Grading the trades of the draft

By DRAFTMETRICS count there were 26 trades between Thursday and Saturday. The trades can be categorized as follows:

If you have read any of our prior analyses you already know that DRAFTMETRICS breaks the draft into seven Value Groups (picks 1-13, 14-40, 41-66, 67-86, 87-149, 150-189 and 190+) and each selection within a Value Group has equal value based on historic results. Selection #13, for example, has the same value as selection #1. Therefore, if a team trades within a Value Group any premium received in the form of an additional draft choice or choices is “gravy” as the team trading down did not really give up anything. Below, each trade is summarized, with the type of trade identified by the following abbreviations.

More of on DRAFTMETRICS review of past draft day trades can be found in an article entitled “Draft
Strategy: Move Up or Move Down?”

Tony is the founder of DRAFTMETRICS.COM can be e-mailed at draftmetrics@gmail.com and followed on Twitter @draftmetrics

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Dec 7th, 8:15 PM

New England +6.5 -110

Pittsburgh -6.5 -110

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

Detroit -5.5 -116

Chicago +5.5 -116

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

Carolina +6.5 -103

New Orleans -6.5 -103

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

Tampa Bay +2.5 -106

Atlanta -2.5 -106

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

LA Rams +6.5 -118

Baltimore -6.5 -118

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

Indianapolis -0.5 -110

Cincinnati +0.5 -110

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

Jacksonville -2.5 -115

Cleveland +2.5 -115

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

Houston -5.5 -115

NY Jets +5.5 -115

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Dec 10th, 4:05 PM

Minnesota +0.5 -115

Las Vegas -0.5 -115

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Dec 10th, 4:05 PM

Seattle +10.5 -108

San Francisco -10.5 -108

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Dec 10th, 4:25 PM

Buffalo +2.5 -125

Kansas City -2.5 -125

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Dec 10th, 4:25 PM

Denver +3.5 +103

LA Chargers -3.5 +103

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Dec 10th, 8:20 PM

Philadelphia +1.5 -110

Dallas -1.5 -110

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Dec 11th, 8:15 PM

Tennessee +11.5 -111

Miami -11.5 -111

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Dec 11th, 8:15 PM

Green Bay -5.5 -102

NY Giants +5.5 -102

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Dec 14th, 8:15 PM

LA Chargers -3.5 -110

Las Vegas +3.5 -110

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