To The House: Week 7 Edition

It’s time to focus on the most thrilling aspect of a football game: the touchdown. That minuscule gap between the 1-inch line and the goal line can make the difference between winning and losing your fantasy matchup for the week. So, let’s take a look at which players are most likely to score those six points in this week’s edition of “To the House.” 


1. Adrian Peterson, Running Back, Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions 

Image title

Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

The "LeBron James of football" was held to just 60 yards on the ground last week. Of course that was against the Kansas City Chiefs' run-defense that only forfeited 71 yards to Matt Forte the week prior. This week, Peterson will travel to Detroit to face a team that has already given up nine rushing touchdowns on the young season (2nd most in NFL). 

AP has been privileged with the most red zone carries on the season with 23. Coincidentally, the Lions have witnessed opposing running backs being fed the rock 44 times in 2015 after crossing the red zone (Most in NFL). Peterson will surely be given plenty of chances to take it to the house this week and, if his week 2 performance against this same Lions defense is any indication (192 yards from scrimmage), AP could be running on the Lions all-day.

2. Latavius Murray, Running Back, Oakland Raiders vs. San Diego Chargers

Image title


Scott R. Galvin-USA TODAY Sports

Murray has struggled in his last two appearances averaging 44.5 yds/game and zero touchdowns. That was most likely due to a shoulder injury which forced him to exit early in his week 5 matchup against the Denver Broncos. After a bye week, Murray has returned to full strength and was a full participant at practice this week. 

A fully healthy Murray averaged 105.3 all-purpose yards in the first three weeks of the season while adding a pair of touchdowns. Murray has also been given 82.4 percent of the Raiders' red zone rushes (No. 2 among NFL RB's) despite his injury. 

He'll surely benefit from facing the rock-bottom Chargers run defense that has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing rushers this season. The Chargers have allowed 18 red zone rushes in just the past four weeks giving Murray plenty of opportunities to cross the goal line. 

3. Larry Fitzgerald, Wide Receiver, Arizona Cardinals vs. Baltimore Ravens

Image title

Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

Fitzgerald must have discovered the fountain of youth over the offseason because he is playing like his former all-pro self this year. The 32 year-old wideout is currently second among WR's in fantasy production in 2015. His league-leading six touchdowns are definitely a big part of that. 

The Cardinals have been an offensive powerhouse this season with Palmer back in the pocket. Their top-5 ranking in total yards is evidence that they march into the red zone early and often. Even more importantly, when they get inside the 10-yard line, Fitz has been targeted an astounding six times already this season (2nd most among NFL WR's). 

Fitzgerald has been shredding average competition all season, but in week 7 he gets to face a depleted Baltimore secondary that has already given up nine TD's to opposing WR's (3rd most in NFL). Don't be surprised if Larry Fitzgerald celebrates another touchdown this Monday night. 

4. Odell Beckham Jr., Wide Receiver, New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Image title

Ed Mulholland-USA TODAY Sports


Thankfully for Giants fans, the Madden curse hasn't struck ODB yet, and he's avoiding a sophomore slump. He's still ranked in the top-10 among WR in fantasy points this season after cracking the list last year as a rookie. In the last two weeks, he's especially stepped his game up as he's found himself as the 4th most productive wideout.

Odell's nine red zone targets on the season (No. 4 among WR's) illustrate that he's still Eli Manning's go-to target when invading enemy territory.  The 6'0" superstar will be matched up against Dallas' No. 1 CB, Brandon Carr, who allotted 164 yards and two TD's to the only player he's faced of ODB's caliber (Julio Jones in week 3). Beckham might not finish with those spectacular numbers, but that could be a foreshadowing of Beckham's week 7 performance. 

5. Travis Kelce, Tight End, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Im
age title

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

The 3rd round Pick out of Cincinnati in 2013 has proven to be a steal for the Chiefs in his young, promising career. After missing his entire rookie season with a knee injury, Kelce has bounced back to assert himself as an elite TE in today's NFL. He's even received comparisons to Rob Gronkowski, most likely due to his similarly massive 6'5", 260 lb frame.

We all know Quarterback Alex Smith never throws touchdowns to WR's, and with Jamaal Charles on the IR, that makes Kelce Smith's only reliable target in the red zone. Smith was already targeting Kelce 27.3 percent of the time when entering the red zone (No. 7 among NFL TE's). That was also with Jamaal and Jeremy Maclin (Concussion) taking up a combined 50 percent of the red zone targets.

With the Chiefs facing a lackluster Steelers Defense that is surrendering 12.5 fantasy points to opposing TE's (2nd most in NFL) and giving up a league-leading six touchdowns, Kelce is primed to punch it in for six. 

6. Antonio Gates, Tight End, San Diego Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders

Image title

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

Gates started his 12th NFL season with a 4-game suspension. In two games since returning, he's showing the world why he is an 8-time pro bowler. In the last two weeks, Gates has been the second most productive Tight End in the league. He's also received an overwhelming 7 targets in the red zone in the same time span (3 more than any other TE).

Gates has been a monster since being eligible to play and will now face the lifeless Raiders defense that opposing tight ends have feasted on all season. Tight Ends have averaged 14.96 fantasy points a game against this Raiders team and have scored six touchdowns as well (both lead in NFL). That's mostly because the three LB's the Raiders typically have drop back in coverage - Malcolm Smith, Curtis Lofton, and Ray-Ray Armstrong have combined for a -7.1 PFF coverage grade. 

Expect Gates to continue his rampage on opposing NFL defenses with an easy matchup against Oakland on the horizon.

Upcoming Games