Each Sunday, Deeg will provide his Top 5 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks. For new football bettors, Anytime TD props are bets that predict which players will score a touchdown at any time during the game.
Deeg has been on absolute fire with his picks. Its worth your time to follow him through Super Bowl 56
Super Bowl 56 Picks
Kendall Blanton +260 (FanDuel)
All signs point to Tyler Higbee missing this game due to a knee injury, opening the door for Blanton to get starter reps.
The Rams run a ton of 11-personnel, a three-wide receiver, one tight-end sets. Blanton played 79% of the snaps last week with Higbee exiting the game late in the first quarter and had five targets for five receptions. This season, the Bengals allowed the third-most yards and fifth-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends.
Tyler Boyd +275 (DraftKings)
Boyd is an afterthought on this offense, but he’s a huge piece that Joe Burrow will need in this game. Boyd sees consistent snaps, playing at least 70% of the snaps since Week 7.
The Rams’ secondary thins out drastically after Jalen Ramsey. They allowed the third-most yards and fourth-most receptions to the opposing team’s slot receiver. Boyd has 20 targets in his last four games.
Matthew Stafford +800 (FanDuel)
Let’s take a swing. It’s the Super Bowl so why not? Stafford isn’t the most mobile quarterback in the world, but he can take off when he needs to.
Stafford has run a lot more in the playoffs than usual. In the playoffs, he has 15 rushing attempts for 36 yards and two rushing touchdowns. At +800, this is worth the swing.
First TD Scorer: Tee Higgins +1200 (FanDuel)
I’m adding in a first TD scorer, and Tee Higgins at +1200 caught my eye. Higgins has been a monster over the last two games, racking in 13 catches on 19 targets for 199 yards.
Back to my point earlier in the article, the Rams secondary drops off after Ramsey. He will be following Ja’Marr Chase around, opening the door for Higgins and Boyd to have good games.
Conference Championship Prop Picks
C.J. Uzomah +230 (DraftKings – bet $5, get $280 in FREE BETS!)
Uzomah has been a target machine lately. He has 20 targets and a touchdown in his last three games.
Travis Kelce 2+ +400 (DraftKings – bet $5, get $280 in FREE BETS!)
Kelce has been a monster lately, catching six touchdowns in his last five games.
Joe Burrow +550 (DraftKings – bet $5, get $280 in FREE BETS!)
Motivation is a factor here. Quarterbacks tend to take off and run more in the playoffs. Burrow has the legs to run for the pylon in the red zone. At +550, this is worth the swing.
Noah Gray +1200 (DraftKings )
This is a long shot, so tread with caution. Gray has two targets in back-to-back games, and the Bengals have allowed the third-most yards and fifth-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends.
Tyler Higbee +210 (DraftKings )
Higbee had two touchdowns against the 49ers in Week 18.
Jauan Jennings +440 (FanDuel)
Similar reasoning to Higbee. Jennings had two touchdowns against the Rams in Week 18.
Kyle Juszcyk +600 (DraftKings – bet $5, get $280 in FREE BETS!)
This is a challenging game to find value. Juice consistently plays at least 50% of the snaps.
Divisional Playoff Props
Bengals vs. Titans
Julio Jones +275
He had nine targets and a touchdown last week.
Tyler Boyd +275
He has touchdowns in three straight games.
Geoff Swaim +500
Swaim has played at least 73% of the snaps in five of his last six games and had a touchdown two weeks ago. This is great value.
49ers vs. Packers
Randall Cobb +230
Cobb will be the third wide receiver on the Packers with MVS out. He is back healthy and has five touchdowns this season.
Davante Adams 2+ +420
This pick is pretty self-explanatory. He is the best weapon on the field in this game.
Elijah Mitchell 2+ +650
The Packers are 30th in EPA per rush since Week 13. The 49ers will be able to run the ball.
Sony Michel +230
Even with Cam Akers back, Michel had 13 carries last week.
Van Jefferson +310
These odds are too good to pass up. He plays at least 65% of the snaps in every game.
Cameron Brate +450
He has had at least three targets in every game since Week 14. He also has two touchdowns in his last four games.
Gabriel Davis +300
Davis has had four touchdowns since Week 14. He has played in 71% of the snaps in every game during that stretch.
Patrick Mahomes +360
He has four rushing touchdowns in his last nine playoff games.
Stefon Diggs 2+ +700
He is going to see a ton of targets.
Wild Card TD Props
Raiders vs. Bengals
C.J Uzomah +225 (DraftKings)
The Raiders have allowed the third-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season.
Zay Jones +300 (FanDuel)
He has had 18 targets over the last two weeks.
Foster Moreau +450 (DraftKings)
Even with Darren Waller back, he played 61% of the snaps last week.
Patriots vs. Bills
Hunter Henry +240 (FanDuel)
He is the Patriots top red-zone target.
Dawson Knox +240 (FanDuel)
He is never over +210. These odds are too good to pass up.
Eagles vs. Buccaneers
DeVonta Smith +270 (FanDuel)
Smith plays his best football in big games. The Buccaneers’ weakness is their secondary, so the Eagles will be leaning on Smith.
Jordan Howard +300 (DraftKings)
Howard has been their go-to running back in the red zone in short-yardage situations. He is fully healthy and should see a nice workload.
Rob Gronkowski 2+ +500
The Eagles have allowed the most touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season.
49ers vs. Cowboys
Jauan Jennings +270 (FanDuel)
Jennings has really played well lately. He had seven targets and two touchdowns last week.
Kyle Juszczyk +650 (FanDuel)
He plays at least 50% of the snaps in every game. I can see him getting a couple of red zone touches.
CeeDee Lamb 2+ +700 (DraftKings)
He led the team with 115 targets. At these odds, it’s worth the swing.
Steelers vs. Chiefs
Ray-Ray McCloud +390 (FanDuel)
He has 19 targets in his last two games.
Tyreek Hill 2+ +400 (DraftKings)
The Chiefs are a hard team to find value on. This game will be the Hill and Kelce show.
Jerick McKinnon +600 (FanDuel)
He had eight touches and a touchdown last week.
Cardinals vs. Rams
Van Jefferson +220 (FanDuel)
The Cardinals have allowed the most touchdowns to opposing wide receivers.
Zach Ertz +225 (DraftKings)
He leads the team in red zone targets since Week 14.
Antoine Wesley +400 (DraftKings)
He has three touchdowns in his last four games.
Week 18 TD Props
Darnell Mooney +230 (FanDuel)
Andy Dalton will get the start for the Bears on Sunday, which will benefit Mooney. He has been Dalton’s go-to target.
Mooney has played over 87% of the snaps since Week 12 and has 29 targets in his last three games.
Laquon Treadwell +450 (DraftKings)
Laquon Treadwell has taken over the top receiver on the Jaguars’ offense. He has 20 targets in his last three games and has played over 80% of the snaps since Week 12.
This year, the Colts have given up the third-most touchdowns to opposing wide receivers.
Jarret Patterson +280 (FanDuel)
Patterson has emerged as a player for the Washington Football team offense. He has a touchdown in two of his last three games, and Antonio Gibson is still dealing with nagging injuries.
Cyril Grayson +550
Cyril Grayson has emerged as the second wide receiver on the Buccaneers. He had eight targets last week and has played over at least 64% of the snaps in his previous two games.
Van Jefferson +240
This is tremendous value for Jefferson. He is usually under +200, and his production has not slowed down.
Jefferson has played in 90% of the snaps in two of his last three games and will have his number called, considering the 49ers will do everything in their power to stop Cooper Kupp.
Chiefs vs Broncos
Byron Pringle +280 (DraftKings)
Pringle has 15 targets and two touchdowns in his last three games
Courtland Sutton +420 (FanDuel )
The Chiefs has allowed 16 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season
Tyree Jackson +550 (DraftKings)
Both other tight ends are currently on the Covid list.
Cedrick Wilson +230 (FanDuel)
He has six targets last week.
J.J Arcega-Whiteside +1100 (DraftKings)
He is going to see a ton of playing time.
Week 17 Anytime TD Scorer Props
Kenneth Gainwell +350 (DraftKings)
With no Miles Sanders and a banged-up Jordan Howard, Gainwell will be a part of this offense going forward. Gainwell is tied for the Eagles touchdown lead with five.
DeVante Parker +270 (DraftKings)
Since returning from injury, Parker has 13 targets and a touchdown in his last three games. I expect his workload to increase over the next two games. The Titans have allowed 17 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season.
Joe Burrow +550 (DraftKings)
Joe Burrow is going to have to use his legs in this game. The Chiefs have allowed the fifth-most rushing yards and the most rushing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks this season.
Javonte Williams + Deebo Samuel parlay +505 (DraftKings)
I have not done a parlay bet this season as I have been saving it for one that I love. This is tremendous value for these two guys. The Texans and Chargers both have atrocious run defenses.
Michael Gallup +210 (DraftKings)
Gallup has been a target machine this season. He has at least five targets in every game, and this is a great matchup for him. The Cardinals have allowed the most touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season.
Week 16 Anytime TD Scorer Props
Dallas Goedert +210 (FanDuel)
He has over 100 yards in back to back games. He is the top passing option on this offense right now.
Allen Robinson +310 (FanDuel)
Him and Foles have a better connection.
Justin Herbert +330 (DraftKings)
No Austin Ekeler in this game. He will have to use his legs today.
Scotty Miller +480 (FanDuel)
With Godwin and Evans out, Miller will slot into the Bucs wide receiver rotation.
James Robinson 2+ +550 (DraftKings)
The Jets run defense is atrocious. Robinson is going to have a big day.
Week 15 Anytime TD Scorer Props
DJ Moore +270 (FanDuel)
These odds caught me off guard. Moore has 20 targets in just his last two games. Without Tre’davious White, the Bills defense isn’t what it was earlier this season.
Ray-Ray McLoud III +450 (DraftKings)
Talk about finding hidden value. McLoud has 12 targets and has played at least 65% of the snaps in his last two games.
Marvin Jones +210 (FanDuel)
With Urban Meyer gone, I think this offense is going to take off. The Texans defense is one of the worst in the league, and Jones is the Jaguars top receiving target.
Geoge Kittle 2+ +650
Kittle has been a monster over last two games, combining for 27 targets. The Falcons have allowed seven touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season
Marquez Valdez Scantling +210 (FanDuel)
Without Marlon Humphrey, the Ravens are going to struggle to contain the Packers passing offense.
Week 14 Anytime TD Scorer Props
Mark Andrews +210 (FanDuel)
You never see Mark Andrews at +200 odds or over. This should be an automatic bet. Andrews is the best red zone weapon on the Ravens.
He has also dominated the Browns in his career. He had 10 targets for 64 yards and a touchdown against the Browns just two weeks ago.
Tim Patrick +260 (FanDuel)
Tim Patrick has turned into a solid number two receiver for the Broncos. Against a bad Lions secondary, Patrick and the Broncos’ offense should dominate.
Patrick is always on the field. He has played at least 80% of the snaps in his last three games.
Taylor Heinicke +370 (FanDuel)
Heinicke has been one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL over the last month. He has transformed this Washington offense into a threat.
The Cowboys struggle against running quarterbacks. They have allowed second-most touchdowns and ninth-most yards against opposing quarterbacks.
Gabriel Davis +380 (DraftKings)
PFF has Gabriel Davis as their fourth-best wide receiver over the last month. When on the field, he has been highly efficient.
He is starting to find a role in the Bills offense. He had the Bills’ only touchdown last week against the Patriots and will go against a mediocre Buccaneers secondary.
Alvin Kamara 2+ +420 (FanDuel)
Let’s take a swing. Kamara is fully healthy, and the Saints offense has desperately missed him.
The Jets have been atrocious against running backs, allowing the most touchdowns by a wide margin to the position. I expect a heavy dose of Kamara in this game.
Week 13 Anytime TD Scorer Props
Mike Evans 2+ +700 (FanDuel)
This year, the 2+ bets have been very kind to me, hitting on David Montgomery, Joe Mixon, and Deebo Samuel last week. My eyes lit up when I saw these odds.
This season, Mike Evans has three multi-touchdown games and will be going against the Atlanta Falcons pass defense that has allowed the third-most passing touchdowns to opposing wide receivers.
C.J Uzomah +250 (FanDuel)
Uzomah has emerged as one of the better tight ends in the NFL this season, and he gets a favorable matchup in Week 13.
The Chargers have allowed the second-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends and will be heavily focused on slowing down Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.
T.Y Hilton +240 (FanDuel)
Hilton has been a monster against the Texans in his career. He has 101 catches for 1,798 yards and has scored 11 touchdowns in 19 games against the Texans in his career. At +240 odds, this is worth a bet.
Zay Jones +330 (DraftKings)
Zay Jones has emerged as the second wide receiver on this team behind Hunter Renfrow. He has played at least 70% of the snaps in four straight games and had seven targets last week.
Washington has allowed the sixth-most touchdowns to opposing wide receivers, and they have allowed the most 20+ yard touchdowns this season. Jones can beat defenses deep.
Gerald Everett +310 (DraftKings)
Everett has become a massive part of this Seahawks offense. He has 20 targets in his last three games and has played more than 75% of the snaps in each of those games.
Dalton Schultz +180 at FanDuel
The Saints’ defense got killed by Dawson Knox last week.
Taysom Hill +190 at FanDuel
This one is a no-brainer. Whenever he starts at quarterback, Sean Payton uses him heavily in the run game.
Ezekiel Elliot 2+ +850 at FanDuel
Let’s take a swing. Elliot gets all the goal-line touches.
More later as odds and injury updates change….
Week 12 Anytime TD Scorer Props
Noah Fant +230 (FanDuel )
Noah Fant is one of the best young tight ends in the NFL and is waiting for his 2021 breakout games. It will come against the LA Chargers.
The Chargers have been horrendous against tight ends this season, as they have allowed the second-most touchdowns to the position.
Mike Gesicki +250 (FanDuel )
Don’t look now, but the Miami Dolphins have won three games in a row, and with a win over Carolina, they are right back in playoff contention.
Gesicki is the top target on the Dolphins. He has at least six targets in his last three games and leads the team in red zone targets.
Dontrell Hillard +290 (DraftKings)
The Titans’ backfield has been tough to figure out since Derrick Henry has been sidelined with injury. But with Adrian Peterson finally off the roster and Jeremy McNichols out with a concussion, Hillard will be the guy.
He is terrific out of the backfield catching passes, and the Patriots have allowed the third-most receiving yards to running backs this season.
Boston Scott +320 (FanDuel )
Boston Scott, AKA the Giants killer. In four career games against the Giants, Scott has 58 touches for 432 yards and five touchdowns.
There will be no Jordan Howard in this game, so Scott will get plenty of touches. The Giants own the 30th ranked run defense DVOA according to Football Outsiders.
Deebo Samuel 2+ +500
Deebo Samuel will be the best football player on the field in this game. He is playing out of his mind this season.
Over the last four weeks, the Vikings have surrendered the most touchdowns to opposing wide receivers.
Sunday Night Props – Cleveland vs Baltimore
Kareem Hunt + 200
Austin Hooper + 330
Devin Duvernay +500
Bears vs Lions
D’Andre Swift 2+ +700 (FanDuel)
He is the only player on the Lions with any juice.
Cole Kmet +275 (DraftKings)
He has played over 90% of the snaps in two of his last three games and with Robinson out, he is their best red zone target.
Raiders vs Cowboys
Hunter Renfrow +200 (DraftKings)
He is their most targeted receiver. I am expecting a huge workload for him in this game.
Dak Prescott +410
With no Cooper, he might have to use his legs in the red zone more. There is always the possibility of a QB sneak at the goal line.
Bills vs Saints
Tre’Quan Smith +280 (DraftKings)
He is the only offensive threat on the Saints roster right now.
Dawson Knox +270 (FanDuel)
These odds are too good to pass up. He led all tight ends in touchdowns before going down with an injury.
Josh Allen 2+ 1300 (FanDuel)
Let’s take a swing. Jalen Hurts ran for 3 TDs last week against this defense.
Week 11 Anytime TD Scorer Props
Dalton Schultz +230 (FanDuel)
In this game, the Cowboys will be without Amari Cooper, opening the door for someone else to be the second pass-catching option behind CeeDee Lamb.
Dalton Schultz can be that guy in this game. Schultz has played in 80% of the snaps in three of his last four games, and the Chiefs have given up the second-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season.
Robby Anderson +320 (FanDuel)
The second Cam Newton era in Carolina begins on Sunday, which can benefit Robby Anderson.
Anderson has struggled this season, but he scored a touchdown last week from Cam Newton and continues to be the second wide receiver on Carolina. Washington has allowed the fourth-most touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season.
Mycole Pruitt +380 (Draftkings)
Mycole Pruitt has flown under the radar this season, but he has been a crucial part of the Titans’ offense. Geoff Swaim will miss this game due to injury, opening the door for Pruitt to start at tight end.
The Texans have been atrocious at stopping tight ends this season, allowing the second-most touchdowns and fourth-most fantasy points to the position.
Bryan Edwards +320 (FanDuel)
Bryan Edwards has taken off and become a weapon for this Raiders offense. He has had at least four targets in every game since Week 2.
Edwards has played at least 80% of his snaps in his last three games and has two touchdowns during that stretch.
AJ Dillon 2+ +470 (FanDuel)
These odds are not ideal for a 2+ touchdown scorer, but I am confident that Dillon will find the end zone twice.
Dillon has been the starting running back twice in his career and scored at least two touchdowns in both games.
Week 10 Anytime TD Scorer Props
Michael Gallup +210 (FanDuel)
The Dallas Cowboys got their butts whooped by the Denver Broncos last week. Don’t worry, Cowboys fans; help is on the way.
Wide receiver Michael Gallup will be back in the lineup after missing the last eight weeks due to injury. He had seven targets in Week 1 and left in the third quarter. He will instantly slot in and be a go-to target on one of the top offenses in the NFL.
Allen Lazard +340 (FanDuel)
Allen Lazard and Aaron Rodgers will be back for the Green Bay Packers this week against the Seattle Seahawks.
Lazard is a massive component of the Packers’ offense. He has not played fewer than 80% of the snaps in the last four games and has a touchdown in three straight games.
Kalif Raymond +360 (FanDuel)
It is not ideal to take a Detroit Lion, but these odds were too good to pass up. Raymond has played well and is the Lions’ top target.
Raymond has been the third-best wide receiver against man coverage this season. The Pittsburgh Steelers play man coverage at the fifth-highest rate in the NFL.
Quez Watkins +380 (FanDuel)
Quez Watkins is waiting for a breakout game. I think this is going to be the day Watkins becomes a household name in the NFL.
He played 96% of the snaps last week and is the best deep threat on the Eagles roster. The Denver Broncos have given up the 4th most 20+ yard receptions this season.
David Njoku +480 (FanDuel)
Guess who leads all tight ends in the NFL in yards per route run. You guessed it: David Njoku.
He has been severely underrated all season and is starting to get more playing time. He played 74% of the snaps last week and scored a touchdown. He has taken over the top tight end spot on the Browns.
Week 9 Anytime TD Scorer Props
Jerry Jeudy +230 (FanDuel)
Jerry Jeudy made his return to the lineup last week after missing the previous seven weeks due to injury. He finished with four catches for 39 yards. He played in 72% of the snaps.
Jeudy is the most talented player on the Broncos roster. I waited a week to take him because I knew he needed a week to get his legs under him. Getting him at +230 is a steal against this Cowboys defense that has allowed eight touchdowns to opposing wide receivers.
Taysom Hill +250 (FanDuel)
Taysom Hill will make his return from injury this week after missing the last three games. I took Hill in the game he got injured. Revenge game.
With no Jameis Winston for the rest of the season, I expect Sean Payton to lean on Hill heavily in the red zone. Hill has 10 red zone targets in five games this season.
Jordan Howard +260 (FanDuel)
Why was Jordan Howard on the practice squad the first seven weeks of the season? He was awesome last week for the Eagles, scoring two touchdowns on 12 carries.
The Chargers’ run defense is horrendous. They have allowed the third-most rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs and the most rushing yards per game by a wide margin.
Tyrod Taylor +350 (FanDuel)
He’s back. Tyrod Taylor will make his first start since Week 2 after recovering from a hamstring injury. He was the third-ranked quarterback in EPA per play through the first two weeks.
Taylor had a 15-yard touchdown run in Week 2 and has never been afraid to use his legs.
Buffalo Bills D/ST +360 (FanDuel)
This is my first D/ST pick of the year for the Sunday day games. The Bills have the top defense in the NFL by every metric you can find.
The Bills defense has one touchdown already this season, and Isaiah McKenzie is one of the better returners in the NFL. Jacksonville’s offense is tied for third in the NFL in giveaways.
Week 8 Anytime TD Scorer Props
Nick Westbrook – Ikhine +400 (FanDuel )
The Tennesee Titans passing offense is starting to heat up. Ryan Tannehill has over a 100 passer rating in two of his last three games, contributing to their three-game winning streak.
Nick Westbrook – Ikhine steps in for Julio Jones as their second wide receiver behind AJ Brown. In Nick’s two starts this season, he has 12 targets for 82 yards and a touchdown.
Joe Mixon 2+ +650 (FanDuel)
We are going back to Joe Mixon 2+. He scored one the last time we took him. This week is going to be different.
The Jets cannot keep running backs out of the end zone. They have allowed 11 total touchdowns to running backs, ten of those on the ground.
Brandon Aiyuk +250 (FanDuel)
Jimmy Garoppolo will get the start for the 49ers in this game. Brandon Aiyuk and Garoppolo have a great connection.
The Bears’ pass defense has been atrocious. They have allowed the most passing touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season.
Jared Cook +240 (FanDuel)
I am 2/2 picking Jared Cook this year. Let’s make it 3/3. Cook is the big-bodied tight end that the Chargers are going to need in this game.
Bill Belichick loves taking away the opposing team’s best weapon. Mike Williams will be double covered in the red zone, opening up Cook for some easy matchups.
Rob Gronkowski +200 (FanDuel)
Rob Gronkowski is back healthy for the Buccaneers, who will be needing him with Antonio Brown sidelined for a second straight game.
This one is a no-brainer. Whenever you get the chance to take Gronk at +200 and above, you jump on it.
Week 7 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Tee Higgins +230 (FanDuel)
Tee Higgins is going to have a huge second half of the season. With Ja’Marr Chase doing so well, teams will have to account for him and gameplan to take him out of the game.
Higgins slots perfectly in as the second wide receiver on this Bengals team. Since returning from injury in Week 5, he has 13 targets, and he currently leads the team in red zone targets overall.
Allen Lazard +250 (FanDuel)
With Marquez Valdes-Scantling on IR, Allen Lazard has taken over the second wide receiver position in Green Bay. He has played in 85% of the snaps in back-to-back games.
He scored a touchdown last week, and Washington’s defense is terrible at slowing down wide receivers. They have allowed the second-most yards and touchdowns to wide receivers this season.
Dallas Goedert +240 (FanDuel)
It’s officially Dallas Goedert season in Philadelphia. With Zach Ertz being dealt to Arizona, he will formally take over Philadelphia’s tight end position.
Goedert has been waiting for this opportunity and has the talent to shine as the top tight end. The Raiders have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points and the second-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends.
Zach Ertz +240 (DraftKings)
Yes, I have both Goedert and Zach Ertz on my card this week. No, I am not crazy.
Ertz at +240 is a steal against this Texans defense. They have allowed the most touchdowns to tight ends this season. Ertz is a veteran who will be able to pick up the Cardinals playbook rather quickly.
Justin Fields +370 (FanDuel)
Justin Fields is the Bears’ best red zone option. This offense is struggling, so I expect more game-planned runs this week featuring Fields. These odds are too juicy to pass up.
Week 6 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Hunter Henry +250 (FanDuel)
Hunter Henry has emerged as the top tight end in New England. Jonnu Smith has taken a back seat to Henry has ten receptions for two touchdowns in his last two weeks.
Dallas’s defense has surrendered three touchdowns to tight ends this season, and in general, has problems keeping opposing pass-catchers out of the end zone.
Jared Cook +280 (FanDuel)
Jared Cook has been a tremendous addition to the Los Angeles Chargers offense. He has been better than Hunter Henry, who they let walk and become the highest-paid tight end in New England.
The Ravens have allowed three touchdowns to tight ends this season. Two weeks ago, Noah Fant went for 46 yards and a touchdown. Even Mo Alie-Cox had 50 yards last week. The Ravens are susceptible to tight ends.
Kendall Hinton +400 (FanDuel)
No, Kendall Hinton is not playing quarterback. Hinton has emerged as the Broncos’ third wide receiver behind Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick.
He had a touchdown last week and received tons of praise from offensive coordinator Pat Schurmer this week. His role in the offense will continue to grow.
Nico Collins +480 (FanDuel)
Nico Collins is back after suffering an injury in Week 2. He has only played 45 snaps this season.
The Texans traded up in the draft to select Collins in the third round. The Texans fans need some young talent to get excited about. He will instantly slot in as the second wide receiver behind Brandin Cooks. At +480, this is a no-brainer.
Joe Mixon 2+ +600 (FanDuel)
Let’s get crazy. I hit David Montgomery 2+ at +750 in Week 4. I am going back to taking the running back at 2+ of the team who is playing the Lions.
The Lions cannot hold running backs out of the end zone. They have allowed 10 total touchdowns to opposing running backs this season.
Week 5 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Trey Lance +195 (FanDuel)
Jimmy Garappolo has been ruled out with a calf injury, so rookie Trey Lance will get his first career NFL start. Last week, Lance took over for an injured Garappolo and had nine completions for 157 yards and two touchdowns.
What’s important to look at from Lance’s game last week was his seven rushing attempts. He only played 51% of the snaps. Kyle Shanahan will draw up an offensive game plan that will feature a heavy dose of Lance running the ball.
Robert Tonyan +200 (FanDuel)
The Bengals’ defense has been solid this year, but they have played some mediocre offenses. They have faced Ben Roethlisberger, Andy Dalton, Justin Fields, Kirk Cousins, and Trevor Lawrence.
The Packers’ offense will easily be their toughest test so far this season. Robert Tonyan had seven targets last week and played 78% of the snaps.
Tayson Hill +250 (DraftKings)
Taysom Hill’s playing time is skyrocketing. He only played 25% of the snaps in Week 1. He has played at least 50% in back-to-back games. Hill has become the Saints’ go-to target in the red zone. He had two rushing touchdowns last week and one in Week 3.
Washington has allowed the most rushing yards by quarterbacks so far this season.
Kadarius Toney +260 (DraftKings)
Kadarius Toney also has seen an increase in playing time. He played 78% of the snaps last week compared to only 8% in Week 1. Toney had seven touches for 79 yards last week.
Toney slots in as the Giants’ second wide receiver in this game. The Cowboys have already allowed six touchdowns to wide receivers. This will be his breakout game.
Zach Ertz +390 (FanDuel)
Zach Ertz came out the gate slow, but has turned it on over the last two weeks. He has 153 yards and one touchdown in his previous two weeks.
Head coach Nick Sirianni has started to utilize him in the offense. He had 15 targets during those two weeks.
Week 4 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Corey Davis +225
Not only do I think Corey Davis will find the end zone, I think the Jets are going to win this game outright. The Tennessee Titans offense is depleted without Julio Jones and A.J Brown, and the Jets have to win at some point, right?
On the Davis side, the Titans passing defense is atrocious. They are 27th in passing yards allowed to wide receivers and are tied for 30th in receiving touchdowns allowed to wide receivers. Davis leads the Jets in targets with 22 and rarely leaves the field. He played 94% of the snaps last week.
Logan Thomas +175
Logan Thomas has hit for me once already this season. Let’s go back to him. Thomas has a great matchup this week against the 1-2 Atlanta Falcons.
The Falcons defense has struggled to contain tight ends. They have allowed three receiving touchdowns to tight ends, which is dead last in the league. Thomas and Heinicke have a connection going back to last year.
LONGSHOT: David Montgomery 2+ TDs +750
Any longshot bet I have, I recommend keeping it to .5 units. The Detroit Lions cannot stop running backs from entering the end zone. That is the best way to explain it.
They have allowed eight touchdowns to running backs this year: five rushing touchdowns and three receiving touchdowns. David Montgomery is the Bears’ best chance of getting their offense going. Matt Nagy knows this. He is going to have a big day.
Javonte Williams +200
Javonte Williams got his first career NFL touchdown last week against the Jets. He has 43 touches through three games and will become the Broncos lead running back. It’s just a matter of time.
The Ravens are dead last in rushing touchdowns allowed to running backs. Teams will stay away from passing against them in the red zone considering their secondary is their biggest strength on defense.
Freddie Swain +310
Freddie Swain has flown up the Seahawks depth chart. He was the fourth wide receiver on the depth chart heading into Week 1. Now, he could be as high as second.
Tyler Lockett is dealing with a hip injury and was held out of practice on Thursday. He is expected to play, but his playing time could be limited. Swain has tremendous value at +310.
Check FanDuel and Draft Kings for Anytime TD Scorer prop odds.
Week 3 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Laviska Shenault +240 at Draft Kings (Bet $1, check bonus for $150 more)
Its only a matter of time before Laviska Shenault finds the end zone. He has 16 targets through two games and is their best red zone threat.
With the Jaguars struggling on offense, look for Laviska to get some red zone carries. He already has two carries to start the season.
Zach Pascal +240 at Draft Kings
Who had Zach Pascal tied for second in the NFL in receiving touchdowns through two games? Anyone? Well, let’s continue to ride the wave. Pascal has become the go-to target in the red zone for the Colts.
Carson Wentz will be a game-time decision, but Pascal is a great pick at those odds, even if he doesn’t play. The Titans’ defense has been terrible out the gate. The Titans have allowed the most receiving touchdowns to wide receivers in the league with six. Pascal has played 91% of the snaps in back-to-back games.
K.J Osborn +225
The Minnesota Vikings have found a third receiver behind Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. K.J Osborn has stepped up into the third receiver role that the Vikings have been desperately looking for.
Osborn has been great through two weeks. He has 12 receptions for 167 yards and a touchdown, including 91 yards and a touchdown last week. The Seahawks defense has given up the third-most yards per game.
Olamide Zaccheaus +380
With Russell Gage out with injury, Olamide Zaccheaus will jump into the second wide receiver role. Getting a second wide receiver at +380 odds is just too juicy to pass up.
Zaccheaus is the Falcons’ deep threat. At best, the Giants’ defense has been mediocre to start the season, allowing the six most yards in the NFL.
Elijah Moore +400 at FanDuel
The Jets offense has to start clicking at some point, right? This weekend, the Jets have a tough matchup against the Broncos, but Zach Wilson is due for a breakout game.
Elijah Moore is starting to get more involved in the offense. He had eight targets last week, and at +400, this is a no-brainer.
Week 2 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Van Jefferson +240 Rams
Van Jefferson came out of nowhere for the Rams on Sunday Night Football. He played in 69% of the snaps and had two catches for 80 yards and a touchdown. Sean McVay raved about him all offseason, and he will be an integral part of the offense for the rest of the season.
The Colts struggled against the Seahawks wide receivers last week. They allowed three touchdowns to the Seahawks wideouts, and Xavier Rhodes is out again.
Jared Cook +165 Chargers
Get used to the Justin Herbert to Jared Cook connection. He had eight targets last week, hauling in five catches for 56 yards. Cook is a big-bodied tight end that will be Herbert’s go-to man in the red zone this season.
The Cowboys linebackers struggle against tight ends. They did last year and showed they did not fix their problems in Week 1. Robert Gronkowski had two easy touchdowns against the Cowboys in the season opener.
Ja’Marr Chase +175 Bengals
The fifth overall pick got off to a hot start. He had seven targets, catching five of them for 105 yards and a touchdown. He and Joe Burrow have a good connection already. Chase played 90% of the snaps in the season opener.
The Bears’ defense struggled against wide receivers last week, especially against the deep ball. I expect a few deep shots to Chase in this game.
Donovan Peoples-Jones +300 Browns
This is my longshot of the week. He only had one target last week, but he played in 80% of the offensive snaps. With Odell out the Browns need a wide receiver to step up.
Javonte Williams +150 Broncos
The rookie is going to start seeing more carries as the weeks go by. All season, he will be the red zone back for the Broncos, and the Jaguars allowed two rushing touchdowns in Week 1.
Week 1 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Jalen Hurts +275
The Eagles’ offense is a bit of an unknown right now. But one thing is certain: Jalen Hurts will be a huge part of the run game.
Hurts had three rushing touchdowns in his four starts last season and will be going up against a defense that struggled against opposing quarterbacks. The Falcons gave up the third-most rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks last season. [ Bet Now at FanDuel ]
Kareem Hunt Anytime TD +130
Even with Nick Chubb on the roster, Kareem Hunt is going to get his touches this year. Hunt had at least ten touches in all but one game last season.
The Chiefs’ run defense is going to be mediocre at best again this season. They made no upgrades to their front seven, and Tyrann Mathieu might not play on Sunday. [ Bet Now at FanDuel ]
Nyheim Hines Anytime TD +240
Nyheim Hines just cashed in on a three-year, $18.6 million contract extension, making him a Top 10 paid running back in the NFL. That proves he will be a large part of the offense this year.
He is terrific at catching the ball out of the backfield. With Wentz getting familiar with a new offense, he will be relying on his running backs in the passing game. Hines at +240 is excellent value. The Seahawks finished 21st in passing touchdowns allowed to running backs last season. [ Bet Now at DraftKings ]
Zack Moss Anytime TD +180
The Steelers’ defense was excellent across the board last season, but they were in the middle of the pack in keeping running backs out of the end zone.
Zack Moss will get the bulk of the workload out the gate this season and should see all of the redzone touches. He is the bigger running back on the team, and many people around the Buffalo Bills are excited to see what he can do this season. Offensive coordinator Brian Daboll could want to get his young running back early touches in the season to get his confidence up. The +180 line is too juicy to pass up. [ Bet Now at DraftKings ]
Logan Thomas +180
Logan Thomas fantasy owners should be excited for this year. Curtis Samuel is now on the IR for the first three weeks, so his roll just got a lot bigger.
The Chargers gave up the 4th most touchdowns to tight ends last season. Thomas is going to have a huge year. [ Bet Now at DraftKings ]