Thursday Night Action
HOUSTON TEXANS (5-6, 2-3 road) at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (7-4, 3-2 home)
Thursday, December 2, 2010
Time: 8:20pm eastern
Weather: 30 degrees, 20% chance of precipitation
Opening Line: Eagles -8/49.5
Current Line: Eagles -9/51.5
Last Meeting: September 10, 2006 in Houston (Eagles 24, Texans 10)
Note: These two franchises have only met two times (2002, 2006), with the Eagles winning both games.
Recent Trends (Provided by our friends at Covers.com)
Texans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
Texans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in December.
Texans are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Eagles are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 13.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Analysis: After dropping four straight games, the Houston Texans finally got back in the win column last weekend with a 20-0 beat down of the Tennessee Titans. However, the Texans have dropped three-straight road games and are surrendering an average of 28.4 points per game away from home this season.
In the three games Houston has come up short on the road this season, they’ve lost by 13, 7, and 3 points, respectively. This is an offense that can score (24.0 pts/gm, 10th in NFL), but keep in mind that this squad features a defense that has a ton of trouble slowing down its opponents (26.1 pts/gm, 26th in NFL).
The Eagles 12th ranked run defense (102.5 yds/gm) will have its hands full with the NFL’s leading rusher in Arian Foster, but the big problem lies in the secondary, where injuries and inexperience have led to a laundry list of problems for the Birds. If CB Asante Samuel can’t go Thursday night, Houston wide receiver Andre Johnson could have a field day.
Prediction: Points, points and more points.
Current Monday/Thursday Record: 13-5-1
Pick: The Texans are a soft football team, but if Asante Samuel can’t play Thursday night, the Eagles are going to have a real tough time trying to slow down the Houston offense. Philly wins, but Houston covers.
Who ya got?