Before they were Stars

I usually wait until after the draft to write this column, but I was having a discussion with some people about the accuracy of the college football recruiting services as to their accuracy. As many of you know, I am not a fan of these services. They sell themselves as being able to accurately predict a prospect's future, when in reality they are throwing darts at a wall and hoping that a high percentage stick. For the purpose of this article I went back to see what players who have a legitimate shot at being a first round draft choice this year were rated when they came out of high school. There are more than 32 players on this list as we have no idea who will get drafted between 20 and 32. All of these players should be drafted in the top 45. What I found is that a high percentage of these players (over 50%) were rated 3 starts or less when they came out of high school in 2010, 2011 and 2012. While many weren’t highly rated three to five years ago, they sure as heck are now. If the recruiting services were accurate in their evaluations, a very high percentage of first round players should be 4 and 5 star players. That isn’t the case and has never been the case. Quarterbacks Jameis Winston – 5 stars Marcus Mariota – 3 stars Running Backs Melvin Gordon – 4 stars Todd Gurley – 4 stars Ameer Abdullah – 3 stars Tevin Coleman – 3 stars Jay Ajayi – 3 stars Wide Receiver Amari Cooper – 4 stars Kevin White – 0 stars DeVante Parker – 3 stars Jaelen Strong – 0 stars Breshad Perriman – 2 stars Phillip Dorsett – 3 stars Tight End Maxx Williams – 3 stars Offensive Line Brandon Scherff – 3 stars Andrus Peat – 5 stars La’el Collins – 4 stars T.J. Cummings – 4 stars Ereck Flowers – 4 stars Cam Irving – 3 stars Defensive Line Arik Armstead – 4 stars Danny Shelton – 4 stars Leonard Williams – 4 stars Malcom Brown - 4 stars Eddie Goldman – 5 stars Linebackers Vic Beasley – 3 stars Randy Gregory – 3 stars Shane Ray – 3 stars Bud Dupree – 3 stars Benardrick McKinney – 3 stars Eric Kendricks – 3 stars Paul Dawson – 0 stars Defensive Backs Trae Waynes – 2 stars Marcus Peters – 3 stars Kevin Johnson – 2 stars Landon Collins – 5 stars Follow Greg on Twitter @greggabe

Upcoming Games

Dec 6th, 1:00 PM

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Dec 6th, 1:00 PM

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Dec 6th, 1:00 PM

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Dec 6th, 1:00 PM

Cincinnati +11.5 -110

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Dec 6th, 4:05 PM

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Dec 6th, 4:25 PM

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Dec 6th, 4:25 PM

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Dec 6th, 8:20 PM

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Dec 7th, 5:00 PM

Washington +9.5 -110

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Dec 7th, 8:15 PM

Buffalo -1 -110

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Dec 8th, 8:05 PM

Dallas

Baltimore

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Dec 10th, 8:20 PM

New England +6.5 -110

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Houston -1.5 -110

Chicago +1.5 -110

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Tennessee -9.5 -110

Jacksonville +9.5 -110

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Denver +4 -110

Carolina -4 -110

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Minnesota +6 -110

Tampa Bay -6 -110

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Arizona -3 -117

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Kansas City -7.5 -110

Miami +7.5 -110

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Dallas -3.5 -110

Cincinnati +3.5 -110

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Dec 13th, 4:05 PM

NY Jets +14.5 -110

Seattle -14.5 -110

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Dec 13th, 4:05 PM

Indianapolis -2.5 -110

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Dec 13th, 4:25 PM

Green Bay -7.5 -110

Detroit +7.5 -110

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Dec 13th, 4:25 PM

Washington +4 -110

San Francisco -4 -110

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Dec 13th, 4:25 PM

Atlanta +1 -107

LA Chargers -1 -107

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Dec 13th, 4:25 PM

New Orleans -6.5 -110

Philadelphia +6.5 -110

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Dec 13th, 8:20 PM

Pittsburgh -2.5 -110

Buffalo +2.5 -110

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