Oct 25, 2020; Denver, Colorado, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire (25) rushes for a touchdown past Denver Broncos cornerback Michael Ojemudia (23) in the first quarter at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Broncos Chiefs Prediction, KC Covers Big?

A good old AFC West rivalry is renewed Sunday night when the back-on-track Kansas City Chiefs lay 10 points at home against a Denver Broncos squad that is desperate, unpredictable and seemingly full of fight despite being shorthanded all year.

Who has the edge?

Let’s look at both sides.

Broncos Chiefs Prediction: Odds KC -9.5, Total 47 at FanDuel | Matchup Report


The Chiefs are famously pretty awesome in prime time. However, they’ve failed to cover in five of their last six prime-time games. Meanwhile, the Broncos have been feisty this year, especially away from home.

And they’ve defeated quality opponents in the Cowboys and Chargers in recent weeks. This is a critical matchup with a familiar foe, and the backdoor cover could be a factor as well. Trend Dummy leans on the current KC 2-10 ATS overall run and the fact they have failed to cover their past 4 times in this situation of double-digit faves.


They’ve won 11 consecutive matchups with Denver, three of the last four of which were blowouts. They’ve also averaged 38.3 points per game in their last three post-bye outings and have that extra-rest advantage here. Plus, we know how awesome Andy Reid has always been following a bye (he’s 22-2 in his career under those circumstances).


A 10-point spread (bet down to -9.5 as of Friday) is risky if you’re on the fave, especially in a divisional matchup. But Kansas City really does have Denver’s number and those recent trends are hard to deny. This might not necessarily be a blowout, but the Chiefs should take care of business by multiple scores.

Denver Kansas City Prop – Anytime TD pick

Odds as of Saturday at FanDuel

Noah Fant +330

The Chiefs struggle to slow down opposing tight ends

Byron Pringle +340

He has taken over WR #3 on the Chiefs

Mecole Hardman +380

These odds are too good to pass up

Chiefs Broncos Betting Trends

Broncos are 0-11 SU (2-9 ATS) in their last 11 games against Kansas City

Broncos are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games played in Week 13.

UNDER is 9-2 Denver’s last 11 games.

Chiefs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games at home.

Chiefs failed to cover 4 straight as double-digit favorites


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