Dec 17, 2020; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Raiders running back Josh Jacobs (28) against the Los Angeles Chargers at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Raiders Rams Pick, Vegas Covers 6

The Rams are a surprising disaster, the Raiders are a surprising late surge and it would be a surprise if the Thursday Nighter goes according to plan.

Las Vegas visits the LA Rams, defending champions who ride a 6-game losing skid as 6-point home dogs to a mediocre Raiders squad that inexplicably rides a 3-game win streak.

But what happens when the Raiders are road chalk? They never cover. What happens to them in Week 14s? They never cover. And what happens when the Rams play AFC teams? They never cover.

Raiders Rams Pick: Odds LAR +6, Total 44.5 | Matchup Stats

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Why the Raiders can cover the spread

Vegas has won three in a row to move to 5-7 and visits a hopeless Rams team that has lost six in a row and seems to have no spark. Contrast that with Vegas, which boasts RB Josh Jacobs exploding and with QB Derek Carr and WR Davante Adams playing red-zone catch each week.

The Rams are decimated by injury (Aaron Donald, Cooper Kupp, Matt Stafford) and have no hope to make the playoffs. They might mail this one in, especially on a short week.

Why the Rams can cover the spread

LA has covered 5 straight against the Raiders, who have improved but have also been lucky in its season turnaround. The Rams are 12-3-1 ATS in 16 recent games when the calendar flips to December and are catching a lot of points at home against a team that is 0-8 ATS in its last eight tries as a road favorite.

Raiders Rams Pick

Six of the Raiders’ seven losses have been by one score. But all five of their victories have been by at least six points, which is the spread here (as of Tuesday at FanDuel Sportsbook). The Raiders remain in the hunt and we like them to bust their ATS road chalk losing skid and cover the number here.

Raiders Rams Anytime TD Props

Adams + Jacobs parlay +218

Both are slated at -140 odds, so sportsbooks expect them to find the end zone.

Foster Moreau +220

Moreau has played in over 95% of the snaps in the last two games. The Rams have given up five TDs to opposing tight ends this season

Van Jefferson +360

With Kupp and Robinson out, Jefferson slots in as the top receiver on the Rams

Rams Raiders Betting Trends

Rams are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games

UNDER is 9-2 LA Rams’ last 11 non-conference

Raiders are 3-16 ATS and SU in their last 19 games played in Week 14.

Rams have covered 5 straight vs Raiders

Rams have lost 6 straight and 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games

Rams are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games played in December.

Raiders are 0-8 ATS last 8 games as road favorites

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