Dec 27, 2020; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (10) throws a pass against the Denver Broncos during the first half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Broncos Chargers Pick, LA covers MNF

The Chargers are getting healthy, while the Broncos are getting worse (or at least not any better with Russell Wilson and his offense still on the limp). That bodes well for LA Chargers bettors in the Week 6 Monday Nighter as they lay just 4 points at home to visiting Denver.

The Broncos have been a disaster so far, while the Chargers have won two straight and are primed for a run. Combine that with a slew of absolutely horrible streaks and you have plenty of reasons to fade the Broncos.

Note: Denver safety Justin Simmons has been activated for MNF and will bolster the Bronco defense in a big way returning from a quad injury. The line has moved from 4.5 points to 4 points during the day.

Broncos Chargers Pick: Odds LAC -4.5, Total 45.5 | Matchup Stats

Why the Broncos can cover the spread

At some point, the offense needs to start rolling. Or does it? And the Denver pass defense – rated best in yards per game – should be able to contain a Chargers attack that could be missing both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams.

Neither are guaranteed to play for the Chargers and that would eliminate LA’s WR threat and force more action on the ground.

Why the Chargers can cover the spread

Denver ranks second last in offensive yards per point, just in case you watched the anemic Broncos and thought their offense was efficient. RBs Austin Ekeler and Joshua Kelley are clicking in the backfield and the Chargers are getting healthy, just as the Broncos are banged up.

And recent form favors the Chargers as well – Broncos are 1-10 SU in their last 11 divisional games, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games and have lost six straight Monday Nighters (3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 on MNF).

Broncos Chargers Pick

This number has moved around a bit with injury news. At -4.5, we love the Chargers and this number could be -6 if Williams and Allen both play. We play the Chargers.

Broncos Chargers Anytime TD Props

Austin Ekeler – he has been terrific and the Chargers may need to force their offense near exclusively to the ground game. He could score two or more, but appears safe money to get there once.

Chargers Broncos Betting Trends

UNDER is 10-2 LA Chargers’ last 12 home games vs Denver.

OVER is 9-2 LA Chargers’ last 11 games.

Broncos are 1-10 SU in their last 11 divisional games

Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games

Broncos have lost 6 straight Monday Nighters and are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 on MNF

Chargers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games played on a Monday.

OVER is 11-3 LA Chargers’ last 14 games as the favorite.

Bet DEN LAC

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