Bears Chargers Pick, SNF Props

Despite high expectations enter this season, the Chicago Bears and Los Angeles Chargers have won just two games each in 2023. When they meet Sunday night in L.A., one will essentially become toast for the ‘23 campaign and begin to think strongly about what it should do ahead of Tuesday’s trade deadline.

There is a strong OVER angle when the Bears are underdogs (12-4) as well in their on-conference games (8-0) but can either offense get bettors to the finish line?

A look at the situation with the Bolts laying 8.5 points in a big prime-time spot…

Bears Chargers Pick: Odds LA Chargers -8.5, Total 48.5 | Matchup Report

Why the Bears will cover

While Justin Fields remains out for Chicago, rookie replacement Tyson Bagent seemed to like a spark under the team in a surprising Week 7 blowout victory over the competitive Las Vegas Raiders.

And seemingly as per usual, the Chargers, who haven’t won since Oct. 1, have been hit hard by offensive struggles and injuries. That’s a big number under those circumstances.

Why the Chargers will cover

That Week 7 surge might have been an aberration for Bagent and Co., and there’s no doubt it’s tougher to prepare for Fields. The Bears have already lost two road games by double digits this season, so it would surprise nobody if the Chargers pulled away in a desperate scenario here.

Chicago is just 3-11-1 ATS in their past 15 games and 6-15 ATS in 21 road games, so not a lot of historical trend data that supports a Bears play here.

Bears Chargers pick

I’m thinking it was indeed an aberration for the Bears in Week 7. Different story on the road against a playoff-caliber team trying to save its season. This spread is too high for me to wager significant bucks on an unreliable Bolts squad, but I’m still leaning L.A.

Chargers Bears Props

Justin Herbert UNDER 265.5 Yards at Draft Kings – we don’t see Herbert needing to air it out often and we see the Chargers with an early lead and therefore motivation to run the ball.

Austin Ekeler OVER 48.5 yards at Draft Kings – a correlation maybe, but the logic states that LA will run it and therefore Ekeler gets more touches and more yardage than the stats would otherwise suggest.

Chargers Bears Betting Trends

Bears are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games.

Bears are 5-16 SU, 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games on the road.

Bears played OVER past 8 games vs AFC teams

OVER is 12-4 Chicago’s last 16 games as the underdog.

UNDER is 8-1 LA Chargers’ last 9 games vs NFC North division