Oct 16, 2022; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback coach Matt Nagy watches as quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) warms up prior to a game against the Buffalo Bills at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Lions Chiefs Betting, Picks, Props, How to Bet

Super Bowl winners usually win in Week 1 and the Detroit Lions usually lose in Week 1.

But is 2023 different, with the Lions on the prowl and the Chiefs trying to cope with coaching and roster changes? How about the OVER trends as the season kicks off with the Thursday game and with the host Chiefs favored by 4.5 points at Draft Kings?

The Chiefs have played OVER in 8 straight season openers while the Lions have done it 12 years in a row! But star TE Travis Kelce tweaked his knee so check his status. And DL Chris Jones remains in a contract flap, damaging the Chiefs chances on both sides of the ball.

Lions vs Chiefs -4.5, Total, 53 at Draft Kings | Matchup Report

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Why the Lions can cover the spread

Detroit might finally have turned the corner and they are motivated for a quick start as they pursue the wide-open NFC North crown and a rare playoff spot.

And their recent form (9-1 ATS past 10 games), along with key additions to the offense, make them a tempting bet here at +4.5. Beating KC at home would be a tremendous statement but hanging close can still get the job done for us bettors.

Remember they have cover 6 in a row as underdogs and are 19-7 ATS in this role. If you believe in trends, check out the OVER trends below, everything points to the OVER, but the Kelce situation has some experts on edge.

Why the Chiefs can cover the spread

KC is the defending Super Bowl champion and currently the AFC favorite to get back there again. They are 13-1 SU in their past 14 games and have won 11 in a row vs NFC teams.

Even if Kelce doesn’t play, Patrick Mahomes has plenty of weapons and bettors might be giving the Lions too much respect here – after all, they are still the Lions.

Lions Chiefs Pick

Both offenses look potent and KC should have some tricks to unveil with OC Eric Bieniemy gone to Washington. We predict a pass-heavy attack on both sides and believe all those OVER trends will continue. We play OVER 53 which was available this morning on Draft Kings.

Chiefs Lions Props

Mahomes OVER 286.5 passing yards

Kelce or no Kelce, Mahomes has historically been super efficient and we see him airing it out. Even swing passes to running backs turn into big yardage in this offense. He has averaged more than 300 YPG in his career.

Isiah Pacheco Anytime TD +135

Kelce or no Kelce, Pacheco will get the ball for hard-running red-zone opportunities. Defenses are not stout enough t stop this guy early in the season.

Lions vs Chiefs Betting Trends

Chiefs have won 11 straight SU vs NFC teams, 9-2 ATS

Lions have played 12 straight Week 1 OVERs

Chiefs have played 8 straight Week 1 OVERs

Chiefs are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games

Lions 9-1 ATS past 10 games and 19-7 ATS past 26

Last 8 meetings between these teams have played OVER

Lions are 16-5 to the OVER past 21 September games

Lions have lost 6 straight Thursdays and lost 16 of past 20 Thursdays

Lions have covered 6 in a row as dogs and are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games catching points

UNDER is 7-1 past 8 KC home games

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