Mahomes, Goff, Jackson, Wilson
Patrick Mahomes goes back to 2018 form, Lamar Jackson continues his 2019 form and Russell Wilson is a little more careless with the ball. Here are my prop predictions for the top three QB in the NFL.
Each player must play all 16 games for their bet to stand, per BetRivers Sportsbook.
Patrick Mahomes – Total Passing Yards: TAKE OVER 4,500.5 (-110)
I am all in on Patrick Mahomes this season. In 2017, Mahomes hit 5,097 yards just his second season in the NFL. He is going into his fourth season, and only third season as the starting QB. Last year, he was derailed due to a dislocated kneecap and missed three games as a result.
The Chiefs offense should be in the top three of the league this season. They are basically running it back from last season. Selecting first-round pick Clyde Edwards-Helaire should provide a dimension to this offense that Andy Reid hasn’t had since coming to Kansas City. a top running back.
Mahomes breaks 4,500 easy and will hit 5,000 yards for the second time in his career.
Lamar Jackson – Total Passing Touchdowns: TAKE OVER 26.5 (-110)
Am I missing something here? Lamar Jackson had 36 passing touchdowns last season. This will be his second season as full time Quarterback and has continuity under second year OC Greg Roman.
Lamar will also have J.K Dobbins and Hollywood Brown going into his second season. I don’t expect him to have 36 touchdown passes, but he will definitely break 26 with ease. Hammer the over on this one.
Russell Wilson – Total Interceptions Thrown: TAKE OVER 8.5 (-110)
This may sound crazy, but hear me out. Seattle has relied on running the ball a lot since Brian Shoettenheimer took over as offensive coordinator and I think the game plan is going to change this season. Fans and just general media have been screaming to let Wilson be himself which means more improvising, and letting him make plays.
That comes with more interceptions. I can see Russell Wilson having nine or ten interceptions easily and I don’t think it will affect his overall performance. In 2017 Russell Wilson threw 11 interceptions, and that is arguably his best season as a pro.
The Seahawks will be relying more on Wilson this year so look for him to try and make more plays. I love the over here.
Jared Goff – Total Passing Yards: TAKE UNDER 4325.5 (-110)
This is another line that completely baffles me. Yes, Jared Goff has thrown for more than 4,325.5 in his past two seasons, but this L.A Rams team is on a steep decline. Goff has lost his biggest weapon in Todd Gurley, and this O Line is mediocre at best. I don’t think this team’s passing game will be a complete disaster, however I do expect Sean McVay to try and run the football more this season.
I don’t see a scenario where Goff has an outstanding season and eclipses 4,325.5. Look for the Rams offense to be in the middle of the pack this season.