Monday Night Special
Minnesota Vikings (1-2, 0-1 road) at New York Jets (3-1, 1-1 home)
Monday, October 11, 2010
Time: 8:30pm eastern
Weather: 57 degrees with thunderstorms likely (70% chance of precipitation)
Opening Line: Jets -5/37
Current Line: Jets -4.5/40
Last Meeting: December 17, 2006 in New York (Jets 26, Vikings 13)
Note: These two teams have only met twice since 2000 (Jets won both games)
Recent Trends (Provided by our friends at Covers.com)
ATS: Against the spread
Vikings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Vikings are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
New York Jets
Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Jets are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Monday games.
Analysis: The 1-2 Minnesota Vikings look to get the train back on the tracks Monday night when they travel to New York to take on the 3-1 Jets.
The Vikings have dominated the headlines over the last week as they traded for Pro Bowl wide receiver Randy Moss. In addition, the Brett Favre “naughty pictures” scandal has become a national story in its own right. Take note that the Vikings players have probably spent a good portion of the last week answering questions about anything other than the Jets.
Minnesota will have to get the passing game going in an effort to spread out the New York defense and prevent the Jets from loading up the box with seven and eight defenders in an effort to shut down Pro Bowl running back Adrian Peterson. That should be a tall order as the Vikings currently rank 23rd in passing offense (185.0 yds/gm) and 31st in scoring (14.3 pts/gm).
To make matters worse for Minnesota, the Vikings will be facing a loaded New York roster Monday night thanks to the return of OLB Calvin Pace, CB Darrelle Revis and WR Santonio Holmes. Holmes is returning from a four-game suspension and will give quarterback Mark Sanchez (8 TDs over last three games, 0 INTs on season) yet another weapon to utilize.
Also, keep an eye on tight end Dustin Keller, who has scored five touchdowns over the past three games. The best way to exploit a Cover-2 defense (like the one the Vikings run) is to get an athletic, playmaking tight end down the seam between the safeties. Keller could be in for a big night.
Prediction: New York is coming in to this game loaded and hot after ripping off a three-game winning streak. Minnesota has looked shaky on offense this year and will have to fight off a week’s worth of distractions to come out with the victory.
Pick: Jets -4.5 (current Monday night record: 2-3)
Who ya got?