Broncos Bills Pick, MNF Russ Prop

Denver has won two straight and comes off a bye in the Week 10 Monday Nighter at slumping Buffalo which has failed to cover five straight.

Regardless, the Bills are a TD favorite as they try to handle an improving Broncos team that beat Kansas City two weeks ago. Historically, Denver is a shit show on Monday Night, losing 16 of 19 MNF road games and lost 7 MNF games in a row overall.

Buffalo meanwhile has covered 7 straight over the years vs the Broncos and really need to turn things around here. And totals bettors have taken notice that Prime Time games are going UNDER at a high clip (23-7 in 30 games).

Broncos Bills Pick: Odds BUF -7, Total 47.5 at Draft Kings | Matchup Report

Why the Broncos can cover the spread

After a dreadful start, Denver has won two straight and gets two weeks of rest ahead of this game. They have forced six turnovers in their past 3 games and Buffalo has been prone to coughing up the ball.

Buffalo’s best defensive players remain out with Micah Hyde out along with many other limping defenders. If things go badly, six of their Week 1 starting 11 will be out. That makes life easier for Russ Wilson.

Why the Bills can cover the spread

We keep talking about the roster superiority ‘on paper’ but it continues to not show up on the field. Still, any team with Josh Allen under center and Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis out wide has a chance to explode.

Buffalo has not been a good MNF team (4-11 SU past 15 games) but gets a little extra time to get some injured players back in the lineup.

Broncos Bills Pick

Both teams chew up clock on offense with late clocks and ground attacks. With the Bills slumping and the Broncos content to eat Time of Possession and take their chances, we see UNDER 47.5 here on MNF in Week 10.

Broncos Bills Monday Night Props

Russell Wilson OVER 210.5 passing yards – with the Buffalo secondary in tatters, Russ should be able to cook a little here and he has some YAC threats in Jerry Jeudy and Javonte Williams.

More coming soon….

Monday Night Football Betting Trends

Broncos are 3-16 SU in their last 19 Monday Night road games

Bills are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against Denver including 7 straight covers

Bills have failed to cover five straight games

Denver has played 9 straight November UNDERs

Denver has lost 7 straight MNF games SU

Bills are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games played on a Monday.