The Arizona Cardinals brought an end to a perfect NFL trend this past Sunday, but that’s not to say it wasn’t predictable.

Prior to Arizona’s Week 8 win and cover against the Atlanta Falcons, no team in the league had covered a point spread the week after playing the Seattle Seahawks. But Arizona had an advantage over the rest of the field in that the Cardinals played Seattle on a Thursday night, allowing for three extra days of rest prior to playing Atlanta.

This week’s post-Seattle victim is none other than the St. Louis Rams, who have the disadvantage of turning around to play on short rest, following their 14-9 Monday night loss to the Seahawks.

Week 9 bye: Arizona, Denver, Detroit, Jacksonville, New York Giants, San Francisco

AFTER 8 WEEKS

Home teams: 65-52-3 (.555)
Favorites: 63-54-3 (.538)
Home dogs: 23-21 (.522)
Home favorites: 42-31-3 (.575)
Overs: 66-54 (.550)

CLICK HERE to check out all of the current Week 9 lines.

Note: All lines courtesy of the LVH sports book in Las Vegas.

Indianapolis Colts (5-2, 2-1 road) at Houston Texans (2-5, 1-2 home)

When: Sunday, 8:30pm ET
Open: Houston -2
Current: Indianapolis -2.5

Gary KubiakKubiak and the Texans need a win in the worst way on Sunday.

Analysis: Former Houston standout Case Keenum gets the start at quarterback for the Texans, which did little to sway the early bettors from firing quickly on the red hot Colts. Both teams enter Week 9 coming off the bye, with Houston HC Gary Kubiak desperate for a win just to have a chance to keep his job after the season ends. The Texans are just 1-7 ATS over their last eight games while Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS over their last six games following a bye week. Note that the home team is 6-0 ATS over the last six meetings between these two franchises.

Trends: Indianapolis is 8-1 ATS over their last nine games against teams with a losing record while Houston is 2-5 ATS over their last seven games against teams with a winning record.

Chicago Bears (4-3, 1-2 road) at Green Bay Packers (5-2, 3-0 home)

When: Monday, 8:30pm ET
Open: Green Bay -7.5
Current: Green Bay -10.5

Analysis: This line hit the board prior to Green Bay’s 44-31 thrashing of the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday night, so lend some credit to that performance as part of the reason for this three-point swing. The spot favors Chicago, who is coming off the bye, but the Bears are 0-4 ATS over their last four games overall and just 7-18-1 ATS over their last 26 meetings with the Packers. Further, Chicago is 1-4 ATS over their last five trips to Lambeau Field while Green Bay enters Week 9 having covered the number in four straight contests.

Trends: Chicago is 0-5 ATS over their last five games against the NFC North while Green Bay is 15-5 ATS over their last 20 games against teams with a winning record.

Minnesota Vikings (1-6, 0-3 road) at Dallas Cowboys (4-4, 3-1 home)

When: Sunday, 1:00pm ET
Open: Dallas -9.5
Current: Dallas -10.5

Analysis: A one-point move through the key number of ten can be attributed to a variety of factors including Minnesota’s 44-31 Sunday night home defeat to the Packers as well as an angry Dallas team coming off a heartbreaking last-second loss at Detroit. The Vikings are ready to quit on the season and are just 3-7 ATS over their last ten road games while the Cowboys have covered the number in four straight and are 4-0 ATS over their last four home games. Note that the favorite is 9-0 ATS over the last nine meetings between these two squads.

Trends: Minnesota is 1-4 ATS over their last five games overall while Dallas is 4-0 ATS over their last four games following a straight-up loss.

New Orleans Saints (6-1, 2-1 road) at New York Jets (4-4, 3-1 home)

When: Sunday, 1:00pm ET
Open: New Orleans -4.5
Current: New Orleans -5.5

Analysis: The Ryan brothers go head-to-head this weekend in a game that some feel may contain an inflated point spread due to New York’s 49-9 blowout loss at Cincinnati last Sunday. Remember, most public bettors react only to what they just saw, and in this case, that’s another solid performance from New Orleans and a terrible display on behalf of the Jets. But it’s worth noting that following each of New York’s previous three defeats this season, the Jets came back to beat Buffalo 27-20, Atlanta 30-28 and New England 30-27. Rex Ryan’s guys know how to rebound, but do we really want to step in front of a Saints train that has covered the number in four of their last five outings?

Trends: New Orleans is 15-6 ATS over their last 21 games following a straight-up win while New York is 13-6 ATS over their last 19 games after amassing less than 250 total yards in the previous contest.

San Diego Chargers (4-3, 2-2 road) at Washington Redskins (2-5, 1-2 home)

When: Sunday, 1:00pm ET
Open: Washington -1
Current: PK

Philip RiversCan Rivers and the Chargers pull off their second east coast win in as many games?

Analysis: The Chargers travel all the way across the country for an early start time against the Redskins in this one, but you can throw that out the window based on the fact that: 1) San Diego is rested coming off their bye week and 2) The Chargers were in this same spot earlier in the year and thrashed Jacksonville 24-6. The Bolts are 5-1-1 ATS over their last seven games overall while Washington is just 2-6 ATS over their last eight games overall. Rookie head coach Mike McCoy has San Diego exceeding expectations through the first eight weeks of the season, so we don’t envision backing a struggling Washington team on Sunday.

Trends: San Diego is 5-1-1 ATS over their last seven road games while Washington is 2-6 ATS over their last eight games following a straight-up loss of more than 14 points.

Tennessee Titans (3-4, 1-2 road) at St. Louis Rams (3-5, 2-2 home)

When: Sunday, 1:00pm ET
Open: Tennessee -3.5
Current: Tennessee -3 (even)

Analysis: Interesting move here as the Titans are coming off their bye week while St. Louis enters Week 9 on short rest following a 14-9 home defeat to the Seattle Seahawks. In addition, take note that no team has covered the number this season following a date with Seattle, save for the Arizona Cardinals in Week 8, who had three extra days of rest thanks to meeting the Seahawks on a Thursday night. Also worth noting is the fact that Tennessee hits the road for a non-conference showdown in Week 9 prior to a divisional matchup with the Jaguars in Week 10.

Trends: Tennessee is 7-3 ATS over their last ten games against teams with a losing record while St. Louis is 1-8 ATS over their last nine games after allowing less than 250 yards in the previous game.

Baltimore Ravens (3-4, 1-3 road) at Cleveland Browns (3-5, 2-2 home)

When: Sunday, 4:25pm ET
Open: Baltimore -3 (even)
Current: Baltimore -2.5

Analysis: The Ravens are coming off their bye week, are 8-3 ATS over their last 11 meetings with the Browns and 5-0 ATS over their last five trips to Cleveland. So the fact that the early bettors grabbed Cleveland at the key number of +3 should send up red flags to Baltimore supporters. Quarterback Jason Campbell’s performance at Kansas City last week against one of the best defenses in the league (22/36, 293 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, QB rating of 105.4) should be noted entering Week 9.

Trends: The road team is 7-1 ATS over the last eight meetings between these two franchises.

THE REST

Cincinnati Bengals (6-2, 2-2 road) at Miami Dolphins (3-4, 1-2 home)

When: Thursday, 8:30pm ET
Open: Cincinnati -2
Current: Cincinnati -2.5

Kansas City Chiefs (8-0, 3-0 road) at Buffalo Bills (3-5, 2-2 home)

When: Sunday, 1:00pm ET
Open: Kansas City -3.5
Current: Kansas City -3 (-120)

Atlanta Falcons (2-5, 0-3 road) at Carolina Panthers (4-3, 2-1 home)

When: Sunday, 1:00pm ET
Open: Carolina -7.5
Current: Carolina -7.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-7, 0-3 road) at Seattle Seahawks (7-1, 3-0 home)

When: Sunday, 4:05pm ET
Open: Seattle -16.5
Current: Seattle -16.5

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-5, 1-3 road) at New England Patriots (6-2, 4-0 home)

When: Sunday, 4:25pm ET
Open: New England -7
Current: New England -7

Philadelphia Eagles (3-5, 3-1 road) at Oakland Raiders (3-4, 3-1 home)

When: Sunday, 4:05pm ET
Open: Off the board (Philadelphia quarterback situation)
Current: Off the board (Philadelphia quarterback situation)

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