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NFP Monday Mock Draft

Wes Bunting

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FROM WES BUNTING:

The NFL Draft is quickly approaching, and each day brings new information about some of the nation’s top prospects. Here is the National Football Post’s sixth mock draft of the season.

1.     Detroit Lions: Matthew Stafford, QB, Georgia

The Lions could go in a number of directions, but to start the re-building process, expect Detroit to opt for a quarterback. Stafford possesses the physical tools needed to develop into a NFL-quality passer and gives the Lions someone to build around.

      2.     St. Louis Rams: Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia

With the release of OT Orlando Pace and WR Torry Holt, the Rams have two significant holes to fill. Look for St. Louis to start from the inside and opt for an offensive tackle like Monroe.

3.     Kansas City Chiefs: Aaron Curry, OLB, Wake Forest

Curry is one of the draft’s true “elite” prospects and should come in and contribute right away in Kansas City. He’s still in the mix for the first overall pick, but even if he doesn’t go No. 1, I don’t expect him to fall past the Chiefs.

4.     Seattle Seahawks: Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas

The Seahawks are desperately trying to improve their defensive line, and with the trade for DT Cory Redding this weekend, I don’t think B.J. Raji is in Seattle’s draft plans any longer. However, a pass rusher like Orakpo, who can play opposite DE Patrick Kerney, seems like a natural fit.

5.     Cleveland Browns: Everette Brown, OLB, Florida State

Cleveland needs to add more weapons on the defensive side of the ball, and Brown has the pass rush ability to warrant the selection. He’s a bit undersized but should fair well as a 3-4 OLB.

6.     Cincinnati Bengals: Jason Smith, OT, Baylor

Cincinnati needs to improve the talent along its offensive line, and Smith has the athleticism to come in and play from day one. This pick would give the Bengals some much-needed flexibility up front and help stabilize their O-line.

7.     Oakland Raiders: B.J. Raji, DT, Boston College

The Raiders have ranked in the bottom third in the league vs. the run the past five years and need to add more talent inside. Raji is a powerful, stout tackle who can consistently eat up blockers and push the pocket.

8.     Jacksonville Jaguars: Mark Sanchez, QB, USC

The Jaguars have little depth at the quarterback position, and Sanchez might be too good to pass up. He would be able to develop for a year or two in Jacksonville and get the reps needed to become a successful NFL quarterback.

9.     Green Bay Packers: Andre Smith, OT, Alabama

If the Packers are unable to fill a void in their 3-4 defense at this pick, expect them to address their offensive line. Smith has been falling down some draft boards of late, but he’s one of the draft’s top talents and would come in and instantly upgrade the Packers’ offensive line.

10.  San Francisco 49ers: Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech

The 49ers lack a bona fide No. 1 wideout, and Crabtree has the ability to develop into one of the league’s best. Wide receivers always have a tendency to fall on draft day, but don’t expect Crabtree to drop past the Niners.

11.  Buffalo Bills: Robert Ayers, DE, Tennessee

Ayers is starting to build momentum and looks like he’s made his way up the top end of the draft. His ability to play the run and rush the passer makes him an ideal fit in Buffalo.

      12.  Denver Broncos: Aaron Maybin, DE/OLB, Penn State

Maybin is a hybrid DE/OLB who might be the draft’s top pure pass rusher. He not only possesses a great first step on the outside but also showcases the instincts to consistently get off the snap count on time. He is the type of outside pass rusher the Broncos have been in search for.

13.  Washington Redskins: Michael Oher, OT, Ole Miss

The Redskins don’t have many options at this pick as they need to add more youth and talent to their offensive line. Oher is an exceptionally talented kid, however, his lack of instincts may force him to play on the right side.

14.  New Orleans Saints: Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois

The Saints need to add talent to the cornerback position and may opt for the talent and upside of Davis over FS/CB tweener Malcolm Jenkins. Davis is a boom or bust prospect, but he possesses the athletic ability to develop into a real shutdown corner.

15.  Houston Texans: Malcolm Jenkins, CB/FS, Ohio State

Jenkins’ stock has slipped of late because of his slower than expected 40 times at the Combine and his pro day. However, expect the secondary-starved Texans to pounce on Jenkins at pick No. 15 and use him in a variety of roles on defense.

16.  San Diego Chargers: Rey Maualuga, ILB, USC

With the re-signing of RB LaDainian Tomlinson, expect the Chargers to address their inside linebacker position. Maualuga is a fast flowing, downhill backer who would be an ideal fit in San Diego’s aggressive 3-4 defense.

17.  New York Jets: Josh Freeman, QB, Kansas State

The quarterback-starved Jets are running out of options at this stage and may opt for a rookie quarterback. Freeman possesses a rare skill set and, because of a weak quarterback class, will likely come off the board some time during the mid-first round.

18.  Chicago Bears: Eben Britton, OT, Arizona

The Bears need to upgrade their offensive tackle position, and Britton has the ability to come in and start from day one. Britton is a technically savvy tackle with good power and base strength. My only concern is his lack of length, although he should get by playing on the right side.

19.  Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Peria Jerry, DT, Ole Miss

Jerry is an explosive, penetrating tackle who would be an ideal fit in the Buccaneers’ one-gap scheme. He plays with a motor that runs non-stop and should be an instant upgrade inside.

20.  Detroit Lions: William Beatty, OT, Connecticut

The Lions will need to find a way to protect their new investment (Stafford), and Beatty is the last of the top offensive tackles still on the board. He’s a gifted athlete with long arms and should come in and start for the Lions immediately.

      21.  Philadelphia Eagles: Chris Wells, RB, Ohio State

Yes, this is completely against what Coach Andy Reid has done in the past, but with no offensive linemen worthy of the pick, it makes sense for the Eagles to land a bigger running back. Wells had an impressive showing at his pro day and could end up being the first back off the board.

22.  Minnesota Vikings: Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri

The addition of QB Sage Rosenfels will help the Vikings’ pass game, but a complement to WR Bernard Berrian is still needed. Maclin is a big-time playmaker who has the ability to contribute outside, in the slot or on special teams.

23.  New England Patriots: Sean Smith, DB, Utah

Smith is a tall, fluid defensive back who can come in and fill a variety of roles in the Patriots’ secondary. He possesses rare footwork and balance for a man his size and has the athletic ability to become an impact player in New England.

24.  Atlanta Falcons: Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech

The Falcons need to find a pass rush threat opposite DE John Abraham, and Johnson certainly fits the bill. His stock is running hot right now after impressive performances at the Combine and his pro day. He still needs to develop physically but has the athletic ability to warrant a first-round pick.

25.  Miami Dolphins: Ron Brace, DT, Boston College

I can’t see Bill Parcells drafting a wide receiver this early in the draft. Instead, expect him to opt for an eventual replacement for NT Jason Ferguson. Brace is a wide-bodied defender who eats up blockers and clogs the middle, the type of defender the Fins need inside.

26.  Baltimore Ravens: Brian Cushing, OLB, USC

With the loss of ILB Bart Scott, the Ravens need to find a replacement inside. The jury is still out on Cushing regarding his position at the next level. However, the versatility of the Ravens’ defense should allow him to find a home at one of their linebacker positions.

27.  Indianapolis Colts: Percy Harvin, WR, Florida

Indianapolis will be in search of a wideout now that WR Marvin Harrison is gone. Harvin is a great value at the end of round one. He is still developing as a receiver, but he has the athletic ability to flourish in the Colts’ offense.

28.  Philadelphia Eagles: Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma State

Pettigrew is a physically imposing tight end who can help contribute in both the run and pass game. He lacks the vertical speed to get down the field but should be a good fit in the Eagles’ west coast offense.

29.  New York Giants: Hakeem Nicks, WR, North Carolina

The Giants’ most glaring need is at wide receiver, and even with WR Darrius Heyward-Bey still on the board, I think Nicks is a better fit. He’s a physical receiver who runs good routes and showcases strong hands. He’s the kind of talent who could thrive in the Giants pass game.

30.  Tennessee Titans: Evander Hood, DT, Missouri

The Titans are in need of an interior defensive lineman after the loss of DT Albert Haynesworth, and Hood has the ability to contribute from day one. He’s a strong, stout defender with good interior pass rush ability and a nose for the football.

      31.  Arizona Cardinals: Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia

Moreno is one of the draft’s top 20 prospects and will be an ideal fit in the Cardinals’ spread attack. His lack of 40 speed may hurt him on draft day, but expect him to make a big impact in the NFL.

32.  Pittsburgh Steelers: Alex Mack, C, California

The Steelers need to add more talent to the interior of their offensive line, and Mack is a tough lineman who can play either center or guard. He’s a safe value at the end of round one and should be able to contribute right away.

Second Round

33.  Detroit Lions: James Laurinaitis, ILB, Ohio State

The inside linebacker the Lions desperately need.

34.  New England Patriots: Clay Matthews, OLB, USC

An ideal outside linebacker in the Patriots’ 3-4 defense.

35.  St. Louis Rams: Kenny Britt, WR, Rutgers

The Rams have enough vertical threats; now they need a guy to work the middle.

36.  Cleveland Browns: Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest

The Brown’s secondary needs repairs, and Smith is a good starting point.

37.  Seattle Seahawks: LeSean McCoy, RB, Pittsburgh

McCoy adds some much-needed explosion to the Seahawks’ run game.

38.  Cincinnati Bengals: Max Unger, C, Oregon

The Bengals don’t have a chance until they get their offensive line fixed.

39.  Jacksonville Jaguars: D.J. Moore, CB, Vanderbilt

Moore fills the hole opposite Rashean Mathis.

40.  Oakland Raiders: Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland

The kind of explosive vertical threat the Raiders crave.

41.  Green Bay Packers: Connor Barwin, DE/OLB, Cincinnati

A pass rushing tweener who should fill a void at OLB.

42.  Buffalo Bills: Shawn Nelson, TE, Southern Miss

The Bills need to add some playmakers to the TE position.

43.  San Francisco 49ers: Larry English, OLB, Northern Illinois

The outside pass rusher the 49ers need.

44.  Miami Dolphins: Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU

A five-technique end who should fit in nicely in the Dolphins’ 3-4 defense.

45.  New York Giants: Darius Butler, CB, Connecticut

Butler adds some depth to the corner position with the upside to develop into a big-time starter.

46.  Houston Texans: Tyrone McKenzie, OLB, South Florida

One of the draft’s top pure 4-3 outside linebackers.

47.  New England Patriots: Jarron Gilbert, DE, San Jose State

An intriguing 5-technique end who’s loaded with upside.

48.  Denver Broncos: Asher Allen, CB, Georgia

Adds some much-needed talent to the Denver secondary.

49.  Chicago Bears: Lawrence Sidbury Jr., DE, Richmond

Comments

Add a Comment
qotsa1
Mar 16, 2009
12:43 PM

The Packers are dangerously thin on the Dline and they need some help opposite Kampman. I can't see taking a OT with a questionable work ethic at such a high pick.

Wes Bunting
Mar 16, 2009
12:47 PM

Scott:
Gilbert and Jackson are both very good players, but I just couldn't see a team taking either in the first round at this stage. I might be wrong, its part of the property, maybe the Fins or the Ravens, but I just think they are better values in round two. Maybe late in round one. As for only three pick in the top ten making sense? come on

Scott in MD: I like Ayers much more as a down DE, but he is no fluke at all. Barwin looks more like a DE to me but English I think would be a better fit standing up.

Nikos: Jackson is going to be a solid player but he reminds me a lot of Marcus Spears. Yes Spears was a first round pick, but does his play reflect it at this stage?

just my thoughts

Mike in MD
Mar 16, 2009
12:47 PM

Ayers weighs in at 270 lbs. He's a tweener. I see him leaning towards going South & losing the weight to play standing up at OLB instead of gaining a minimum of 20 for us to play 3-4 DE.

Do you agree Wes, what do you think of him at rush OLB? Do you forecast any weight issues?

Wes Bunting
Mar 16, 2009
12:49 PM

Mike in MD:

sorry bout the missed name in the past post.

I see Ayers as a 4-3 DE, I think that is his best fit.

He could play in a 3-4 and add or lose weight, but I think as a down 4-3 DE he would maximize his skill set.

Bones
Mar 16, 2009
12:56 PM

I don't think there is any way the Pats take a DB with their 1st rounder. Not after drafting Wheatley and Wilhite last year and signing Springs and Bodden this year. Yes, they need a replacement for Rodney, but I think we'll see Springs, Bodden and Hobbs all in at the same time with Merriweather, Sanders and the two dbs from last year's class rounding out the secondary.

As for Matthews, he's a possibility, but my gut is telling me that if Pettigrew is there for the Pats in round 1, they might just go that way. They want no part of Ben Watson anymore and Thomas is not much of a pro TE. They signed Baker, but I could still see Pettigrew there.

If not Pettigrew, then they draft the best DE/OLB out there. I'd still like to see Connor Barwin at the top of round 2 unless they think he'll slip to their 2nd second rounder.

There will definitely be an O-lineman in one of those top 4 picks (that is if they keep them all - I could see a second for someone's first rounder next year).

Andrew V
Mar 16, 2009
01:03 PM

Where do you see Rashad Johnson going? I am intrigued with him going to the Pats, who clearly need safety help. Third round pick maybe? Also, how close do you see Clay Matthews and Connor Barwin? I wouldnt mind either at 34.

Josh H
Mar 16, 2009
01:29 PM

Wes, I agree with you mock more so than any other I have seen around. Minor differences is all that I have. I might see Seattle going OT (Jason Smith) rather than DL.
Also, as a Colts fan I am surprised to see so many people (including you) predicting the Colts to take Harvin. He is an electric player, but I just don't know about the fit. One of criticisms of the spread offense is the routes that WRs run and how they aren't similar enough to the NFL. Maybe Harvin is more prepared than I think, but I don't see the Colts drafting a WR in round 1 unless he is ready to come in and start playing week 1.
I would expect Polian and Caldwell to grab some DL help, such as Evander Hood.

beauli7
Mar 16, 2009
01:35 PM

*PATS FANS, LET ME KNOW YOUR THOUGHTS*

Hi Wes,
I still think Barwin is the guy for the Pats at #23, he offers far too much athleticism/versatility/potential for them to pass on him. I see them looking at a S (Rashad Johnson Alabama, Chip Vaughn WF) in the middle rounds. I like the Wood pick at #58, could see them going with him or Antoine Caldwell (C/OG Alabama), both can play multiple positions and Belichick has had a strong affinity for Saban players in the past. Here's what I hope to see on draft day. Would fill needs at OLB, ILB, CB, S, TE, OL

#23- Connor Barwin
#34- Darius Butler/Alphonso Smith
#47- Ron Brace
#58- James Casey
#89- Chip Vaughn/Rashad Johnson
3rd Rd Comp Pick for Asante- Antoine Caldwell
4th Rd- Frantz Joseph

JoeDonLooney
Mar 16, 2009
01:36 PM

A few questions:

Seattle drafted R1 Lawrence Jackson to play with Kearney. Have they given up on him? IMO, they're most likely to look at one of the junior QB, developing him behind Hasselbeck.

Cleveland is expressing interest in Orakpo; worked him out in Austin, reportedly.

How does Andre Smith fit in Green Bay's ZBS?

Speculations:

I don't see Hayward-Bey dropping out of R1. Britt has a chance to get there too.

Donald Brown may be the 3rd RB in this class. If so, he's not getting thru to the Giants R2; the Brown there is more likely to be Andre.

IF PHIL drafts a RB R1, Knowshon Moreno will be the pick. Moreno's Combine numbers are ~ identical to Westbrook's; has excellent competitiveness, is a Jersey guy. Moreno brings value in the pass game, which can't be said of Beanie and is an absolute requirement in Reid's system. Possibly, the Eagles still would need a short yardage back, but those are available later.

Pittsburgh has a serious contractual issue at OLB. They're looking to extend Harrison but, reportedly, the sides are miles apart. If a deal isn't cut by September, there will be none at all. That is because the Steelers do not negotiate in-season. Further: Woodley's rook deal is for 4, this following the 2007 draft. It would be prudent for the Steelers to extend him early, rpesumably following the 2009 season. I mention this to suggest OLB should be a consideration in the back of R1.

100% windy city
Mar 16, 2009
02:03 PM

i would like for da bears to consider brian robiskie in the first round and william beatty in the 2nd,we would have a solid #2 receiver across from hester and have our right tackle of the future. i know its kind of high for robiskie but i think he is the most complete reciever in this draft

Drew T.
Mar 16, 2009
02:18 PM

I've got to quit looking at mock drafts...the idea that Denver would pick a college defensive end who had to add 15 pounds to crack 250 at the combine has me more riled up than I need to be in March. They already tried to sell us Jarvis Moss' incredible first step and we see how thats working out. Denver doesn't have the good will to sell us Jarvis Moss all over again...especially if Cutler gets his way.

Might I also point out that Denver is converting two players to OLB and signed another that they want to try to convert. Adding Maybin to the competition between Moss, Dumervile, Bailey, Williams and the FA they picked up doesn't make an ounce of sense...especially with Maualuga, Laurinitis, Tyson Jackson and Jenkins still on your board.

six-burgh
Mar 16, 2009
02:20 PM

JoeDonLooney

Theres a long way to go before they have to think about harrison leaving, they could even use the Franchise tage on him. I dont think they are worried about Woodleys contract at this point either. They also are developing Bruce Davis (rnd 3/08)

You should always draft a LB if you play a 3-4, but i doubt it would be in the first round. Im still thinking they will go DLine, CB maybe.

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