Monday Night Special

Week 16

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (10-4, 5-2 road) at ATLANTA FALCONS (12-2, 6-0 home)

Monday, December 27, 2010
Weather: Indoors
Opening Line: Falcons -2/47.5
Current Line: Falcons -2.5/50.5

Last Meeting: September 26, 2010 in New Orleans (Falcons 27, Saints 24)

Note: New Orleans has won seven of the last nine meetings between these two teams.

Recent Trends (provided by our friends at

ATS: Against the spread

New Orleans Saints

Saints are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Saints are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Saints are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Atlanta Falcons

Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Falcons are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.

Analysis: The Ice Man is 19-1 career at the Georgia Dome, but Drew Brees and the Saints are coming off a critical loss at Baltimore and are facing a must-win situation Monday night at Atlanta. In a game that has all the makings of a shootout, I’ll side with the team that plays better on the defensive side of the football.

Current Monday/Thursday Record: 17-9-1

Pick: A rare double dipper from Joe Fortenbaugh. I’ll take the Saints plus the points and also like the OVER in this NFC South showdown. These two teams are averaging 53.0 total points per game over their last six outings.

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