20 players set to go streaking
Before we get into Wednesday’s analysis, I want to extend a very sarcastic congratulations to all of you who handed me an ass kicking in the Week 10 Salary Cap Challenge. I was crafty enough to draft one of the worst fantasy squads known to planet Earth last weekend. There is no doubt in my mind that I’d be rich if picking losers was a profession.
A big shout out to “Ralph4545” and “Creature,” who were the winners of the two Week 10 leagues. Not only did those guys take home some cash, but both will be receiving gift bags courtesy of Procter & Gamble as well. Great drafting, guys.
As most of you could probably imagine, I want a shot at redemption. And since we had such a big turnout for our first attempt at this little contest, the NFP and FanDuel have decided to open up an even bigger league for Week 11. There will be no cap on how many people can enter the Week 11 Salary Cap Challenge, which means a much bigger cash payout this time around. Yes, I’ll be giving away a Procter & Gamble gift bag to the winner of this week’s league as well.
And now, your motivational moment of the day:
20 players set to go on a run
Felix Jones, RB, Dallas Cowboys: It only took nine games, but Jones finally broke out and scored a touchdown en route to a 19-point fantasy performance (17 touches, 136 total yards, 1 TD) against the New York Giants in Week 10. Over the next six weeks, Jones will face only one opponent (New Orleans, Week 12) that ranks in the bottom-half of the league in fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs (18.4 per game, 17th most in NFL). Matchups with Detroit, Washington, Indy and Arizona highlight the schedule.
Kyle Orton, QB, Denver Broncos: Through ten weeks, only Philip Rivers has amassed more fantasy points at the quarterback position than Orton. Expect the Denver signal-caller to make it interesting down the stretch with big-time performances against the Chiefs, Cardinals and Texans, who all rank in the top-nine in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks.
ICONNever mind the slow start, because Colston is set up to finish strong.
Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: It’s been a down year for Drew Brees’ top target as Colston has found the end zone just twice through ten weeks (currently ranks 28th in scoring among fantasy wideouts). However, the five-year veteran will have an excellent opportunity to close out the 2010 season in style with upcoming games against the Seahawks, Cowboys, Ravens and Falcons, who all rank in the top-11 in fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers. In addition, the impending return of running back Reggie Bush will help to spread out opposing defenses and open up the field for Colston to make plays.
Todd Heap, TE, Baltimore Ravens: After being shut out of the end zone in his first five games, Heap has responded by scoring four touchdowns over his last four contests. As if his current hot streak wasn’t enough to get you excited, keep in mind that no tight end in the NFL has a more favorable upcoming schedule than the 30-year old Heap, who gets a chance to shred the Panthers, Steelers, Texans and Browns down the stretch. Be advised that all four of those teams rank in the top-nine in fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends.
Frank Gore, RB, San Francisco 49ers: The Pro Bowl running back is averaging 16.5 fantasy points per week over his last four games and is poised to make a serious run at Arian Foster and Adrian Peterson for the right to be called the top fantasy running back of 2010. Upcoming matchups with Tampa Bay, Arizona and Seattle—who all rank in the top-six in fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs—provide the necessary opportunities for Gore to deliver the goods.
Vince Young, QB, Tennessee Titans: If he can stay healthy, Young is staring at a six-week stretch of games that features five showdowns with teams (Washington, Houston (twice), Jacksonville, Kansas City) that rank in the top-eight in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks. No signal-caller in the NFL has a more favorable schedule over the duration of the 2010 regular season than Young.
Peyton Hillis, RB, Cleveland Browns: The Browns bruising back has found the end zone in seven of nine games this season and currently ranks fourth in scoring among fantasy running backs. Hillis will have a great opportunity over the next five weeks to add to his breakout season as the 24-year old will only play one defense (Miami) that ranks in the bottom-half of the league in fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs. Showdowns with Jacksonville, Carolina, Buffalo and Cincinnati could lead to some major points.
Fitz and Derek Anderson look to finally be on the same page.
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: With Derek Anderson back under center, Fitzgerald has once again become a fantasy must-start. Over his final six games, the Pro Bowl wideout has only two matchups with defenses (St. Louis, Carolina) that rank in the bottom-half of the league in fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers. Games against Kansas City, San Francisco, Denver and Dallas offer excellent opportunities to salvage a disastrous 2010 season by padding the stat totals.
Jermaine Gresham, TE, Cincinnati Bengals: The rookie tight end is coming off a career performance against the Indianapolis Colts that featured nine receptions for 85 yards and a touchdown on ten targets. Owners in need of help at the TE position should think long and hard about adding Gresham, who will face four defenses (Buffalo, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, San Diego) over the next six weeks that rank in the top-nine in fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends.
Jon Kitna, QB, Dallas Cowboys: In three starts since Pro Bowl quarterback Tony Romo went down with a fractured clavicle, the veteran Kitna has thrown for 889 yards (296.3 yds/gm) and five touchdowns. Some players on this roster may have quit on the season, but Kitna isn’t one of them. Look for the longtime backup to keep rolling up the numbers in the coming weeks with games against the Redskins and Cardinals, who both rank in the top-nine in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks. In addition, the only unappealing matchup for Kitna over the next six weeks comes on Thanksgiving against the New Orleans Saints.
Malcom Floyd, WR, San Diego Chargers: The reports began to surface last week that Floyd was back at practice “running and cutting” and now it looks as if the veteran wide receiver will make his return to the starting lineup Monday night against the Denver Broncos. This is very good news for a guy that is about to enter a six-week stretch of games that features just one matchup (Oakland, Week 13) against a quality pass defense. If the Floyd owner in your league bailed on him due to the hamstring injury, make a move. Remember, this guy was a top-ten fantasy wide receiver before the injury.
Zach Miller, TE, Oakland Raiders: Miller’s breakout season is in for a high-octane boost as the four-year veteran will spend four of the next five weeks playing defenses (Pittsburgh, San Diego, Jacksonville, Denver) that rank in the top-eight in fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends. This guy is more than a tight end; he’s the Raiders’ top target. Miller currently leads all Oakland players in receptions (34), receiving yards (461) and receiving touchdowns (4).
With Randy Moss in the mix, CJ2K should find it easier to gash opposing defenses.
Chris Johnson, RB, Tennessee Titans: New addition Randy Moss may have only hauled in one reception in his debut with the Titans last Sunday, but his presence on the field helped to open up the Miami defense for Johnson to average an impressive 6.9 yards per carry (17-117-1). With Moss stretching opposing defenses vertically, expect Johnson to roll up some lofty numbers over the next six weeks as the Pro Bowl running back won’t face a single opponent (Washington, Houston (twice), Jacksonville, Indianapolis, Kansas City) that ranks in the bottom-half of the league in fantasy points allowed to opposing RBs.
Mike Williams, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Cowboys rookie Dez Bryant continues to grab the headlines, but Williams is the guy who has been producing reliable numbers week in and week out for a Tampa offense that has nowhere near the same level of firepower that the Dallas offense boasts. Williams currently ranks 17th in scoring among fantasy wideouts and will have a serious chance to crack the top-ten with three of his next six games (Atlanta, Washington, Seattle) coming against defenses that rank in the top-six in fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers. Be advised that Williams’ toughest matchup in terms of fantasy points allowed comes against the Detroit Lions in Week 15. Yeah, it’s that nice.
Ben Watson, TE, Cleveland Browns: Since rookie Colt McCoy took over at the quarterback position in Cleveland, Watson has averaged 6.0 fantasy points per game. Not great, but that’s a respectable number that should improve over the next four weeks as Watson will take on three defenses (Jacksonville, Carolina, Buffalo) that rank in the top-8 in fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends.
Sam Bradford, QB, St. Louis Rams: The rookie from Oklahoma has thrown two touchdown tosses in three of his last six games and has completed over 70% of his pass attempts in each of his last two outings (55/74). If you need to re-tool the quarterback position on your fantasy roster, take a short-term look at Bradford, who will face three defenses (Denver, Arizona, Kansas City) over the next five weeks that rank in the top-nine in fantasy points surrendered to opposing quarterbacks.
Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, New York Giants: Arguably the most underrated and underappreciated player in all of fantasy football, Bradshaw currently ranks eighth in scoring among fantasy RBs. However, you wouldn’t know it based on the lack of press the guys receives (or doesn’t receive, for that matter). Either way, if you were smart enough to draft this rising star back in August, get ready for an exciting five-week stretch of games that features just one defense (Minnesota, Week 14) that ranks in the bottom half of the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs.
ICONJennings has reached paydirt in five of his last seven games.
Greg Jennings, WR, Green Bay Packers: After a somewhat slow start to the season, Jennings has managed to find the end zone in five of his last seven games and is averaging 13.5 fantasy points per week over his last four contests. That’s some serious production for a guy who is about to face two defenses (Atlanta, New England) over the next five weeks that rank in the top-eight in fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers. Jennings will also have a chance to blow up the Lions, Vikings and 49ers over the next five weeks.
Philadelphia Eagles, D/ST: Currently the eighth-ranked D/ST in standard scoring formats, the Birds are set up to deliver big-time results down the stretch. Philadelphia will play five of their next six games (NY Giants (twice), Dallas, Minnesota, Chicago) against teams that rank in the top-ten in fantasy points allowed to opposing D/STs. Looking around the rest of the league, it doesn’t get any better than that.
Dallas Cowboys, D/ST: Take this one with a grain of salt because the Cowboys could implode at any time, but it’s hard to find another defense with a more favorable upcoming schedule. Jason Garrett’s bunch will play three of their next six games (New Orleans, Washington, Arizona) against teams that rank in the top-ten in fantasy points allowed to opposing D/STs. Be advised that Dallas is a situational start, so don’t bank on them delivering week in and week out down the stretch.
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