Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) throws a pass during a training camp practice at the Paul Brown stadium practice facility in downtown Cincinnati on Wednesday, Aug. 18, 2021.Cincinnati Bengals Training Camp

Jaguars Bengals Betting Pick, Props, TNF Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals are first in the AFC North through three games. Just like everybody predicted. Oddsmakers have taken notice of the Bengals’ hot start to the season.

This is the first time since 2017 where the Bengals are home favorites of seven points or more. In their last eight home games, they are 6-2 ATS and will host the 0-3 Jacksonville Jaguars. 

The Jaguars have lost 18 straight games dating back to last year. They are 2-24 in their last 26 games going back to 2019. It has been an ugly stretch for this organization only has one winning season since 2008. 

Jacksonville Cincinnati Odds: Bengals -7.5, Total 45.5 at FanDuel | Matchup Report

Why Cincinnati can cover the spread

The Bengals’ defense has been a pleasant surprise. They are 4th in defensive DVOA according to Football Outsiders and are 5th in points allowed per game. The Bengals defense terrorized Ben Roethlisberger last week. They sacked him four times and intercepted him twice in a dominant performance. 

Joe Burrow was extremely efficient last week. He was 14/18 for 172 yards and three touchdowns. In the Bengals’ two wins this season, he has completed 76% of his passes. The Jaguars’ defense is 30th in completion percentage allowed. 

Why Jacksonville can cover the spread

The biggest disappointment with the Jaguars so far is how Trevor Lawrence has looked. There was a ton of optimism around the first-overall pick but he has not looked the part. He leads the league in interceptions with seven and is 33rd out of 34 eligible quarterbacks in DVOA.

However, he did show some flashes against the Arizona Cardinals defense last week. The Jaguars’ defense has to be better. Even with Burrow being efficient in his two wins, there are cracks in the foundation of the Bengals’ offense. They are 30th in first downs per game and 24th in offensive DVOA. 

Jaguars Bengals Betting Pick

The Bengals shouldn’t be 7.5 point favorites over any team just yet. It’s hard to back the Jaguars right now, but they will keep this game within seven points.

Jaguars +7.5

Bengals Jaguars Anytime TD Prop Picks

Trevor Lawrence +450

Last Thursday, we hit Sam Darnold at the same odds. Lawrence has 9 carries for 46 yards through three games and is exactly the big-bodied quarterback that can find the end zone on a quarterback sneak or zone-read run. 

Laviska Shenault +300

Laviska did not hit for us on Sunday, but at +300, we have to hop back on board. He is still their best red-zone target and plays over 70% of the snaps. 

Tyler Boyd +130

The Bengals are a tough team to find value on. Boyd at +130 is the best option. He has 19 targets through three games and caught a touchdown last week. 

Bengals Jaguars Betting Trends

First time since 2017 Cincy is a home fave of 7 or more points.

Jaguars have lost 18 straight games

Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games at home

Bengals are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games played in week 4.

Bengals have played OVER the past 6 games as favorites


Rated 5/5

Rated 5/5

Upcoming Games

Aug 18th, 8:00 PM

Chicago +3 -125

Seattle -3 -125


Aug 19th, 7:00 PM

Carolina -1.5 -110

New England +1.5 -110


Aug 19th, 8:00 PM

New Orleans +3 -125

Green Bay -3 -125


Aug 19th, 10:00 PM

Houston +2.5 -110

LA Rams -2.5 -110


Aug 20th, 1:00 PM

Detroit -1.5 -105

Indianapolis +1.5 -105


Aug 20th, 1:00 PM

Denver -1 -110

Buffalo +1 -110


Aug 20th, 4:00 PM

Washington +3.5 -105

Kansas City -3.5 -105


Aug 20th, 7:00 PM

Pittsburgh +2.5 -110

Jacksonville -2.5 -110


Aug 20th, 7:00 PM

Las Vegas -2 -110

Miami +2 -110


Aug 20th, 7:00 PM

Tampa Bay +2.5 -110

Tennessee -2.5 -110


Aug 20th, 7:00 PM

San Francisco +3.5 -110

Minnesota -3.5 -110


Aug 20th, 10:00 PM

Dallas +3.5 -110

LA Chargers -3.5 -110


Aug 21st, 1:00 PM

Philadelphia -3 -110

Cleveland +3 -110


Aug 21st, 7:00 PM

Cincinnati +2.5 -120

NY Giants -2.5 -120


Aug 21st, 8:00 PM

Baltimore +1.5 -110

Arizona -1.5 -110


Aug 22nd, 8:00 PM

Atlanta +1.5 -110

NY Jets -1.5 -110


Aug 25th, 8:00 PM

Green Bay

Kansas City


Aug 25th, 8:15 PM

San Francisco