After two straight weeks sitting at the .500 level, I had a good showing last week going 3-0-1 with the tie being Buffalo (-1) at Tennessee. Now that I’m back on track, I have to keep up the pace. Anything less than three and one is unacceptable. One thing is certain though, the further we get in to the season the harder it is to beat the spread as Las Vegas does a great job setting the spread. New England (-10) at Indianapolis Though he will never say so publicly, this is the game Tom Brady has been waiting for. It was the Colts who went to the NFL regarding New England’s supposed deflated footballs. The ongoing investigation tried to vilify Brady and since his exoneration he has been on a tear. Today is payback day and as good as Brady has played all year, this just might be his best game. What the Colts have going for them is Andrew Luck. If he is ready to play, the Colts are capable of putting a lot of points on the board. That said, I still think this game has extra meaning for the Pats and they will look to blowout the Colts. New York Giants (+5) at Philadelphia The Giants were struggling early in the year but recently they have been playing much better football. Eli Manning is beginning to look like the Manning of old and his accuracy and production have improved. Until last week against a weak New Orleans team the Eagles have had a difficult time. I think that the rest of the NFL has caught up to Chip Kelly’s fast paced offense and they no longer have that fast paced advantage. Sam Bradford has been up and down so far this year and I feel that in a tough division rivalry type game he will be down. Take the points and go with the G-Men. Chicago (+3) at Detroit Watching tape of this year’s Lions team brings back memories of last year’s Bears. They seem out of sync with the coaching staff and the all-out effort isn’t there. Chicago has looked much better in recent weeks and have done a very good job controlling the clock when they are on offense. It took a while, but the defensive personnel are now getting a good feel for what new defensive coordinator Vic Fangio wants them to do. With Detroit being at home and currently standing with an 0-5 record it is very important for them tho get off to a fast start. If they do, then they might be able to build some momentum and win the game. If it goes the other way and the Bears get on the board first, the crowd will turn on them and they could implode. Take the points in this game. Cincinnati (-3) at Buffalo Right now the Cincinnati Bengals are as good as any team in the National Football League. Quarterback Andy Dalton is off to his best start ever and is joining the company of the elite. Buffalo has been up and down all year and the offense has been inconsistent. Quarterback Tyrod Taylor could miss this game with an MCL injury and even if he plays, he would be as efficient. With the game being in Buffalo it will be close, but I like the Bengals to keep themselves unbeaten. Give the points. Follow Greg on Twitter @greggabe