Jan 22, 2023; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23) runs past Dallas Cowboys linebacker Leighton Vander Esch (55) during the third quarter of a NFC divisional round game at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Cowboys 49ers Pick, Purdy, Pollard Props

In one of the most highly anticipated matchups of the 2023 NFL season, two NFC Super Bowl favorites go toe to toe Sunday night when the 4-0 San Francisco 49ers host the 3-1 Dallas Cowboys.

Can young Niners QB Brock Purdy remain poised while under siege from a ferocious Dallas pass rush? Can Dak Prescott clap back against naysayers by beating a good team in prime time?

With the 49ers favored by 3.5 points and riding a 15-game SU win streak as favorites, our take…

Cowboys 49ers Pick: Odds SF -3.5, Total 45 @ Draft KIngs | Matchup Report

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Why the Cowboys will cover

These two teams are evenly matched in a lot of ways, and it might only be a matter of time before Purdy is exposed at quarterback for San Francisco. This spot would appear to make a lot of sense for that, and it’s nice to have that hook in your back pocket.

Dallas has been a solid pick in the month of October at 9-2 ATS past 11 games and they have also been a solid UNDER play when catching points.

Why the 49ers will cover

The 49ers have beaten the Cowboys by six-plus points in each of their last two meetings, both of which came in the playoffs. They also look basically unstoppable on both sides of the ball right now, while Dallas lost to a bad team by a double-digit margin when it was last on the road.

Cowboys 49ers pick

That hook scares me. Either buy it back and take the 49ers or roll with the Cowboys in hopes that it’ll be a field-goal game. That’s highly likely, so if you’re on 3.5 take Dallas. Watch for line movement closer to kickoff, you might get a -3.

49ers Cowboys Prop Picks at Draft Kings

Brock Purdy UNDER 245.5 passing yards – Dallas will come at him hard, SF will want the ball out of Purdy’s hands and into Christian McCaffrey’s hands. A lot. The risk on the OVR is checkdowns that McCaffrey turns into bug plays with YAC.

Tony Pollard Anytime TD -115 – Pollard will try to match McCaffrey (who is crazy price -190 to score a TD). The Cowboys will lean on Pollard in the red zone and he will punch in.

49ers Cowboys Betting Trends

49ers have won 15 straight SU as favorites

49ers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games and covered 9 straight at home

49ers are 19-4 ATS in their last 23 conference games

Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in October.

UNDER is 7-2 Dallas’ last 9 games as the underdog

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