FROM MICHAEL LOMBARDI:
28 April 2009
QUOTE: “The Past is to be respected and acknowledged, but not to be worshiped. It is our future in which we will find our greatness.” -- Pierre Trudeau (1919 - 2000)
The draft is supposed to provide answers for many teams, but for me, there are some questions that remain from selection weekend.
Will the Jets start Mark Sanchez from day one?
Without a doubt, he’s going to start. He can handle the volume of offense, and he can manage the game. As the season goes along, Sanchez will be able to add more offense to his arsenal and should be able to refine his skill set. Playing a rookie quarterback does not mean the Jets can’t make the playoffs, it just means they’ll be built around their defense early in the season. The key element now is for the Jets to get Sanchez under contract before May is over.
Will Josh Freeman start from day one?
Very doubtful, but he just might be able to beat out the other quarterbacks on the Bucs’ roster. All the talk about Byron Leftwich being signed as a smoke screen is just talk. I was told by a very good source that the reason they signed Leftwich was because Luke McCown was unimpressive in the recent mini-camp. The Bucs have many options at quarterback, but in reality, they have only one long-term solution — Josh Freeman, and he will play soon. Any day now, back-up QB Brian Griese will either be traded or waived as the Bucs cut down on the number of players at that position.
Where will the Browns get their pass rush from in 2009?
In 2008, the Browns’ defense was last in the NFL in producing three-and-out drives and 30th in sacks. How is this going to change next season? It might be hard as the Browns, picking fifth in the draft, didn’t feel good about any outside rusher making an impact. And in reality, how could you blame them? This draft was not filled with proven rushers, and to take one at No. 5 would have been a reach. The Browns will have to scheme to produce pressure and keep looking for a player they can develop as a rusher from the outside. Sometimes the draft doesn’t always offer answers at positions of need.
Did the Bengals really have a good draft?
My partner at NFL Network, Fran Charles, has great instincts for the game and a feel for the league. He’s been touting the Bengals’ draft the past two days. On the surface, it does look good, although a key will be Michael Johnson, the highly athletic defensive end who took a beating from scouts for his lack of toughness. I’ll admit there were times when Johnson was not always playing at a high level, but I think there was also a little piling on by scouts. How many sons of a U.S. Marine are not tough? Johnson’s father is a Marine, and when you dig deep into his background, you find out that the kid likes football and is tougher than anyone suspected. He has DeMarcus Ware-like talent, and the Bengals got him in the third round. He might be able to provide the pass rush the Bengals desperately need (the Raiders were going to pick him with the very next pick). This draft might produce four starters for the Bengals -- Andre Smith, Rey Maualuga, Chase Coffman and Johnson. If that happens, my man Fran will be proven correct.
Who’s going to replace Marvin Harrison in Indy?
I had thought for a while that the Colts would pick a back, and then I talked to someone in the league who mentioned wide receiver and made a compelling argument for that position as a Colts need. So now that the Colts did draft a runner (Donald Brown), who is the man to replace Harrison? I talked to Colts president Bill Polian yesterday, who was very excited about Pierre Garcon, the 2008 sixth-round pick from Mount Union College. Garcon had four catches for 23 yards last season, and Polian is encouraged about his potential and what a year of development from the conditioning and coaching staffs will bring to his game. He might not be Harrison right away, but who could? Garcon has good size and is very effective as runner with the ball in his hands. This will be his year to prove he’s a pro player.
Who will play left tackle for the Bills?
Right now, I’m told the Bills will move Langston Walker to left tackle and have an open competition at the right tackle spot. They could leave Walker at right tackle and see if Kirk Chambers can man the spot, but that’s been tried before and netted little results. The Bills’ offensive line will be a work in progress for the next two months as training camp nears. When they passed on Michael Oher, they passed on the last left tackle candidate in the draft. This won’t be a bad move as long as Aaron Maybin becomes the rusher they hope he can be.
What about Pittsburgh’s draft?
Monday, I mentioned how much I love coach Mike Tomlin and how he understands player development. I wasn’t saying he could coach anyone and make them a player, but on paper, this draft fills many of the Steelers’ needs -- and player development will be a key component. I liked both corners they selected in the middle rounds, and Mike Wallace might have been the fastest player I watched on tape all year. He can fill the Nate Washington role perfectly as a field stretcher. Third-round pick Kraig Urbik is a traditional Steelers lineman -- tough, hard-nosed, loves football and has some inside positional flexibility. Evander “Ziggy” Hood, their first-round pick, will be fun to watch as he transitions into the Steelers’ 3-4 scheme. He’s very athletic and can run, something that’s required the Steelers’ defense.
I also think the Bengals had a great draft, now their fans have to hope that the team starts off to their usual slow start so Marvy gets fired and they can get a real coach in there.
Michael,
As I said in Robert's article, I know a lot of Marine children (and Marines) that aren't tough. They may be tougher than average, but are they tough enough for the NFL? I hope I am wrong, but Cincy may not provide the best environment for him to develop. On your point about Tomlin, he could probably have gotten the most out of Johnson.
"[The bills won't have made] a bad move as long as Aaron Maybin becomes the rusher they hope he can be." And if Trent Edwards doesn't get jacked up early and often. Open competition for a tackle position isn't a good situation; unless you are the jags and drafted two solid prospects on top of the veteran tackles signed.
I guess the Browns' logic explains why the Broncos didn't go with as much defense as many expected they would. With that said, I trust that Nolan feels confident with the personnel we have in Denver to run the 3-4. I think the Bengals' draft was good as I previously mentioned while if Sanchez is as good as everyone says he is, the Jets are on the verge of ending the Pats' run, if the Dolphins don't take over the division first. I really think Miami's and Jacksonville's drafts were excellent as well. As for Harrison's replacements, I think Wayne will become the "official" #1, Gonzales becomes #2 while Garcon and former Brigham Young standout Austin Collie also figure. The Colts drafted well, as they always do. Thanks, Lombardi, I also heard you on WIP with Howard Eskin where I naturally enjoyed your analysis!
Love Evander Hood in round one to them, the Steelers send so many that they one gap the nose on a lot of downs and he'll flourish in that sense.
Wallace was the rich getting to be, well, like the Rooneys. Rich on top of rich.
As for the corners, there goes the Tomlin/Dungy convergence in the coaching tree. Maximumize the result, teach players to play larger by being physical. Good chance those picks become solid contributors and even start playing high levels.
Michael Johnson was an end I wanted the Raiders to get once we passed upon Raji, and the Bengals got who in that round, right before us?
It's the upside in him, if he plays to the level he does when playing his best, you're talking something there. How much of the criticism is him being washed out of plays, how much of it is stepping down the line or containing on certain looks and teams formationed him out of the game plan? Half of his negatives might have been scheme(or more).
Mike says Johnson has innate toughness in his background and upbringing. Ohh rah, let's see these people play some ball.
Ziggy Hood & Mike Wallace are great picks for the Steelers. Wallace will be better than Washington. He's in a great situation with Vets Ward & the other playmaker (forgot his name...the SB MVP) already there. A comfortable situation behind 2 good mentors + Coaching staff.
I dogged Michael Johnson & stayed away from him. But from Lombardi's background check he could be a real potential steal coming from the 3rd RD. Perfect for Johnson because he has less pressure vs being the guy in the 1st RD as previously projected.
Love it when guys drop a bit lower than where they see themselves. It's a driving force to prove people wrong for at least through their 1st contract. Maybe even throughout their career. Like where my man Rey Maualuga fell. He will be a terror next to ex-teammate Rivers. Nice USC trio over there....Palmer/Maualuga/Rivers. Should have a positive effect on Palmer.
Brad,
Let's see if Sanchez can play at the pro level first before you predict the Jets will end NE's dominance of the division... As long as Brady is playing, the rest of the division is still looking up...how do we know he won't be another Leinart?????
Mike - don't understand why you're so sure Sanchez is the real deal. The record on first round qb's over the last 8 years is terrible - if you take out the class of 2004, where Manning, Rivers, and Roethlisberger were all going to either established or rising teams -- the record is pretty terrible. Why is he any better than Carr or Harrington or Ramsey or Boller or Losman?
We also don't know how he's going to respond to crowds booing him. I hear they do a bit of that in New York.
Mike - outstanding analysis as always. I think there will be teams regretting let Larry English get past them. English is a better player than Maybin and in three years will be the most dominant defensive player from this draft.
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Apr 28, 2009
11:24 AM
Terrific analysis.