Your Week 10 Sunday preview
We’ve already had one upset this week with Cleveland thumping the Bengals in Cincinnati 24-3 on Thursday night. That gives the Browns a 6-3 record as well as legitimacy in regards to being AFC playoff contenders.
Now that we are in the second half of the season, games become more important and teams in playoff contention can’t afford to lose. Because of that, games tend to be more physical and tighter as far as the final score. Trying to pick against the spread becomes harder as Las Vegas does a much better job handicapping games. Still, I’ve gone 3-1 in two out of the last three weeks.
With that in mind, here are my Week 10 selections. Last week I played all 1:00pm ET games, but that’s not the case this week
Seattle Seahawks (-9.5) vs. New York Giants
The Seahawks have played perhaps their worst football in two years over the last month. With the hapless Giants coming in, now is Seattle’s chance to make a move down the stretch.
The Giants don’t have a running game and Eli Manning has been in a slump for the past two seasons. He no longer is considered an elite quarterback in the NFL.
I can see Seattle winning this game easily and while I normally don’t like to give up 9.5 points, I still think it is a good bet here.
Arizona Cardinals (-6.5) vs. St. Louis Rams
Palmer and the Cardinals have been on cruise control as of late.
When I first looked at this game, I was going to pass. But the more I studied it, the more I began to like Arizona. The Cardinals haven’t lost since their fourth game and right now they are playing excellent football. Carson Palmer is playing perhaps the best football of his career at the moment.
Two weeks ago the Cardinals beat a strong Philly team by four and last week they traveled to Dallas to beat the Cowboys in a difficult venue.
Yes, I know the Rams have beaten Seattle and San Francisco in two of the last three games, but they also got destroyed by Kansas City. The Cardinals have to keep winning to hold on to their lead in the NFC West. I like Arizona to win and win by more than 7.
Kansas City Chiefs (-2) at Buffalo Bills
Like Cleveland, Buffalo has been one of the surprise teams in the NFL this season. Kyle Orton has given the Bills the best quarterback play they’ve had in the last ten years. Still, I don’t see the Bills matching up well against the Chiefs.
The Chiefs have won three in a row with the last two by 14 and 27 points. They are legitimate playoff contenders (as are the Bills) and with Andy Reid as the head coach I don’t see them losing a game they should be able to win.
This is maybe the biggest game the Bills players have had in years and I just don’t think they are ready to handle the situation. Take the Chiefs and give the points.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5) at New York Jets
This has got to be the play of the week. How can the Steelers only be laying 4.5 points? In the last three weeks, the Steelers have won by 7, 17 and 20. Ben Roethlisberger has thrown 12 touchdown passes in the last two games. Yes, I know these games came at home, but this is the Jets they are playing.
In case no one has noticed, the Jets have lost eight in a row and only one of those games has been close (two-point loss at New England). The Jets fans are screaming for Rex Ryan and John Idzik’s heads. It hasn’t been pretty.
Michael Vick is not what he used to be and is a turnover waiting to happen in the red zone. Geno Smith has no confidence and is a bust. I don’t see this game being close. Take the Steelers and lay the points.
Follow Greg on Twitter: @greggabe