If you wondered why Dallas hits Pittsburgh as small dogs Sunday night, it does so without Demarcus Lawrence and possibly Micah Parsons.
And against a Steelers team that has found some rhythm on offense to go with its tenacious defense.
Dallas seldom covers when catching points (1-7 ATS past 8 times) while the Steelers look to continue their profitable run in non-conference play (7-2 ATS past nine). Or do you blindly bet UNDER on SNF since 40 of the last 49 games have plunged UNDER?
Cowboys Steelers Pick: Odds PIT -2.5, Total 43.5 | Matchup Report
Why the Cowboys can cover the spread
The league’s most expensive QB still has weapons and CeeDee Lamb waiting to break out. Pittsburgh’s secondary just got scorched by Michael Pittman so what can Lamb do here?
The road team has won 6 of the past 8 meetings between these teams and Dallas entered the season as a much-higher ranked team with a superior roster. They can make adjustment on defenses to stymy a new Steeler offensive system.
Why the Steelers can cover the spread
Pitt’s offense has a new spark from Justin Fields and George Pickens and should be able to move the ball against an injury-addled Dallas defense. And TJ Watt harassing Dak, the defense can be even more disruptive.
Dallas probably should have lost four straight and a road game against the NFL-best home defense is a tough spot to reverse that trend. They are a toothless underdog the past few years (1-7 ATS).
Cowboys Steelers Pick
We aren’t convinced about either offense and the trends point UNDER when the Steelers are favored (14-5) and also when they play on Sunday (15-3). And there’s that SNF trend where almost every game at 8:20 p.m. goes UNDER.
We play the UNDER.
Dallas Pittsburgh Betting Trends
Steelers are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games played in Week 5, 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games
UNDER is 12-3 Pittsburgh’s last 15 games played on a Sunday.
Cowboys are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games played in October.
Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as the underdog.
Steelers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games
UNDER is 14-5 Pittsburgh’s last 19 games as the favorite.
