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NFL Draft: First Round Breakdown

Wes Bunting

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FROM WES BUNTING:

One thing you’ll never see me do at the National Football Post is hand out grades to an NFL franchise the week after the draft -- before any of its players have a chance to step on the field at mini-camp. But I will take the approach of identifying picks I like from a value or scheme fit, as well as offer insights on the picks I’m still scratching my head over. Today, we start off breaking down the first round.

Picks I like from a value and scheme perspective…

DT B.J. Raji, Green Bay Packers

If the Packers want to have any shot of becoming a successful 3-4 defense, they needed to find themselves a player they can build around at the nose tackle position -- and they did by adding Raji with the ninth overall pick. The Packers did have DT Ryan Pickett penciled in as the starter, and he would have been serviceable in the new scheme, but Raji gives them a chance to develop into an upper-echelon defense in the future. He not only has the ability to eat up blockers inside, he also does a nice job holding the point of attack and is tough to move off the ball. He’s a guy you can begin building your defense around quickly and get years of production from. 

TE Brandon Pettigrew, Detroit Lions

The tight end position isn’t considered a real sexy pick in the first round, and there were other spots on the Lions’ roster that needed to be addressed. However, when you consider they currently have Michael Gaines and Casey Fitzsimmons sitting atop their depth chart at tight end, an upgrade was needed. Now, not only will Pettigrew likely come in and start from day one, but he’s a safe value at pick No. 20 and gives QB Matthew Stafford, the Lions’ first overall pick, a security blanket underneath for years to come. Pettigrew will be able to stay on the field for all three downs, will be successful blocking in the run game and will help the development of a rookie quarterback. What else could the Lions ask for?

DT Peria Jerry, Atlanta Falcons

The ability to team Jerry with current starting DT Jonathan Babineaux has to give the Falcons one of the most explosive pairs of interior lineman in the NFL. Jerry is a bit older than most prospects in this year’s draft (he turns 25 in August), but his maturity and passion are both strong suites of his game. The kid loves football, and you can see it through his motor and work ethic on the field. He’s an explosive, penetrating lineman who knows how to shoot gaps and create havoc in an opponent’s backfield. He does a nice job making plays away from his body and also possesses the lower body strength to hold up against the run. The Falcons had some interest last year in LSU DT Glenn Dorsey, believing he might be interior lineman they needed, but it looks like they got their man a year later.

Picks I like from a scheme perspective…

WR/RB Percy Harvin, Minnesota Vikings

If you thought Harvin was explosive in the swamp at Florida, just wait until he sets foot on the turf at the Metrodome. This pick makes so much sense in so many ways, as Harvin will have plenty of opportunities to beat man-to-man coverage in Minnesota and create big plays in the passing game. It’s no secret that the Vikings make their living on the two legs of RB Adrian Peterson in the run game. But with Harvin now working out of the slot, you have to wonder how content are teams going to be to load the box with eight defenders.

Harvin gives the Vikings so many options on offense, and the idea of lining him and Peterson up in same the backfield has to make NFC North teams concerned. Harvin isn’t a polished receiver by any stretch, and he’ll struggle beating press on the outside, but if you need someone to gain initial separation and create plays with his feet, Harvin is the guy.

C Alex Mack, Cleveland Browns

Mack isn’t the type of draft pick who’s going to drive a town crazy, but he’s a player who can instantly upgrade the interior of the offensive line and give the Browns a potential starter for the next 10 years. Hank Fraley, last season’s starting center, is a tough, serviceable guy, but Mack is a physical run blocker with an ability to anchor inside and looks like a great fit for a team that will need to be successful running the ball.

Picks that left me wondering…

DE Tyson Jackson, Kansas City Chiefs

For everyone who is already making Tyson Jackson-Richard Seymour comparisons, I have one piece of advice: There’s only one Richard Seymour. Seymour is a rare physical athlete with a combination of size, length, power and explosion that’s unmatched by almost anyone else in the NFL. Jackson is going to be a good player in the NFL, but I think he’ll have a career path closer to that of Cowboys DE Marcus Spears. With the third overall pick, I just don’t think Jackson offers enough.

DE Brian Orakpo, Washington Redskins

Not only do I have questions concerning Orakpo as a prospect, I also don’t think he’s a good fit in Greg Blache’s defense. The best film on Orakpo in the 2008 season is the footage of him in the Texas weight room. He plays nowhere near the strength his weight-room numbers would indicate, and if you want more proof, pop in the tape of him vs. OT Phil Loadholt, or worse yet, the tape of him vs. TE Brandon Pettigrew. He struggled holding the point of attack against both these guys and was consistently bullied by them in the run game. Plus, I still don’t think Orakpo has the first step to reach the corner in the NFL and feel his elite physical attributes simply don’t show up on the field.

DE Evander Hood, Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers needed to add more youth to their defensive front three, and Hood does have the ability to develop into a solid five-technique end. However, I think it’s a real waste of the kid’s talent asking him to eat up blockers and allow others around him to make plays. He’s a sudden, penetrating tackle who is ideally suited to play the three-technique. He was a good value at pick No. 32 for the Steelers, but I don’t think he’ll be able to reach his maximum potential in a 3-4 scheme.

OLB Brian Cushing, Houston Texans

Houston needed to find a strongside linebacker to replace current starter Zac Diles, but I don’t think Cushing is the type of player they’re envisioning in Houston. He’s a not a real gifted athlete in space and will struggle defending the pass down the field. Do you really think he’s going to successfully run down the seam with a TE like Dallas Clark twice a year? Plus, he isn’t the type of pass rusher his press clippings would leave you to believe, and I just don’t see him becoming a real playmaker in the Texans’ 4-3 defense.

Comments

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Cheddar Head
Apr 28, 2009
04:04 PM

Wes, I really like all your point (obviously from a cheesehead) but I'm curious to know who you would've picked if you were sitting there at 13. Redskins were looking for a pure pass rusher and Ayers doesn't fit the bill.

If it were me I would've picked Jenkins, but if he is indeed too slow for CB then there's no space for him at safety.

I'm just wondering who you would've picked?

Bill Parcells is my uncle
Apr 28, 2009
04:24 PM

I gotta be honest here, I am mixed on this review, Wes -

Good to see that you are finally coming around on Harvin a bit - But I don't see how the Vikings "scheme fit" is any better than Harvin would be if he had landed in New England or Miami - In fact, either team would have been a better fit from a scheme perspective in my view -

Just imagine Harvin being utilized in a Wes Welker type role - Or a Wayne Chrebet type role, along with lining up and being utilized in the wildcat formation - The Vikings are already talking about lining him in up the wildcat as further evidence, since they didn't even run the formation last year to my knowledge -

Minnesota's offensive scheme isn't going to make Harvin anymore explosive than he already is coming into the league - I will agree with you on the Adrian Peterson front, in that it gives opposing teams two explosive players to worry about - But that is about the talent of the players in my view, not their scheme -

On Tyson Jackson, with new Kansas City DC Clancy Pendergast running a scheme diverse 4 3 and 3 4 - I really like this fit for their scheme -

On Orakpo, I know you don't like him and you know that I kinda do - But what do you think about Washington's initial plan of standing him up as a strong side backer and dropping him down to end on passing downs, Wes - Any thoughts on if he can handle all that coming in?

Wes Bunting said: "What else could the Lions ask for?"

How about Michael Oher :)

Cheddar Head
Apr 28, 2009
04:31 PM

Shaggytoodle,
I of coarse I have to agree about the short yardage stands. But in my opinion it was more about scheme than anything else. The Pack had plenty of big bodies to stuff the run and even did a decent job from 1-3 down up the middle, but Sanders refused to bring the LB's up to the line. I don't love the Bears D scheme but I love their goal line D. They bring everyone up to the line and don't worry about their LB's getting caught up on the inside, they have enough confidence that someone will bust through so the back never makes it to the outside.

shaggytoodle
Apr 28, 2009
04:31 PM

Another great thing about Raji with the Packers, is I remember against the Carolina in a game last year. The Panthers had an easy time punching it in down by the goal line at will. With Raji and Pickett we should be able to get atleast one goal line stuff when we need it in crunch time. I believe that if we are lucky enough to stay healthy we can have a very good chance at making the playoffs in a division that each team has done something too make a big improvement, the Vikings made their move last year, the Bears made their moves before the draft the Packers and Lions made theres during.

B
Apr 28, 2009
04:40 PM

Pettigrew should be a solid addition to the Lions, it was hard for them to not upgrade when picking in the first round. He should be a solid TE for years to come, I just question the decision not to go Oher. Seems like he'll be a RT at worst and could be a franchise LT. If I look for a rookie QB, my first perogative is to make sure he has a few extra seconds. Stafford shouldn't start right away but Culpepper also needs an extra half second than most qbs. Lions would be better of going Oher 1 and gambling on a TE later (like Nelson). Each pick by the lions left me wondering why they weren't getting the O-line some help (and pettigrew will help some). Since they didn't, they'll have the same opportunity at the top of round 1 and 2 to have a go at it again.

Aside, It's pretty ironic that Oher, the guy "The Blind Side" was written about ends up on the right.

Wes Bunting
Apr 28, 2009
04:46 PM

Cheddar head: Michael Oher, they need to find a tackle

BPIMU: your missing the point on Harvin, he is a great fit in Minn, not saying he wouldn't also be good in NE or Mia, but they didn't draft him, so why worry about it? He is going to be a slot guy and do a lot of things on that offense, gives Childress a lot of versatility. Can you imagine him in the wildcat with Peterson? That sounds like a good fit to me. In the WCO they run in Minn its a lot of short crossing routes that they will ask him to run and allow him to create after the catch.
Remember finding players that complement each other and enhance each others production on offense is scheme related, the coach needs to put those guys in positions so they can take advantage of each others skill sets.

Jackson is a good fit, but at the 3rd pick?

IF they have Orakpo stand up at OLB in a 4-3 on first down, the opposition will throw 95% of the time when he is standing up. It will be like Gholsten trying to play in space.

Tom Selleck
Apr 28, 2009
04:47 PM

Are you just saying Marcus Spears because he also played at LSU or do you think him and Jackson have more similarities? I'm not a Cowboys fan, but my impression is Spears has been a pretty poor player for a late 1st round pick, let alone top 3 like Jackson. Can Jackson at least be as good as Chris Canty?

Scott M.
Apr 28, 2009
04:49 PM

Wes - lot of folks are knocking the Pettigrew pick because they passed on a tackle but this was hands down the best pick of the draft IMHO. I'm not saying the kid's going to be all-pro or anything but where the already have a great WR and an excellent RB, Pettigrew is the perfect complement to both. He's bigger than most DEs and LBs in this league plus he's a huge red zone target - he wasn't used that way in college but the skills are there. They've got Cherilus developing and Murtha could be a real sleeper if they can get his talent to translate to the field.

I never liked the idea of taking Stafford at #1 but if they were going that route, Pettigrew at #20 was definitely the best addition they could make.

Bill Parcells is my uncle
Apr 28, 2009
05:24 PM

Thanks for the feedback, Wes -

I guess what I am really saying on Harvin is that I don't see him as a bad fit in any offense - The kid is lightning in a bottle - I don't see any difficulty with getting the ball in his hands -

My best guess in KC is when Jason Smith went off the board, all bets were off - Jackson was the cleanest player on their board at that point -

So what you're saying on Orakpo if they stand him up is that Jason Witten goes for 300 yards and 2 touchdowns in two games against him this year...on first downs alone - :)

Lou
Apr 28, 2009
05:37 PM

Go Pack GO!!!

Zach Abramowitz
Apr 28, 2009
05:50 PM

Hard to take you too seriously on the Cushing point (or any), seeing as you were ranting and raving to Bill Simmons about how Tampa's speed on defense was going to carry them in the playoffs.

Cheddar Head
Apr 28, 2009
06:05 PM

Thanks Wes

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