2010 NFP Fantasy Expert's Draft: Results & Analysis
Do fantasy analysts practice what they preach?
That’s the question many of you may find yourselves asking this summer as you sift through the endless supply of fantasy analysis that is available on the internet. Anybody can have a thought and write it down, but is that the information that will lead you to a championship?
For the second consecutive year I’ve gathered nine of the brightest minds in the fantasy football business (as well as myself) to participate in the National Football Post.com Fantasy Expert’s League. We held our annual draft Thursday night at 9:00pm eastern and now begin the process of working towards crowning a champion, who will be rewarded with a plasma television at the end of the season courtesy of the NFP.
Yours truly is putting his belt on the line in an effort to bring home a second-consecutive championship.
The NFP Expert’s League is a ten-team, standard scoring fantasy league that features a 16-round snake-style draft. Today we are going to analyze the first 12 rounds of last night’s action.
In addition, I’ve made this a public access league so that all of you can follow along this season and see how this thing shakes down. Click HERE to check out the complete draft results and rosters.
Ready for your fantasy draft? You better be because it’s going down soon. Click HERE to purchase the 2010 National Football Post Fantasy Draft Guide!
The Owners/Draft Order
Corey Erdman: Hardcore Fantasy Show, Sirius Radio channel 98
Joe Fortenbaugh: National Football Post.com
Matt Loede: NFL Gridiron Gab.com
Jonathan Phillips: Just a Bit Outside
Jamey Eisenberg: CBSSports.com
Brandon Funston: Yahoo! Sports.com
Ken Daube: ESPN.com
Chris Wesseling: RotoWorld.com
Jay Clemons: Sports Illustrated.com
Greg Kellogg: Fantasy Sharks.com
1. Erdman: Chris Johnson, RB, Tennessee Titans
2. Fortenbaugh: Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings
3. Loede: Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars
4. Phillips: Ray Rice, RB, Baltimore Ravens
5. Eisenberg: Michael Turner, RB, Atlanta Falcons
6. Funston: Frank Gore, RB, San Francisco 49ers
7. Daube: Randy Moss, WR, New England Patriots
8. Wesseling: Andre Johnson, WR, Houston Texans
9. Clemons: Steven Jackson, RB, St. Louis Rams
10. Kellogg: DeAngelo Williams, RB, Carolina Panthers
Analysis: Daube shakes things up early by selecting Patriots wide receiver Randy Moss (contract year) over Texans Pro Bowler Andre Johnson. Eisenberg bucks the trend by investing in Falcons running back Michael Turner instead of San Francisco standout Frank Gore—not a bad play at all if Turner stays healthy. No quarterbacks are selected in the first round, which is against the norm compared to what’s going down in a lot of mock drafts this summer.
11. Kellogg: Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
12. Clemons: Cedric Benson, RB, Cincinnati Bengals
13. Wesseling: Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers
14. Daube: Ryan Mathews, RB, San Diego Chargers
15. Funston: Shonn Greene, RB, New York Jets
16. Eisenberg: Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals
17. Phillips: Roddy White, WR, Atlanta Falcons
18. Loede: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers
19. Fortenbaugh: Brandon Marshall, WR, Miami Dolphins
20. Erdman: Ryan Grant, RB, Green Bay Packers
Analysis: In a somewhat unusual twist, only three wide receivers are selected in a round that is once again dominated by the running backs. Loede pulls the trigger on Aaron Rodgers at No. 18 making the Green Bay signal-caller the first—and only—quarterback selected. Jamaal Charles goes before Mendenhall, Mathews AND Greene, while Roddy White is the fourth receiver off the board. Reggie Wayne, Miles Austin and Calvin Johnson are still available.
21. Erdman: Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints
22. Fortenbaugh: Peyton Manning, QB, Indianapolis Colts
23. Loede: DeSean Jackson, WR, Philadelphia Eagles
24. Phillips: Wes Welker, WR, New England Patriots
25. Eisenberg: Calvin Johnson, WR, Detroit Lions
26. Funston: Reggie Wayne, WR, Indianapolis Colts
27. Daube: Miles Austin, WR, Dallas Cowboys
28. Wesseling: Pierre Thomas, RB, New Orleans Saints
29. Clemons: Knowshon Moreno, RB, Denver Broncos
30. Kellogg: Dallas Clark, TE, Indianapolis Colts
Analysis: Rarely do I target a quarterback early, but I wanted to make my first two selections after Adrian Peterson count. Pulling the trigger on Marshall and Manning in rounds 2 and 3, respectively, gives me a rock-solid nucleus. Five receivers fly off the board in round 3, headlined by Phillips’ somewhat surprising selection of Wes Welker at No. 24. Kellogg zeros in on a tight end early and lands Dallas Clark at the end of the third round. Johnson, Wayne and Austin all come at an excellent value here.
31. Kellogg: Tony Romo, QB, Dallas Cowboys
32. Clemons: Beanie Wells, RB, Arizona Cardinals
33. Wesseling: Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots
34. Daube: Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears
35. Funston: Greg Jennings, WR, Green Bay Packers
36. Eisenberg: Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints
37. Phillips: Matt Schaub, QB, Houston Texans
38. Loede: Felix Jones, RB, Dallas Cowboys
39. Fortenbaugh: Anquan Boldin, WR, Baltimore Ravens
40. Erdman: Steve Smith, WR, New York Giants
Analysis: Three more quarterbacks (Romo, Brady, Schaub) join the party in round 4, upping the total amount of signal-callers selected to six. Kellogg takes Romo before Brady, which is the first time I’ve seen that this summer. Clemons’ selection of Beanie Wells at No. 32 gives him four running backs after four rounds. Funston gets excellent value on Jennings at No. 35, while Loede makes Felix Jones the fir st Cowboys running back to hear his name called. Erdman could have a steal in Steve Smith (NYG) at No. 40.
41. Erdman: Antonio Gates, TE, San Diego Chargers
42. Fortenbaugh: LeSean McCoy, RB, Philadelphia Eagles
43. Loede: Sidney Rice, WR, Minnesota Vikings
44. Phillips: Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers
45. Eisenberg: Joseph Addai, RB, Indianapolis Colts
46. Funston: Jahvid Best, RB, Detroit Lions
47. Daube: Steve Smith, WR, Carolina Panthers
48. Wesseling: Chad Ochocinco, WR, Cincinnati Bengals
49. Clemons: Michael Crabtree, WR, San Francisco 49ers
50. Kellogg: Dwayne Bowe, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
Analysis: Phillips (Jonathan Stewart) and Eisenberg (Joseph Addai) land third-round production at a fifth-round price. Loede takes a shot on Sidney Rice that could pay off huge for a fifth-round draft pick. Funston and I could have landed future first-round draft picks in Jahvid Best and LeSean McCoy. Steve Smith (Carolina) falls to No. 47 and Ochocinco falls to No. 48. Crabtree could be a major steal at No. 49.
51. Kellogg: Hakeem Nicks, WR, New York Giants
52. Clemons: Jay Cutler, QB, Chicago Bears
53. Wesseling: Jermichael Finley, TE, Green Bay Packers
54. Daube: Brett Favre, QB, Minnesota Vikings
55. Funston: Philip Rivers, QB, San Diego Chargers
56. Eisenberg: Ronnie Brown, RB, Miami Dolphins
57. Phillips: Jason Witten, TE, Dallas Cowboys
58. Loede: Hines Ward, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers
59. Fortenbaugh: Mike Sims-Walker, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars
60. Erdman: Brandon Jacobs, RB, New York Giants
Analysis: Wesseling selects Jermichael Finley at No. 53, making the young Green Bay Packer the third tight end off the board. Clemons decides to draft Jay Cutler over Philip Rivers and Brett Favre, bringing our quarterback total to nine after just six rounds. Hines Ward slips to No. 58 and could be a great value pick if he’s got enough gas left in the tank--and if Byron Leftwich doesn't slow him down early in the year.
61. Erdman: Pierre Garcon, WR, Indianapolis Colts
62. Fortenbaugh: Marion Barber, RB, Dallas Cowboys
63. Loede: Vernon Davis, TE, San Francisco 49ers
64. Phillips: Percy Harvin, WR, Minnesota Vikings
65. Eisenberg: Justin Forsett, RB, Seattle Seahawks
66. Funston: Jeremy Maclin, WR, Philadelphia Eagles
67. Daube: Clinton Portis, RB, Washington Redskins
68. Wesseling: Johnny Knox, WR, Chicago Bears
69. Clemons: T.J. Houshmandzadeh, WR, Seattle Seahawks
70. Kellogg: Braylon Edwards, WR, New York Jets
Analysis: I know most of you are in love with Felix Jones this year, but I couldn’t pass on an opportunity to have Marion Barber as my flex player. Harvin falls to No. 64 (probably due to the migraine reports) and Eisenberg finds himself with a potential sleeper candidate in Justin Forsett at No. 65. Wesseling pisses me off by landing one of my favorites (Chicago’s Johnny Knox) in the seventh round. Loede’s selection of San Francisco’s Vernon Davis makes our current total now four tight ends in just seven rounds. 2010 boasts such a deep class of tight ends that you have the luxury of sitting back and building for depth, should you so choose.
71. Kellogg: Devin Hester, WR, Chicago Bears
72. Clemons: Brent Celek, TE, Philadelphia Eagles
73. Wesseling: C.J. Spiller, RB, Buffalo Bills
74. Daube: Vincent Jackson, WR, San Diego Chargers
75. Funston: Michael Bush, RB, Oakland Raiders
76. Eisenberg: Tony Gonzalez, TE, Atlanta Falcons
77. Phillips: Donald Brown, RB, Indianapolis Colts
78. Loede: Robert Meachem, WR, New Orleans Saints
79. Fortenbaugh: Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, New York Giants
80. Erdman: Jerome Harrison, RB, Cleveland Browns
Analysis: ALERT: Wondering when to target suspended wide receiver Vincent Jackson? Daube pulls the trigger on the San Diego wideout and could end up with some big-time production when V-Jax returns to the lineup. For an eighth round pick, that's some solid value. Potential sleepers Donald Brown (No. 77) and Ahmad Bradshaw (No. 79) find a home while Funston lands a great pick in Michael Bush at No. 75. Meachem falls to No. 78, Jerome Harrison becomes the first Cleveland running back to get drafted (No. 80) and Wesseling takes a chance on C.J. Spiller at No. 73.
81. Erdman: New York Jets, D/ST
82. Fortenbaugh: Santana Moss, WR, Washington Redskins
83. Loede: Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants
84. Phillips: Thomas Jones, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
85. Eisenberg: Joe Flacco, QB, Baltimore Ravens
86. Funston: Malcom Floyd, WR, San Diego Chargers
87. Daube: Arian Foster, RB, Houston Texans
88. Wesseling: Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys
89. Clemons: Kenny Britt, WR, Tennessee Titans
90. Kellogg: Cadillac Williams, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Analysis: Erdman gets trigger happy in an effort to round out his starting roster by selecting the Jets D/ST at the top of the ninth round. Eisenberg gets a solid value pick in Joe Flacco at No. 85, while Funston gets a deal of his own in Malcom Floyd at No. 86. For those of you interested in rookie wideout Dez Bryant this year, look no further than the ninth round, where Wessling decided to take a chance on the former Oklahoma State star. Daube could have a steal in Arian Foster at no. 87 if the former practice squad player can win the starting job this summer.
91. Kellogg: Devin Aromashodu, WR, Chicago Bears
92. Clemons: Fred Jackson, RB, Buffalo Bills
93. Wesseling: Mike Wallace, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers
94. Daube: Ben Tate, RB, Houston Texans
95. Funston: Ricky Williams, RB, Miami Dolphins
96. Eisenberg: Steve Breaston, WR, Arizona Cardinals
97. Phillips: Devin Thomas, WR, Washington Redskins
98. Loede: Owen Daniels, TE, Houston Texans
99. Fortenbaugh: Kevin Kolb, QB, Philadelphia Eagles
100. Erdman: Terrell Owens, WR, Cincinnati Bengals
Analysis: The tenth round is filled with upside and potential as Ricky Williams, Ben Tate, Devin Thomas, Steve Breaston, Fred Jackson, Mike Wallace and Devin Aromashodu all find a home. I’ve been targeting Kevin Kolb as a potential starter all summer, but with Peyton Manning already on my roster, the new Philly quarterback will make for an excellent backup. If T.O. can figure out how to become a solid No. 2 in Cincinnati, Erdman could have landed a steal at No. 100.
101. Erdman: Dexter McCluster, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
102. Fortenbaugh: Reggie Bush, RB, New Orleans Saints
103. Loede: Laurence Maroney, RB, New England Patriots
104. Phillips: Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers
105. Eisenberg: LaDainian Tomlinson, RB, New York Jets
106. Funston: Jacoby Jones, WR, Houston Texans
107. Daube: Chad Henne, QB, Miami Dolphins
108. Wesseling: Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons
109. Clemons: Jerricho Cotchery, WR, New York Jets
110. Kellogg: Willis McGahee, RB, Baltimore Ravens
Analysis: Backup quarterbacks begin to fly off the board as Ben Roethlisberger, Chad Henne and Matt Ryan all get drafted in the eleventh round. Funston gets some positive feedback on the message board with his selection of Houston wide receiver and potential 2010 sleeper Jacoby Jones. New York Jets running back LaDainian Tomlinson falls to the eleventh round where Eisenberg snatches him up. Erdman knows I’m a big McCluster fan, so he decides to make an early move for the Kansas City WR/RB.
111. Kellogg: Carson Palmer, QB, Cincinnati Bengals
112. Clemons: Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions
113. Wesseling: Darren McFadden, RB, Oakland Raiders
114. Daube: Chris Cooley, TE, Washington Redskins
115. Funston: Steve Slaton, RB, Houston Texans
116. Eisenberg: Donovan McNabb, QB, Washington Redskins
117. Phillips: Donald Driver, WR, Green Bay Packers
118. Loede: Garrett Hartley, K, New Orleans Saints
119. Fortenbaugh: Kellen Winslow, TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
120. Erdman: Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots
Analysis: 12 rounds in the books and still only one D/ST has been drafted. Backup quarterbacks continue to hear their names called as Carson Palmer, Matthew Stafford and Donovan McNabb all come off the board. Donald Driver falls all the way to No. 117, making him a potential “value pick of the year” candidate. Loede opts to make a move for a kicker way too early by drafting Garrett Hartley at No. 118. For those of you interested in holding off on the tight end run, Chris Cooley and Kellen Winslow come at a good price in the twelfth round.
The NFP Roster
The defending champs are set to make another run at the Expert's League title.