Monday night special
Tennessee Titans (3-2, 2-0 road) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2, 2-1 home)
Monday, October 18, 2010
Time: 8:30pm eastern
Weather: 62 degrees with 0% chance of precipitation
Opening Line: Titans -3/44.5
Current Line: Titans -3/45
Last Meeting: November 1, 2009 in Nashville (Titans 30, Jaguars 13)
Recent Trends (Provided by our friends at Covers.com)
Titans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Titans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC South.
Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Titans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 6.
Jaguars are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC South.
Jaguars are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Analysis: The Tennessee Titans have shown very little consistency this season. One week it’s a win, the next week it’s a loss. However, Jeff Fisher’s crew is 2-0 on the road this season (NY Giants, Dallas) and has scored 20 or more points in four of their five games.
On the other side of the ball, the Jaguars are riding a two-game winning streak and have managed to score 30+ points in both contests (Indianapolis, Buffalo). Unfortunately, the Jaguars defense has now allowed their opponents to score 26 or more points in four of five games this season.
In three categories I deem to be very important, the Titans come out on top in two: Sack differential (+10 to Jacksonville’s +1) and turnover differential (even to Jacksonville’s -3). The Jags get the edge when it comes to penalties, as they have only been flagged 30 times to Tennessee’s 47.
Be sure to keep in mind that this is the first Monday night football game to take place in Jacksonville since October 22, 2007 (lost 29-7 to Indianapolis).
Prediction: The crowd should be rocking as Monday night football returns to Jacksonville for the first time since 2007. The Jags have been hot lately and the offense has been finding the end zone. However, Jack Del Rio’s bunch will have their hands full Monday night with Vince Young and Chris Johnson.
Pick: I don’t like this game all that much, but I’m taking the Jaguars and the points. You never pick against a home dog in a primetime divisional rivalry game. (Current Monday night record: 3-3)
Bonus pick: I think this game goes OVER 45 points tonight.
Who ya got?