Can Rex Ryan's defense slow down Manning?

Since the weather in the Northeast currently isn’t golf-friendly, I’ve spent the better portion of this fine Saturday afternoon pouring over numbers and statistics for Sunday’s Championship games (I also got a haircut. Thanks, Jill).

Tim Graham of ESPN.com made an excellent point recently when he was breaking down the Colts-Jets AFC Championship game. Colts quarterback Peyton Manning is 6-1 lifetime against a Rex Ryan-influenced defense.

Before we kick off this analysis, I (just as Graham did) am not counting the Colts-Jets Week 16 matchup in which New York won 29-15. Manning was pulled from that game after going 14-21 for 192 yards since Indy head coach Jim Caldwell wanted to rest his starters. Thus, it does not count.

With that game out of the way, Manning has squared-off against Rex Ryan seven other times. Prior to taking over in New York, Ryan worked on the defensive staff in Baltimore from 1999-2008. He took over as defensive coordinator in 2005 when previous DC Mike Nolan left to take the head coaching gig in San Francisco.

Take a look at what Manning has done in the seven games he’s played against a Ryan defense:

Impressive, to say the least.

Manning is 3-0 at home, 1-0 in the playoffs and his offenses have scored 20 or more points in six of the seven meetings against a Ryan defense. He’s got a 97.8 QB Rating and is 4-0 when Ryan is calling the defensive plays.

In addition, Manning’s offenses have averaged 26.1 points per game overall vs. Ryan and 24.3 points per game at home. Keep in mind, Indianapolis is 9-0-1 against the spread this season when scoring 21 or more points.

I hope you enjoyed this analysis.

Now, if you’ll excuse me, I have to return the ninth phone call of the day from NFP columnist Wes Bunting regarding what time our flight for Alabama leaves tomorrow morning.

Hit me up on Twitter: @JoeFortenbaugh

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