December 06, 2015 - Greg Gabriel
Your Week 13 NFL Sunday Preview
Last week was a very good week for us finishing 4-0 against the spread. The last two weeks I have written this column, we have gone 7-1 against the spread. Any guy who bets will take those results all the time. The funny thing is, I’m not a better and never have been. I spend a total of about 15 minutes each Saturday studying the games and just pick the ones where I feel the spread is out of whack so to speak. That said, here are my games for Week 13. Atlanta at Tampa Bay (even) This is a game between two clubs going in a different direction. Atlanta was one of the surprise teams in the league at the start of the season winning five in a row and six of their first seven games. Since then things have gone downhill and the Falcons have lost their last four with the last two games being at home. Tampa Bay on the other hand has been playing their best football of the season recently and have gone 3-2 in their last five games. Since the game is in Tampa Bay my hunch is that the Bucs will get the win. Go with the home team. Cincinnati (-10.5) at Cleveland This game is always an important game for the Bengals ownership and the Bengals always seem to play hard. The Bengals also bounced back from their two game skid with a big 31- 7 win over the Rams last week. Cleveland on the other hand is a train wreck. Austin Davis gets his first start at quarterback for the Browns and the defense is beat up, especially in the secondary which bodes well for Cincinnati’s passing game. In my opinion, 10.5 points may not be enough. Cincinnati may win by 14+. Give the points on this one. Houston (+3) at Buffalo Houston in recent weeks has played fairly good football. Buffalo on the other hand has been very inconsistent and are one of the most penalized teams in the NFL. Buffalo has problems along the offensive line and it looks as if the best defensive player in the league (J.J. Watt) will be up against a very mediocre Jordan Mills. Buffalo will have trouble scoring against Houston and for that reason I like the Texans. Take the points. San Francisco at Chicago (-8) Many people will tell you to stay away from this game. The Bears have not played well at home and their receiving corps is banged up. Still Jay Cutler is having his best season as an NFL quarterback and the Bears are due to have a breakout game at home. San Francisco on the other hand has yet to win on the road and are playing with a third string running back. Blaine Gabbert is actually playing solid football but I feel that Chicago will put a lot of pressure on Gabbert up the middle and that will cause turnovers. It’s a risky game but give the points and take the Bears.