Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) and running back Patrick Taylor (27) react after a Christian Watson (9) touchdown reception against Seattle Seahawks' during their preseason football game Saturday, August 26, 2023, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. Green Bay defeated Seattle 19-15.Wm. Glasheen USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin

Packers Raiders pick, MNF UNDER, Jimmy G INT

Green Bay has won six straight Monday Nighters and eight straight vs the Raiders, as the Packers visit Las Vegas in the Week 5 Monday Nighter.

Las Vegas has lost three straight and gagged away the past two games, while Green Bay was stomped by Detroit last week. The Packers head into their bye week and have won and covered the past four seasons in this spot.

These teams don’t face off often (every four years) but the past six meetings all went OVER the total. Don’t expect that to happen this time.

Packers Raiders Pick: Odds LV -1, Total 45 | Matchup Report

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Why the Packers can cover the spread

Jordan Love’s bad numbers started catching up with the Packers against the Lions and need to be addressed on the road here. Jimmy G returns from injury which is a good thing for Green Bay.

Vegas is trending the wrong direction and with the exception of Davante Adams, Josh Jacobs and Maxx Crosby, this thing is a shit show. The number opened with Packers as chalk but was -1 for the Raiders as of Friday – Green Bay is 10-3 ATS in 13 recent games a road dogs.

Why the Raiders can cover the spread

Well, they have Davante Adams, Josh Jacobs and Maxx Crosby and Green Bay is overrated at best and bad at worst. The Packers have won games they should have lost, as opposed to the Raiders who lost games they should have won.

That trend would favor the home side here.

Vegas is 7-3 ATS in past 10 games as small road chalk of 1-3 points so they tend to cover in this situation. They are also 8-3 ATS in their past 11 Monday Nighters.

Packers Raiders Pick

The total is 45 and neither team looks like an offensive juggernaut. Vegas hasn’t scored 20 points in a game yet this season and probably won’t again. Call this one 16-13 and waaaay UNDER the total.

Packers Raiders Prop Picks

Jordan Love UNDER 251.5 passing yards – the guy has not been accurate and the Raiders should be trying to control the clock. We play UNDER here.

Jimmy G INT – his prop hasn’t been posted yet at Draft Kings but when its confirmed, bet the YES

Raiders Packers Betting Trends

Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games

Packers are 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs Las Vegas.

Past six meetings all played OVER the total

Packers won 6 straight Monday Nighters SU

Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played on a Monday.

Packers are 10-3 ATS past 13 as road dogs

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