Packers at Bears
Green Bay Packers (2-0, 1-0 road) at Chicago Bears (2-0, 1-1 home)
Monday, September 27, 2010
Time: 8:30pm eastern (ESPN)
Weather: 59 degrees with 0% chance of precipitation at kickoff
Opening Line: Packers -3.5/45
Current Line: Packers -3/46.5
Last Meeting: In Chicago on December 13, 2009 (Packers 21, Bears 14)
Note: Since 2004, Chicago is 3-3 straight up at home against Green Bay.
Recent Trends (Provided by our friends at Covers.com)
ATS: Against the spread
Head to head
Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Packers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Chicago.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
Green Bay Packers
Packers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Packers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Bears are 7-18-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Bears are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Analysis: The 2-0 Green Bay Packers head to Soldier Field after a 34-7 home beat down of the Buffalo Bills to take on a 2-0 Chicago Bears team that is coming off a 27-20 upset win at Dallas in Week 2.
Forget most of what you know about the Chicago Bears, because this is a new football team. Offensive mastermind Mike Martz was brought in to call the plays in the Windy City this year and so far quarterback Jay Cutler has responded nicely, with five touchdowns and only 1 interception. Remember, Cutler led the NFL in picks last season, with 26.
In addition, the Chicago defense has taken on a more menacing look as the Bears acquired Pro Bowl defensive end Julius Peppers this past offseason and got Pro Bowl linebacker Brian Urlacher back. If you remember, Urlacher was lost for the year in Week 1 last season when he dislocated his right wrist.
On the other side of the ball, it’s been business as usual for a Green Bay Packers team that currently ranks 1st in the NFL in scoring offense, 2nd in total defense and 1st in passing defense. Keep in mind that Chicago currently ranks 1st in the league in run defense and 4th in passing offense.
Monday’s game will come down to who wins the battle in the trenches. Both offensive lines are surrounded by question marks and both defensive fronts feature some of the best pass rushers in the business.
Despite playing one less game than everybody but the Chicago Bears, the Packers currently rank 3rd in the NFL in sacks, with 10. Packers outside linebacker Clay Matthews and Bears defensive end Julius Peppers are the players to watch in tonight’s game.
Prediction: Soldier Field is going to be rocking Monday night as two undefeated teams renew the NFL’s longest-running rivalry. The theory I’ve been sticking to this season is simple: I don’t bet against home underdogs in primetime, division rivalry games.
Pick: Bears +3
Leave your picks in the comments section below!