high character young man, Manuel has the intelligence and work ethic that NFL teams are always looking for.
WEAKNESSES - While Manuel consistently makes good decisions and will not force passes into bad spots, his tendency to stare down his primary receiver at times leads to defensive backs being able to close quickly and make plays on the ball. At times, Manuel strides too soon or does not stride at all and his accuracy suffers when these happen.
SUMMARY - Highly productive for Florida State, Manuel no doubt has the physical tools and character/intangibles to be a successful NFL starter. However, he must do a better job with his footwork/stride in order to throw accurately every time. Additionally, while he usually does an excellent job of going through progressions while in pocket, he needs to avoid stopping during progressions and staring down his primary receiver in order to keep defensive backs from making as many plays on his passes as they did in the games I evaluated. Although Manuel's Pro Day was not stellar, he showed a very strong arm, but was high and outside on a number of passes which forced his receivers to adjust to make tough catches. Overall, Manuel will likely be a late first or high second round pick and if he improves in the areas mentioned above he should become a good starting quarterback in the NFL.
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| 04 |
Tyler Wilson QB, Arkansas |
6-3 |
220 |
7.8 M |
Full Scouting Report |
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Scouting Report:
STRENGTHS - Under-rated athletically, Wilson has consistently shown the ability to avoid pressure, gets out of the pocket and can makes plays on the move. Although his release is not pretty (A little 3/4ish and Phillip Rivers live), he can get rid of the ball quickly. Ball comes out of his hand with good zip and spiral and has the arm strength to make every NFL throw with ease when he strides into throws. Flashes willingness to patiently stand in pocket while going through progressions and can come back to check-down receiver when he finds no open receiver. When he strides into throws he can be a very accurate short and intermediate thrower. He flashes the touch and arm strength to make strong throws and accurate throws 20+ yards down the field. He is a tough kid who will battle through dings to stay on the field. When he anticipates rush getting close he has shown a willingness to throw the ball away.
WEAKNESSES - A frustrating player who has the talent to be outstanding, Wilson needs to become much more consistent. I wonder about his ability to consistently read the deep coverage as defensive backs are in good position to make plays on his passes way too often. While he will throw ball away in a flash when he anticipates rush, if the rush gets close to him he has a very bad habit of throwing ball off his back foot as he falls away to avoid the pressure. He does not use both hands to protect the ball when the pass rush gets close to him and this is an issue because he has small hands and has struggled with fumbles during college. It is always scary when a quarterback's play declines his senior year as they rarely get back to their previous level of play.
SUMMARY - Having excelled in Coach Petrino's pass friendly offense, Wilson was not as consistent in 2012 playing in a new offense under a new coach. He has a quick release even though it is not a pretty looking release and the ball usually comes out of his hand with zip and a tight spiral. My biggest issues with Wilson are his instincts/football intelligence. I wonder about his ability to see the whole field and read the defense consistently well because too often he makes throws that defenders are in good position to make a play on the ball. Additionally, he does not consistently sense/anticipate the pass rush getting close to him until too late and then he further compounds the problem by throwing the ball up for grabs while falling away off his back foot. Overall, Wilson is likely to be a late first or high second round pick, but if he does not improve in the areas mentioned above he is unlikely to become a consistent starting QB in the NFL.
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| 05 |
Geno Smith QB, West Virginia |
6-3 |
220 |
7.6 I |
Full Scouting Report |
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Scouting Report:
STRENGTHS - Maintaining poise and patience vs rush in pocket, Smith does not panic when pressured. He has consistently shown a willingness to throw the ball away to avoid pressure and will not force passes into bad spots. Nimble and quick footed, Smith moves easily within the pocket to avoid pressure and can escape pocket when needed. Not only can Smith put the ball down and make big plays running with the ball, but he shows the body control and coordination to make accurate throws on the move even when he cannot re-set his feet. While Smith does not have rare arm strength, he definitely has a strong arm to make every NFL throw with ease. He has shown the ability to make the far-side 15 yard out throw with excellent zip without setting feet and striding into throw. Although his throwing motion is not pretty or consistent, he has consistently shown the quickness to get rid of the ball fast on quick hitting passes. Similar to Andrew Luck and RGIII, Smith is exceptionally smart with great intangibles/character and work ethic.
WEAKNESSES - While not at the same low level as Jake Locker, Smith accuracy is not great. Of the following QB's (Tyler Bray, Mike Glennon, Matt Barkley, Ryan Nassib, Tyler Wilson, Landry Jones and E.J. Manuel), Smith accuracy was the lowest when charted out. His quick hitting passes tended to dip in front of receiver at times and when he had to put a lot of zip on throws, but did not set feet and stride into throw his passes tended to float and be high. Although he flashes the ability to get rid of the ball quickly, Smith's footwork and delivery/mechanics are not tight and efficient. Too often his throwing mechanics look different on every pass and he often throws without good foot placement. On key conversion downs (3rd & 4th down & less than 10 when the play begins as a pass play) he only converted 51% of the time, which again was the lowest of the group of QB's listed above.
SUMMARY - Based on all the great things NFL scouts told me about Geno's character, leadership, work ethic and intangibles, I was very excited to evaluate his play. While he impressed me with his athleticism, strong arm and most impressive his ability to avoid mistakes, his footwork/mechanics, conversion rate and inconsistent accuracy kept me from giving him a first round grade. I have no doubt that in terms of physical skills, arm strength and athleticism, Smith is elite, but quarterbacks with accuracy issues often struggle to become consistent starters in the NFL. Overall, I have no doubt that Geno Smith will be a first round pick because of his physical skills and outstanding intangibles, but I would not draft him until the second round. I believe he will be a solid starting quarterback who rarely makes mistakes, but constantly struggles with accuracy issues. He will need to improve his footwork, both dropping back to pass and in terms of his mechanics, and accuracy to become the elite quarterback many expect him to be.
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| 06 |
Landry Jones QB, Oklahoma |
6-4 |
218 |
7.5 E |
Full Scouting Report |
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Scouting Report:
STRENGTHS - Possessing a very strong arm, Landry Jones can make every NFL throw with remarkable ease. When he strides into throws aggressively and follows through he can fit passes into tight spots with good timing and accuracy. Above the waist his throwing motion is smooth, fluid and consistent. When he identifies the defensive coverage correctly, he flashes the ability to make throws to spots where only his man has a chance to make a play on the ball. Although his throwing motion is just average in quickness, he does flash the ability to set-up and make the quick hitting passes with good timing and accuracy. Jones is a better athlete than he gets credit for and is able to slide within the pocket to avoid pressure. Blessed with good size and strength, Jones consistently has been able to pull free from defenders attempting to reach and grab at him and can make strong throws with defenders pulling at him.
WEAKNESSES - Despite a smooth throwing motion, it is not quick and is deliberate, which allows defenders to close quickly and make plays on his passes. He has two bad habits, which lead to mistakes - 1. He will stare down primary receiver and 2. Will throw the ball up for grabs when the pocket is collapsing around him. I question how well he identifies the defense pre-snap and reads the defense during the play as a number of his interceptions seem to come from him throwing passes he should never attempt that defenders are in position to make a play on. Although able to slide to avoid sacks decently, he lacks the quickness and athleticism to pull the ball down and scramble for positive yards. .
SUMMARY - Highly regarded and hyped up by the media, Landry has been viewed as a definite first round grade since he took over for Sam Bradford. However, the reality is that Jones is a streak passer whose accuracy can be great for stretches and then poor for a while. He must quicken his throwing motion and avoiding throwing the ball up for grabs off his back foot when under pressure to avoid the inteceptions he threw too many of in the games evaluated. Overall, I am not a huge fan of Landry Jones' potential to be a quality NFL starter, but he charted out be a high second round pick. If he can improve his reading of the defense and become a more consistently accurate passer then he was what it takes to be a quality NFL starter.
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| 07 |
Mike Glennon QB, North Carolina State |
6-6 |
232 |
7.4 I |
Full Scouting Report |
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Scouting Report:
STRENGTHS- Glennon is a tall, strong armed quarterback with better athleticism than he gets credit for. He has the big league arm to make every NFL throw with ease and can really drive throws into tight windows when he strides into his throws. He will not force passes into bad spots to avoid sacks. While he will never make big plays scrambling with the ball, he has the foot quickness and agility to move/slide well within the pocket to avoid pressure when he feels/senses it. When he gets outside the pocket he has consistently shown the ability to throw accurately on the move, both on touch passes and on passes that need zip. He does a good job of identifying the defense pre-snap and makes the quick throw to receiver/tight-end who is in area vacated by blitzer.
WEAKNESSES - Glennon does not consistently stride into his throws and this leads to his intermediate (10 - 24 yards) accuracy not being great. He does not sense/feel pressure consistently; especially blindside pressure, which leads to him being sacked more than a player with his ability to move within the pocket should be. Additionally, he does not wrap-up the ball well while going through progressions which makes him more suceptible to fumbling. He is so risk-averse and will not force throws that he throws the ball away or checks it down very fast, which leads to too many stalled drives as he does this often on third downs when the defense blitzes and gets fast pressure. He must get over this fear of mistakes and be willing to rip some throws in order to keep some drives going. Despite reading the defense well pre-snap, he does not consistently judge the safeties ability to break and close on passes correctly which leads to some of his deep, sideline passes being broken up or intercepted. .
SUMMARY - Glennon is a unique prospect because after evaluating him off junior film I was not overly impressed and viewed him as more of a third or fourth round pick. However, he improved a lot from 2011 to 2012 and displayed many of the tools to become a solid starting quarterback in the NFL. The more I evaluated Glennon the more his playing style reminded me of Falcons' quarterback Matt Ryan and interestingly both players through more interceptions during their senior seasons than most top quarterback prospects do. Glennon is going to need work on the area mentioned above in weaknesses, which is why I do not view him as an ideal rookie starter. However, I do believe that Glennon has the tools to develop into a quality starting quarterback. For him to do so he will need to do a better job of sensing blindside pressure and show more patience before throwing ball away on key downs in order to extend drives to put more points on the scoreboard and give the defense more time to rest.
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| 08 |
Zac Dysert QB, Miami (Ohio) |
6-4 |
228 |
6.4 I |
Full Scouting Report |
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Scouting Report:
STRENGTHS - Dysert has good height and ideal bulk to play the position at the NFL level. His natural strength is apparent in the pocket, as he shows the ability to break arm tackles in order to extend plays. He also displays the foot quicks and agility to slide within the pocket as well as escape outside. He shows the willingness to work through his progressions, and keeps his head up to look for passing options even when forced to scramble out of the pocket. He displays outstanding accuracy to all parts of the field, and in particular on throws down-field over 25 yards. This is in large part because of his consistent follow through on all of his throws.
WEAKNESSES - Despite his size Dysert does not have a big arm, as his throws outside the hashes tend to flutter. He struggles to get good rotation and velocity on his throws in part because of his footwork, and he does not generate enough lower body torque or step into his throws aggressively enough. His footwork seems to worsen when he sees pressure, and he also tends to force bad balls into traffic, often on key conversion situations. Although he displays the quickness to escape pressure in the pocket, he lacks foot speed in space and is not a threat to pick up large chunks of yards with his feet. Although he is willing to work through his progressions, he often hangs onto the ball and takes too many sacks he should be able to avoid by either taking off down-field or throwing the ball away once he escapes the pocket.
SUMMARY - Zac Dysert was a unique QB prospect to evaluate, as it would be easy to dismiss him as a later round prospect because of his average arm strength and poor decision making, but his outstanding accuracy makes him well worth a gamble on day two. He is a good enough athlete to maneuver within the pocket and escape the rush, but he lacks the foot speed to be a true threat in space. Despite his speed limitations, he repeatedly took bad sacks at Miami while trying to extend plays out of the pocket, and must learn when to throw the ball away or take off and run. His accuracy is excellent to all parts of the field despite generating limited zip on his throws, and in particular he charted out as one of the most accurate deep throwers the past three year. Despite his accuracy, he made numerous critical decisions in every game evaluated, and in particular seemed to force the ball in conversion situations. While he is clearly not ready to start in the NFL, he clearly has the skill set to develop into one, as few prospects have his combination of accuracy and pocket mobility. If he can improve his footwork, velocity and decision making, he will likely develop into one of the top QBs of this draft class.
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| 09 |
Tyler Bray QB, Tennessee |
6-6 |
215 |
6.14 E |
Full Scouting Report |
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Scouting Report:
STRENGTHS - Perhaps the best arm talent in the Draft, Bray makes 20+ yard throws on a rope with remarkable ease. When he is on and striding into throws he can fit passes into very tight spots with outstanding zip and accuracy. Although he is not a good athlete, Bray can slide within pocket to avoid rush, can re-set feet and gets rid of the ball well. He does a good job of identifying the blitz pre-snap and gets the ball to the receiver in area that was vacated by blitzer. Few quarterbacks can make the 15 to 20 yard skinny post throw with the zip and accuracy to allow the receiver to catch pass and start up the field in a flash. When he is not pressured he will sit in the pocket and goes through his progressions well to find an open receiver. Additionally, when he senses/feels pressure he has consistently shown a willingness to throw the ball away.
WEAKNESSES - Despite elite arm talent, Bray's production was wildly inconsistent; especially considering how many talented players he had to throw the ball to. While his upper body mechanics are often consistent, they are not quick and his footwork is too inconsistent. He does not stride into throws consistently and often just turns upper body and snaps off throw without setting his feet properly. His tendency to not stride into throws and keep his legs straight leads to his passes dipping low in front of receiver. Although he reads the blitz well pre-snap, I question his read of the defense as he makes some throws that defenders are sitting there waiting for. Additionally, Bray is deliberate in his throwing motion, which allows defenders to read and react to his passes. While he can be a very accurate passer, he needs to get better at leading receiver rather than throwing to the receiver. Bray's leadership and football intangibles have questions surrounding them, which definitely does not help his draft stock.
SUMMARY - I cannot remember evaluating a quarterback in recent years who frustrated me so much. There is no doubt in my mind that Bray has frontline starter's talent, but his footwork, deliberate throwing motion and inconsistent vision of the defense led to his production being so ridiculously inconsistent. While he is not a top athlete and looks extremely skinny for a 6'6 quarterback, he is nimble enough to slide and avoid rushers within the pocket and is able to re-set and throw with surprising ease. Overall, Bray's performance at Tennessee does not warrant being drafted before the third round, which is why I have given him a third round grade. However, I also have no doubt that if you put Bray's 50 best throws on a highlight reel they would be as good as any other quarterback in this year's draft class. Then when you add what I believe will be an outstanding passing display at his Pro Day (Few quarterbacks get to throw to two elite receivers and a good tight end prospect that he is completely comfortable with), I have a feeling that some team is going to gamble on Bray late in the first round or right at the top of the second round.
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| 10 |
Matt Scott QB, Arizona |
6-3 |
196 |
6.0 J |
Full Scouting Report |
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Scouting Report:
STRENGTHS - An under-rated QB, Scott has impressed with his ability to make big plays with his arm and legs. Lining up primarily in the shotgun, Scott shows the quick feet and athleticism to catch snap, set-up and make quick hitting throw to receiver. He carries the ball high and tight as he goes through progressions and has a quick and compact release to get rid of the ball fast once he identifies receiver. Poised in the pocket, he has shown a willingness to stand strong and make accurate throws down the field while a pass rusher closes on him. Good timing and touch, he can make the 20+ yard throw down the sideline with great accuracy - Drops the ball out of the sky. He has the athleticism to move quickly within the pocket to avoid pressure and can re-set and get rid of the ball quickly. With his foot quicks and athleticism, Scott can get out of the pocket and make big plays scrambling with the ball.
WEAKNESSES - "On the hoof" Scott looks thin, almost frail which makes me question his ability to be a durable NFL quarterback. He has a bad habit of staring down his primary receiver once he identifies who he wants to throw to and this allows defensive back to close quickly and make play on the ball. Although he usually is poised with pressure closing on him, he will throw the ball up for grabs too often for my liking and it leads to interceptions. He does not always read the blitz correctly and throws passes to spots where defenders can make a play on the ball.
SUMMARY - One of the most intriguing QB in this year's draft class, Scott has the athleticism to make big plays with his feet and his arm. Having run Coach Rodriguez's spread option offense at Arizona, Scott could step in and run the read-option that numerous NFL teams have integrated into their offense. When he is on and making good decisions he can be a very accurate passer on short, intermediate and deep passes and makes excellent throws as pass rushers close on him. However, his tendency to force some passes and stare down his primary receiver are why I have concerns about his ability to become a consistent starting QB. Overall, I think Scott will be drafted higher than I have him rated because of his athleticism and passing skills, but he is not a finished product and needs to improve a lot to be a consistently productive starter in the NFL.
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