Nov 29, 2020; Green Bay, Wisconsin, USA;  Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones (33) tries to break a tackle by Chicago Bears linebacker Roquan Smith (58) in the fourth quarter at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

Bears Packers Pick, Adams Props

For the 204th time in NFL history, the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers will meet Sunday night. And as is often the case, the former is desperate while the latter is looking to simply sharpen the edges on the verge of another playoff run.

Who has the advantage with Green Bay favored by 12.5 points? Trend Dummy’s analysis shows all heavy streaks in favor of the Packers, including a Lucky 14 run of 10 straight covers in Week 14.

Let’s look at both sides.

Bears Packers Prediction: Odds GB -12.5, Total 43 at FanDuel | Matchup Report 

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WHY THE BEARS WILL COVER

Aaron Rodgers isn’t 100 percent as a result of a toe injury, and his Packers have failed to win by more than eight points in four of their last five games. They aren’t demolishing teams this year, and the Bears know them well.

Chicago also really needs this game, and the big line gives a lot of room for a backdoor cover.

WHY THE PACKERS WILL COVER

Green Bay owns the Bears. Rodgers knows it. The Packers are 5-0 straight-up and against the spread in their last five meetings with their NFC North rival, and they’re at home coming off the bye week in this spot. Throw in that top Bears back David Montgomery is suddenly extremely banged up for Chicago.

The Packers have beaten the Bears by 16-plus points six times in the last eight years, and that could easily happen here.

BEARS PACKERS PREDICTION

I’m going with my gut on the Bears. All trends have to end eventually, and Green Bay hasn’t been totally right. They’re 10-2 against the spread this season and oddsmakers are pushing it here.

Bears Packers Prop Picks – Anytime TD Scorer

Justin Fields +400 at FanDuel

He’s back healthy. I expect some schemed up red zone runs

Davante Adams 2+ +500

He dominates the Bears.

Jimmy Graham +750

He has touchdowns in back-to-back games. These odds are disrespectful.

Green Bay Chicago Betting Trends

Packers are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games at home.

Bears are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games as the underdog.

Bears are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games against Green Bay.

UNDER is 14-2 past 16 times Bears are double-digit road underdogs

UNDER is 6-1 past 7 Packers games as double-digit home chalk

Packers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games

Packers have won 10 straight Week 14 games

Bears Packers prediction courtesy of Gagnon

Bet CHI GB

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Upcoming Games

Sep 26th, 8:15 PM

Dallas +4.5 -110

NY Giants -4.5 -110

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Sep 29th, 8:15 PM

Miami +2 -110

Cincinnati -2 -110

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Oct 2nd, 9:30 AM

Minnesota +1.5 -106

New Orleans -1.5 -106

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Oct 2nd, 1:00 PM

Cleveland -3 -110

Atlanta +3 -110

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Oct 2nd, 1:00 PM

Buffalo -3.5 -110

Baltimore +3.5 -110

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Oct 2nd, 1:00 PM

Washington +2.5 -110

Dallas -2.5 -110

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Oct 2nd, 1:00 PM

LA Chargers -7 -110

Houston +7 -110

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Oct 2nd, 1:00 PM

Seattle +6 -110

Detroit -6 -110

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Oct 2nd, 1:00 PM

Tennessee +3.5 -110

Indianapolis -3.5 -110

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Oct 2nd, 1:00 PM

Chicago +3 -110

NY Giants -3 -110

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Oct 2nd, 1:00 PM

Jacksonville +7 -110

Philadelphia -7 -110

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Oct 2nd, 1:00 PM

NY Jets +3.5 +100

Pittsburgh -3.5 +100

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Oct 2nd, 4:05 PM

Arizona -3 -110

Carolina +3 -110

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Oct 2nd, 4:25 PM

Denver +2 -110

Las Vegas -2 -110

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Oct 2nd, 4:25 PM

New England +6.5 -110

Green Bay -6.5 -110

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Oct 2nd, 8:20 PM

Kansas City -1.5 -110

Tampa Bay +1.5 -110

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Oct 3rd, 8:15 PM

LA Rams +1 -110

San Francisco -1 -110

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