Feb 7, 2021; Tampa, FL, USA;  Tampa Bay Buccaneers strong safety Antoine Winfield Jr. (31) taunts Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill (10) during the fourth quarter in Super Bowl LV at Raymond James Stadium.  Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

Chiefs Buccaneers Pick, KC Wins

Neither the juggernaut Kansas City Chiefs nor the juggernaut Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been quite right this season, but both are still looking to move to 3-1 with Tom Brady’s squad favored by just a single point at home Sunday night in Tampa

The Chiefs usually win on the road (20-6 SU) and usually beat NFC teams (13-1 SU). But the Bucs have covered five straight as dogs and five straight at home to KC.

Weather may be a factor closer to kickoff. Let’s look at both sides.

Chiefs Buccaneers Pick: TB PK, Total 45.5 | Matchup Stats 

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WHY THE CHIEFS WILL COVER

The Bucs simply appear to lack the offensive spark to keep up with the Chiefs right now. This is legitimately one of the worst offenses in the league on paper, and they’re less likely to bounce back from a tough loss with a 45-year-old under center.

WHY THE BUCCANEERS WILL COVER

Tom Brady is still Tom Brady, and Kansas City was extremely sloppy last week in Indianapolis. The Chiefs are also on the road for the second week in a row and they haven’t been the same without Tyreek Hill.

Repeat – they usually cover as dogs and are 5-0 ATS at home vs the Chiefs.

CHIEFS BUCCANEERS PICK

This isn’t an easy one because Brady desperate at home in prime time is always tempting in what is essentially a pick’em, but I trust the more dynamic Chiefs and their much more spry quarterback at this stage. They win a close one.

Kansas City Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Chiefs are 13-1 SU in their last 14 non-conference games

Tampa is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in Week 4.

Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against Tampa Bay.

Chiefs are 20-6 SU in their last 26 road games

OVER is 9-3 past 12 KC games as road chalk

Bucs have covered 5 straight at home to KC

Bucs have covered 5 straight as underdogs

Upcoming Games

Nov 27th, 1:00 PM

Cincinnati -2 -110

Tennessee +2 -110

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Nov 27th, 1:00 PM

Denver -2.5 -110

Carolina +2.5 -110

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Nov 27th, 1:00 PM

Tampa Bay -3 -110

Cleveland +3 -110

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Nov 27th, 1:00 PM

Baltimore -4 -110

Jacksonville +4 -110

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Nov 27th, 1:00 PM

Houston +9.5 -110

Miami -9.5 -110

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Nov 27th, 1:00 PM

Chicago +4 -110

NY Jets -4 -110

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Nov 27th, 1:00 PM

Atlanta +3 -110

Washington -3 -110

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Nov 27th, 4:05 PM

Las Vegas +3 -110

Seattle -3 -110

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Nov 27th, 4:05 PM

LA Chargers -2.5 -110

Arizona +2.5 -110

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Nov 27th, 4:25 PM

New Orleans +8.5 -110

San Francisco -8.5 -110

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Nov 27th, 4:25 PM

LA Rams +10 -110

Kansas City -10 -110

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Nov 27th, 8:20 PM

Green Bay +6 -110

Philadelphia -6 -110

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Nov 28th, 8:15 PM

Pittsburgh +3 -110

Indianapolis -3 -110

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Dec 1st, 8:15 PM

Buffalo -5 -110

New England +5 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Green Bay -2.5 -110

Chicago +2.5 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Cleveland -4.5 -110

Houston +4.5 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

NY Jets +2.5 -110

Minnesota -2.5 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Pittsburgh +1 -110

Atlanta -1 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Denver +6.5 -110

Baltimore -6.5 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Jacksonville +1 -110

Detroit -1 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Washington -1 -110

NY Giants +1 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Tennessee +7 -110

Philadelphia -7 -110

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Dec 4th, 4:05 PM

Seattle -3 -110

LA Rams +3 -110

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Dec 4th, 4:05 PM

Miami +5 -110

San Francisco -5 -110

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Dec 4th, 4:25 PM

LA Chargers -3 -110

Las Vegas +3 -110

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Dec 4th, 4:25 PM

Kansas City -3 -110

Cincinnati +3 -110

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Dec 4th, 8:20 PM

Indianapolis +9.5 -110

Dallas -9.5 -110

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