DFS Corner: DraftKings Week 4 Plays

We are now in Week 4 of the NFL season and are starting to have a better understanding of how teams and players will perform or be utilized in their respective game plans. Before we begin to break down the best plays for each respective positions, lets identify the teams that are on a Bye Week. Week 4 Byes: Tennessee Titans and New England Patriots Below you will see some of the players I will be targeting at specific positions due to match ups, Vegas predictions, and the value they provide due to their price. These players listed below are players I am identifying as possible targets for my cash game lineups. To reiterate, cash games are best suited for consistent players with high floors. In Cash Games you want to purchase players that will at least hit 2X their value. For example, Rodgers needs to hit at least 16 points to hit value for his $7,900 price tag. Quarterback Plays: The quarterback position offers plenty of intriguing options this week that vary in price. Aaron Rodgers ($7,900) @ San Francisco 49ers will be the top play out of the higher priced quarterbacks. Hard to argue, when he is coming off a 335 yard and 5 TD performance. The 49ers are giving up over 300 passing yards per game and are returning home after getting shredded back to back weeks by the Pittsburgh Steelers and Arizona Cardinals. He is a near lock for at least 2-3 touchdowns and offers a high floor with huge upside. Cam Newton ($7,000) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers is a great option if you are trying to save some money at the QB position this week. Newton gets another division foe that has struggled collectively as a defense. Newton was one of the top QB plays last week and I expect more of the same this week. The Panthers don't possess many offensive weapons so a lot of that burden will fall on Newton. He should be active running against the 30th ranked run defense. Andy Dalton ($5,900) vs. Kansas City Chiefs presents a lot of upside with his price this week. Dalton is coming off a 394 yard 3 TD performance and is playing a defense that just got picked apart for 5 TDs vs. Aaron Rodgers last week. I expect the Bengals to continue the trend with a more a pass heavy approach this week against a defense that is allowing over 287 yards per game. Tyrod Taylor ($5,800) vs. New York Giants offers plenty of value at his current price range. The Bills are projected to score over 25 points and Taylor has been one of the best value plays over the first 3 weeks of the season scoring 15, 29 and 24.  The Giants are one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL allowing over 335 passing yards per game. Derek Carr ($5,300) @ Chicago Bears offers tremendous value this week and will be one QB I use often while creating lineups. He was able to throw for 314 passing yards and 2 TD's (23.5 points on DK)  last week vs. a very good Cleveland secondary on the road. The Bears are looking like prime contenders for the 1st pick in 2016 draft and just traded away John Bostic and Jared Allen. Running Backs Plays: This week I will avoid paying up for the higher priced running backs. The only one I would consider is Jamaal Charles ($7,600) @ Cincinnati Bengals simply because he is very active in the passing game thanks to "Check Down King" Alex Smith.  Furthermore the Bengals have allowed over 9 catches per game to running backs.  Frank Gore ($4,700) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars is another intriguing match-up. Despite struggling the first two weeks, Gore showed up big with 22 points in week 3. At home in a game projected to be won by a high margin, I fully expect Gore to find the End Zone at least once. Karlos Williams ($3,400) vs. New York Giants will be probably one of the highest owned players this week if LeSean McCoy does in fact sit out. This will be one to monitor, but even if McCoy does suit up, Williams should be able to reach value given his price. Devonta Freeman ($5,200) vs. Houston Texans should be another great play this week simply due to sheer volume, targets and his current price. While I don't think he will come close to repeating his 4 TD performance from last week, I think he should easily reach his value. Other RB's I will look to target: Lance Dunbar ($3,600) vs. New Orleans Saints, Danny Woodhead ($4,600) vs. Cleveland Browns, Giovani Bernard ($5,000) vs. Kansas City Chiefs   Wide Receiver Plays: Julio Jones ($9,300) vs. Houston Texans is a very high price to play but no one has played better or been more consistent this year than Julio. Pay up, he's worth it. Randall Cobb ($7,300) @ San Francisco 49ers is probably one of the best values at the WR position this week given his insulting $7,300 price tag. He is the #1 option in a high powered offense led by the best QB in the NFL and is also facing a defense that has been getting lit up through the air and struggling to defend slot WR's. Larry Fitzgerald ($6,500) @ St. Louis Rams has been on absolute tear this year scoring 14, 40 and 37 points respectively the first 3 weeks of the season. The Rams have been struggling as a passing defense and I am not missing out on Fitz's price while it is still under $7k. Armani Cooper ($6,300) @ Chicago Bears is another great option at a great price. Cooper looks well beyond his years scoring 26 and 24 points the last two weeks after a slow week 1. As mentioned above the Bears defense is a mess, feel confident going with the rookie who has over 31 targets so far this year. Donte Moncrief ($5,000) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars is a steal at his $5k price range this week. He has quickly become the defacto #2 WR in Indianapolis and is playing a weak Jacksonville secondary and should easily reach value. Other WR's I will Target: James Jones ($5,500) @ San Francisco 49ers, Ted Ginn ($3,400) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Mike Evans ($6,400) vs. Carolina Panthers.   Tight End Plays: No Gronk this week means I will be going for a low priced option this week. Jordan Reed ($4,500) vs. Philadelphia Eagles should be able to hit value this week. Starting ILB's Kiko Alonso is out for the next month and Mychael Kendricks is questionable for this game. Reed lines up wide and in the slot a good portion of the time and seems to be a check down favorite for the struggling Kirk Cousins. Charles Clay ($3,300) vs. New York Giants is a great low priced option that should certainly hit value. He went off 19 points last week and hasn't scored less than 8 points all season. Add that to the fact that Sammy Watkins is out this week and has a match up vs. a defense that has struggled vs. the Tight End this year. Defensive Plays: Seattle Seahawks ($3,700) vs. Detroit Lions Denver Broncos ($3,3oo) vs. Minnesotta Vikings Carolina Panthers ($3,300) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Green Bay Packers ($2,700) @ San Francisco 49ers  
Michael Freas
Graduate of both NFP's Intro to Scouting 101 course and Sport Management Worldwide's Football GM & Scouting course. Relevant experience includes shadowing former NFL Players & Coaches/Scouts, Bob Pellegrini and Dick Bielski as well as current New England Patriots Front Office Executive, Michael Lombardi during his tenure with NFP. Fantasy Football and Daily Fantasy Football enthusiast.

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