Monday Night Special
Houston Texans (4-2, 2-0 road) at Indianapolis Colts (4-2, 2-0 home)
Monday, November 1, 2010
Time: 8:35pm eastern
Opening Line: Colts -5.5/49
Current Line: Colts -5/51
Last Meeting: September 12, 2010 in Houston (Texans 34, Colts 24)
Note: Prior to Houston’s win over Indianapolis in Week 1, the Colts had won the previous six meetings between these two teams.
Recent Trends (provided by our friends at Covers.com)
ATS: Against the spread
Texans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.
Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Colts are 7-1-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Colts are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Colts are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.
Analysis: The Texans stunned the football world back in Week 1 when they upset the Colts 34-24 behind a three-touchdown, 231-yard rushing effort from running back Arian Foster.
With both teams coming off their respective bye weeks, you have to figure the Colts spent a lot of time watching that Week 1 game tape and getting ready for Foster. Indy currently ranks 28th in the NFL against the run (137.3 yds/gm) and needs to do a better job getting off the field and letting Peyton Manning do his thing.
Speaking of Manning, he’s a ridiculous 8-0 lifetime at home against the Texans with a QB rating of 114.3. However, running back Joseph Addai, tight end Dallas Clark and wide receiver Austin Collie are all out for this divisional showdown.
If there were a year for the Texans to knock off the Colts at home, this would be it. Houston is currently 2-0 on the road this season and averaging 30.5 points and 483.5 yards per game in those two contests.
Prediction: Once again, you should expect to see a lot of points scored when these two teams take the field in Indianapolis on Monday night. The Colts and Texans have combined to score 53 or more points in five of their last six meetings.
Pick (current Monday night record is 5-4): Since 2005, Peyton Manning is 36-6 at home. That’s all we need to know. Enter the red zone is taking the Colts.
Who ya got?