Sep 12, 2021; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) passes the ball against the Atlanta Falcons during the first quarter at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

Falcons Eagles Picks, MNF game OVER?

Atlanta’s offense was terrible in a loss in Week 1 while the Eagles defense was terrible in a win.

If Week 2 typically turns the tables on whatever your team did in Week 1, does this Week 2 Monday Nighter smell like a Falcons cover or even outright win at Philadelphia?

Philly’s run defense was shredded for almost 8 YPC against the Packers in Brazil but maybe that is a function of a new defensive coordinator and starting the season with a 4-million-mile road trip. Or maybe it’s a continuation of last season’s disappointing play from high-profile players.

Atlanta meanwhile might be in the same boat offensively with QB Kirk Cousins trying to get rolling and ready to break out a bit.

Falcons Eagles Picks: Odds PHI -5.5, Total 46 | Matchup Report

Why the Falcons can cover the spread

The run attack should be better than its lame output vs the Steelers, especially vs this Eagles front 7. Another week of practice should help Cousins and get the offense rolling for a team with Super Bowl aspirations.

The Eagles had failed to cover seven straight before lucking out last week. And for whatever reason, betting on Atlanta in Week 2 has been a moneymaker over the years, covering 12 of the past 15 seasons. Meanwhile the Eagles are just 3-11-1 ATS the past 15 years as well.

Why the Eagles can cover the spread

This team is super talented but showed its second-half problems from last year. They were lucky to beat Green Bay. They might need to be good to beat Atlanta, which they have done 11 of the past 13 times they hosted the Falcons.

Saquon Barkley shouldn’t need to have a crazy game to get the Eagles a lead here, then its just a question of whether they can put the Falcons away or let them hang around for back-door cover.

The Falcons have also struggled to covered for the past year (just four times in 17 games).

Falcons Eagles Picks

There are UNDER trends everywhere between these teams (including the Eagles on MNF at 12-3). But with a porous Eagles run stop and a talented Falcons ground game that will try to get n track, we see this game getting OVER the number.

Falcons Eagles Betting Trends

UNDER is 11-2 Philadelphia’s last 13 games vs NFC South division.

Eagles are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games at home against Atlanta.

Falcons are 2-13 SU, 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games on the road.

Falcons are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games

Eagles are 14-5-1 ATS past 20 vs Falcons

UNDER is 15-6 past 21 meetings

Falcons are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 2.

Eagles are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 2

Eagles are 1-7 ATS past 8 games, lucky to cover in Week 1

Eagles have won 7 straight SU in September

UNDER is 9-3 past 12 Eagles MNF games

 

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