10 prop bets for the BCS Title Game

Have you ever witnessed somebody paying extra close attention to the Super Bowl coin toss? Chances are the dude could have cared less about which team was getting the ball. He (or she) was only interested in whether the coin came up heads or tails.

That’s because the individual in question made a prop (short for proposition) bet on the outcome of the Super Bowl coin toss. He/she put down money on either heads or tails and, depending on the outcome, could have come out fatter in the pockets prior to a single snap taking place on the field.

Prop bets are extremely popular come Super Bowl Sunday, but with the big game just under a month a way, today we’re going to take a look at ten prop bets for Monday night’s BCS Championship game.

The purpose: to get ready for the hundreds of prop bets that will be made available for the NFL’s marquee game next month.

The Bet: Will there be a score in the first 4:30 of the game?

Yes: -115
No: -115

Where to book it: BetUS.com

The rundown: Auburn scored within the first 4:30 in six of 13 games this season and also surrendered three scores during that same time span as well (nine total scores within first 4:30). Take note that the Tigers’ final five games of the season all featured a score within the first 4:30. Despite ending the year as the highest scoring team in the nation, Oregon posted just five total scores in 12 games during the first 4:30, while surrendering two (seven total scores within first 4:30).

The pick: Monday night in Glendale will offer these two schools the biggest stage in the country, so you have to ask yourself if nerves will be a factor early in the game. In addition, don’t be surprised if either team comes out and tries to open the game with a gadget play in the hopes of catching the opposing defense off guard. It’s a risky play, but I’ll say there WILL be a score in the first 4:30 of the game.

The Bet: Cam Newton rushing yards: 97.5

Over: -120
Under: -120

Where to book it: Bodog.com

Cam NewtonICONWill the Heisman Trophy winner find success running the ball vs. Oregon?

The rundown: The Heisman Trophy winner averaged 108.4 rushing yards per game this season and eclipsed Monday night’s over/under six times in 13 total games. However, be sure to keep in mind that Newton was held to fewer than 80 rushing yards in four of his final five games. On the other side of the ball, Oregon surrendered an average of 150.1 rushing yards per game this season, but that number fell to 127.8 over their final five games.

The pick: Big-time players make big-time plays in big-time games. I’ll take the OVER.

The Bet: Which half will have more points scored?

First half: -0.5 (-105)
Second half: +0.5 (-145)

Where to book it: Sportsbetting.com

The rundown:

Auburn Tigers 2010 First Half: 23.5 pts/gm scored, 15.5 pts/gm surrendered

-39.0 total pts/gm scored

Oregon Ducks 2010 First Half: 26.3 pts/gm scored, 13.4 pts/gm surrendered

-39.7 total pts/gm scored

Auburn Tigers 2010 Second Half: 18.9 pts/gm scored, 9.0 pts/gm surrendered

-27.9 total pts/gm scored

Oregon Ducks 2010 Second Half: 23.1 pts/gm scored, 6.4 pts/gm surrendered

-29.5 total pts/gm scored

The pick: Despite the numbers above indicating that the first half may be the smarter play, I’ll take the SECOND HALF.

The Bet: Darron Thomas passing yards: 219.5

Over: -130
Under: -110

Where to book it: Bodog.com

Darron ThomasICONDarron Thomas has quietly rolled up some big numbers this season.

The rundown: The Oregon quarterback averaged 209.8 passing yards per game this season, but keep in mind that he threw for 171 yards against Washington State back in October before exiting the game in the first half with an injury. In addition, Thomas topped Monday night’s over/under in six of his 12 starts this season, but threw for less than 160 yards in each of his last three games. On the other side of the ball, Auburn gave up 250.5 passing yards per game this season and allowed opposing quarterbacks to top 220 yards in nine of 13 contests.

The pick: Thomas averaged 26.75 pass attempts per game in 2010, but keep in mind that Oregon turned off the engines in the fourth quarter of several games due to monster leads. Monday night should be anything but a blowout, so I’ll take the OVER under the assumption that Thomas will throw 30+ passes.

The Bet: Which team will score first?

Auburn: -120
Oregon: -110

Where to book it: BetUS.com

The rundown: Auburn scored first in 7 of 13 games this season while Oregon scored first in 6 of 12 contests.

The pick: This one is a shot in the dark that could very well be decided by which team wins the coin flip. Since it costs more to bet Auburn, I’ll jump on OREGON.

The Bet: Will a special teams or defensive touchdown be scored?

Yes: +130
No: -180

Where to book it: Sportsbetting.com

The rundown: The Tigers scored one special teams touchdown (kick return) and one defensive touchdown this season. In addition, through 13 games, Auburn allowed only one special teams score and no defensive touchdowns. The Ducks had more success with their special teams unit as Oregon scored five touchdowns on punt returns and added another two scores via the defense. In addition, the Ducks gave up no touchdowns on special teams or to an opposing defense this season.

The pick: Despite the big odds, I’ve got to go with NO on this one. These two teams have combined for a respectable 10 touchdowns in 25 games via special teams and defense, which means one of these scores is happening every 2.5 games. It’s not worth the risk.

The Bet: LaMichael James rushing yards: 129.5

Over: -130
Under: -110

Where to book it: Bodog.com

LaMichael JamesICONWill James see enough carries to top 129 rushing yards on Monday?

The rundown: The Heisman Trophy finalist averaged a staggering 152.9 rushing yards per game this season with six performances (out of 11 games) surpassing Monday night’s over/under. However, keep in mind that James rushed for less than 129 yards in three of his final four contests despite averaging 27.8 rushing attempts per g ame. On the flip side, the Tigers surrendered only 111.7 rushing yards per game this season and held Alabama’s potent 1-2 punch of Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson to a grand total of just 60 yards.

The pick: James is a beast, but I’ll take the UNDER knowing that redshirt sophomore Kenjon Barner carried the ball 15 times in each of the Ducks’ final two games.

The Bet: First team to nail a coffin corner punt inside the 10-yard line

Oregon: -130
Auburn: -120

Where to book it: Sportsbetting.com

The rundown: This prop made the list solely because of its uniqueness, but the problem is that I can’t find these statistics anywhere on the internet. Basically, we are going to roll the dice on this one.

The pick: I’ll take Auburn because it means laying less juice.

The Bet: Longest touchdown of the game: 64.5 yards

Over: -115
Under: -115

Where to book it: BetUS.com

The rundown: Of the 70 touchdowns that Auburn scored in 13 games this season, eight went for more than 65 yards (11.4%). Of the 79 touchdowns that Oregon scored in 12 games this season, eight went for more than 65 yards (10.1%).

The pick: Since there’s no advantage to taking the OVER (based on the odds), I’ll play it safe and go with the UNDER on this one. These two teams have combined to score a ridiculous 149 touchdowns in 25 games this season, but only 10.7% have gone for over 65 yards.

The Bet: Who will have more rushing + receiving yards?

LaMichael James & Kenjon Barner: -24.5 yards (-150)
Michael Dyer & Onterio McCalebb: +24.5 yards (+110)

Where to book it: Bodog.com

The rundown: In the three games this season that Barner saw significant playing time (12 or more touches), the backup running back averaged 137.3 total yards per game. In addition, Heisman finalist LaMichael James averaged an impressive 168.3 total yards per game over 11 starts this season. For Auburn, Dyer (73.8) and McCalebb (64.5) averaged a COMBINED 138.3 total yards per game in 2010. Keep in mind that James and Barner accounted for 60.4% of Oregon’s rushing attempts this season, while Dyer and McCalebb accounted for only 41.3% of Auburn’s rushing attempts.

The pick: I’ll take the James/Barner combo and will lay the 24.5 total yards. These two matter more to the Oregon offense than Dyer and McCalebb matter to Auburn.

Which of these props do you like the most? Let me know in the comments section.

Hit me up on Twitter: @JoeFortenbaugh

Upcoming Games

Oct 18th, 8:15 PM

Buffalo -3.5 -107

Tennessee +3.5 -107

@

Oct 21st, 8:20 PM

Denver +6 -110

Cleveland -6 -110

@

Oct 24th, 1:00 PM

Kansas City -3 +103

Tennessee +3 +103

@

Oct 24th, 1:00 PM

Washington +7.5 -107

Green Bay -7.5 -107

@

Oct 24th, 1:00 PM

Carolina -3 -117

NY Giants +3 -117

@

Oct 24th, 1:00 PM

NY Jets +7 -105

New England -7 -105

@

Oct 24th, 1:00 PM

Atlanta +3 -112

Miami -3 -112

@

Oct 24th, 1:00 PM

Cincinnati +7 +108

Baltimore -7 +108

@

Oct 24th, 4:05 PM

Detroit +13.5 -110

LA Rams -13.5 -110

@

Oct 24th, 4:05 PM

Philadelphia +2.5 -122

Las Vegas -2.5 -122

@

Oct 24th, 4:25 PM

Houston +14.5 -107

Arizona -14.5 -107

@

Oct 24th, 4:25 PM

Chicago +10 -107

Tampa Bay -10 -107

@

Oct 24th, 8:20 PM

Indianapolis +3.5 -118

San Francisco -3.5 -118

@

Oct 25th, 8:15 PM

New Orleans -3 -120

Seattle +3 -120

@