DFS Corner: DraftKings Week 5 Plays

Welcome back for another week of DFS Corner. We are now a quarter of the way through the NFL Regular Season and we have the the return of players such as Antonio Gates and Martavis Bryant to fantasy relevance. I hope you all fared well in a very bizzare fantasy scoring week last weekend. It was the first time I hadn't made a profit all season, and thankfully, I broke even. Here are the Week 5 Byes: Dolphins, Jets, Panthers and Vikings Below you will see some of the players I will be targeting at specific positions due to match ups, Vegas predictions, and the value they provide due to their price. These players listed below are players I am identifying as possible targets for my cash game lineups. To reiterate, cash games are best suited for consistent players with high floors. In Cash Games you want to purchase players that will at least hit 2X their value. For example, Rodgers needs to hit at least 16 points to hit value for his $7,900 price tag. Quarterback Plays: High Priced Option Tom Brady ($7,800) @ Dallas Cowboys: Brady and the Pats return this week off a BYE and are tied for the highest Vegas O/U this week with a total of 49.5 and Vegas is predicting the Pats to put over 29 points with a -9 spread. Brady has played possessed all year as him and the Pats look to make a statement to the NFL after the "DeflateGate" circus this off season. I'll bet Brady can exploit the Cowboys 19th ranked defense which is letting up over 250 passing yards per game. Mid Priced Options Carson Palmer ($6,600) @ Detroit Lions: I love targeting players coming off sub-par weeks and that is exactly what I plan to do with Palmer this week. This Cardinals offense has been firing off on cylinders this year and were due for a let down game. I fully expect them to rebound against a very suspect Detroit defense that is allowing over 18 points a game to QBs and just let Russel Wilson throw for over 287 yards and a touchdown with limited options in the passing game. Phillip Rivers ($6,200) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: Rivers came out firing last week with over 3 passing TDs and 350 yards (Top Fantasy QB in week 4) through the air against the Cleveland Browns . Rivers leads the NFL in passing yards with over 1,249  so far this season. He gets one of his favorite weapons in Antonio Gates back this week and to make matters even better, it is a prime time home Monday Night game. Low Priced Options Alex Smith ($5,500) vs Chicago Bears is a very solid option if you want to save money at the QB spot this week. Coming off a 386 yard but zero touchdown performance, Smith should be able to find the end zone this week at home versus the Bears 29th ranked pass defense that has allowed over 10 passing touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. Jay Cutler ($5,300) @ Kansas City Chiefs is also another option for someone willing to gamble on Cutler. As much as I hate to say it, I will be playing Cutler in a few lineups because $5,300 is almost backup QB money in DFS and it will only take a touchdown for him to be well on his way to value. I like Cutler's odds because Jeffrey might play this week and the Chiefs passing defense has been abysmal this year. They are allowing the most points to opposing fantasy QBs with over 22 a game, third most passing yards with 1,244 and the most passing touchdowns at 11. It's a great match up that provides you flexibility to spend elsewhere.   Running Back Plays High Priced Options LeVeon Bell ($8,500) @ San Diego Chargers will be one of my top plays this week just due to him being the focal point of this Steelers offense. Leveon Bell has been nothing but a stud his first two games back and I dont expect that to stop any time soon. This week he get's to face off against the Chargers defense which is giving up the 2nd most points to opposing running backs with over 25 a game. They are letting up over 121 yards per game and 7 catches to opposing running backs. Another big day is in store for the Steel City workhorse. Jamaal Charles ($7,800) vs Chicago Bears will probably be my one of my staple plays this upcoming weekend. The Chiefs finally return home after a very tough first four games. I look for them to establish Charles early and for him to be effective in the passing game. The Bears are giving up a 100 yards a game and Charles is a workhorse back that gets catches. Medium Priced Options Devonta Freeman ($6,300) vs. Washington Redskins is still priced very reasonably after two huge games. I can't knock anyone for taking him again this week as he been actively involved and the best DFS player the past two weeks. While I recommend the play given his price/upside, I am leaning more to fading him this week. I believe the game script sets up better for a high passing attack against the Redskins secondary than it does a rushing attack. But, yet, all he needs is one touchdown, and he is half way to value. Justin Forsett ($5,800) vs. Cleveland Browns is a very intriguing option. Forsett finally broke out last week to the tune of 150 yards against the Pittsburgh Steelers who have been very solid against the run this year. Forsett will now play one of the worst run defenses in the league with the Browns who have allowed a league high 556 rushing yards on the year. With Joe Flacco's top option Steve Smith sidelined the next few weeks and no other legitimate options around. I fully expect to see the dump off catches start piling up for Forsett like we all expected when they hired Marc Trestman as their OC. Low Priced Options Dion Lewis ($4,800) @ Dallas Cowboys is another running back I will be targeting this week. Dallas defense has been run all over the last two weeks making Devonta Freeman look like a Hall of Famer with his 3 touchdown performance two weeks ago. This defense didn't fare much better on Saturday night when they allowed the Saints RBs to rush for over 200 yards and two touchdowns.  Despite getting McClain and Hardy back this week, the heart of this defense lives and dies with Sean Lee, who is expected to sit out with a concussion. I expect Lewis to be actively involved and to easily exceed his price tag despite the threat of Blount vulturing TDs. Todd Gurley ($4,300) @ Green Bay Packers is a very intriguing option this week given his price point. Jeff Fisher finally took the training wheels off Gurley last week and he didn't disappoint by running for 146 yards on 19 carries and 2 catches. The Packers run defense ranks 31st in the NFL and despite the thought of the Rams having to throw to play catch up, I think Gurley easily exceeds his price tag. If the Rams want to win this game, they must control the clock by running through Gurley and limiting Rodgers' time on the field.   Wide Receiver Plays High Priced Options Julio Jones ($9,200) vs. Washington Redskins will be in all of my lineups once again. Although he disappointed for the first time all year last week, I fully expect him to bounce back in a very big way. The game script should be much better this week as the Falcons abandoned the pass after getting a quick 28 point lead. Washington is solid against the run and I fully expect former Redskins OC,  Kyle Shannahan to know who and how to attack this defense that just allowed Bradford to throw vertical on them last week. Washington's secondary is very banged up, and I fully expect Julio to be the top WR this week. Medium Priced Options Larry Fitzgerald ($6,800) @ Detroit Lions I expect Fitz and the Cardinals to rebound from last week's let down. Fitz will see most of his coverage from nickel corner Josh Wilson. Fitz is the top option on a high scoring offense, I am still not sure why he hasn't cracked the $7k threshold yet. Julian Edelman ($7,000) @ Dallas Cowboys is always a solid cash game option. Edelman is a very consistent DFS Cash game player who brings a high floor which is always something you look for when selecting players in cash game. Tom Brady has been targeting him often (42 targets in 3 games) which is very enticing given DraftKings 1pt per reception scoring. This matchup sets up nicely for the Edelman and the Pats off a bye. Jeremy Maclin ($6,000) vs. Chicago Bears will be a great stacking option for those going with Alex Smith at QB. Maclin is coming off two huge games were he received over 24 targets and 19 receptions combined. Furthermore, he has over 140 plus yards receiving in both games.  Playing a leaky Bears secondary, I expect Maclin to once again dominate targets and safely reach his value. Low Priced Options Donte Moncrief ($5,400) @ Houston Texans will be a player I look to target in Thursday night leagues depending on the status of Andrew Luck. If Luck is starting dial up Moncrief who has 3 touchdowns already on the season and should easily exceed his $5,400 price tag. Leonard Hankerson ($4,000) vs. Washington Redskins is a very intriguing wide out this week. As a mentioned above, I fully expect Shannahan to dial up a large number of pass plays and Hankerson is clearly the #2 in Atlanta right now. I think the former Redskin easily triples his value this week. Kamar Aiken ( $3,800) vs. Cleveland Browns will be another popular punt play this week. With Steve Smith sidelined for the foreseeable future, someone needs to catch balls for Joe Flacco. Volume is the name of the game so Aiken should easily exceed his $3,800 price tag. Willie Snead ($3,000) @ Philadelphia Eagles will probably be the most popular punt play this week after becoming more involved in the Saints offense last week. It wont take much for Snead to hit his value, and with Maxwell's status questionable Sunday that means Nolan Carroll is the top corner with rookie Eric Rowe. Snead should easily get 4-5 balls and hit value.   Tight End Plays: High Priced Options Rob Gronkowski ($7,500) @ Dallas Cowboys is a no brainer if you want to have a high floor/high ceiling tight end. He is always a threat in the redzone and is always a very solid option for cash games. No further explanation needed. Medium Priced Options Jason Witten ($4,500) vs. New England Patriots will be a tight end I use a lot this week if I decide to not pay up for Gronk. The loss of Dunbar should lead to more targets for Witten as Weeden's go to dump off man. Charles Clay ($4,100) @ Tennessee Titans will be in a lot of my lineups again this week. He has become a favorite target for Tyrod Taylor and he continues to trend in the right direction with each passing week. He caught 9 passes  for over 110 yards on 13 targets last week and with the status of Watkins up in the air, he should continue to be active. He is also facing a Titans defense that has given up double digits to every tight end they have faced this year. Low Priced Options Owen Daniels ($2,700) @ Oakland Raiders will be a very popular pick for the TE position this week. Not only does he support a meager $2,700 price tag but is coming off two consescutive games with a TD. To make matters even more intriguing, Daniels is facing an Oakland Raiders defense that has let up the most fantasy points in the NFL to tight ends. Defensive Plays New York Giants ($2,900) vs. San Francisco 49ers Baltimore Ravens ($2,900) vs. Cleveland Browns Kansas City Chiefs ($2,800) vs. Chicago Bears  
Michael Freas
Graduate of both NFP's Intro to Scouting 101 course and Sport Management Worldwide's Football GM & Scouting course. Relevant experience includes shadowing former NFL Players & Coaches/Scouts, Bob Pellegrini and Dick Bielski as well as current New England Patriots Front Office Executive, Michael Lombardi during his tenure with NFP. Fantasy Football and Daily Fantasy Football enthusiast.

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