Dolphins Chargers Pick, LA Wins

The Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Chargers are both contending in the AFC, but both are coming off tough losses ahead of their Sunday night clash in L.A.

Justin Herbert’s team usually loses as underdogs, 5 in a row and 15 of 19 SU. Meanwhile Miami is 11-1 SU as the favorite the past few seasons.

With the Dolphins favored by 3 points, let’s look at both sides.

Dolphins Chargers Pick: Odds LA +3, Total 53.5 | Matchup Stats

WHY THE DOLPHINS WILL COVER

They’re quite simply the much better team (eighth in DVOA compared to 26th for Los Angeles), and the loss to San Francisco might have been an aberration for a team that had won five in a row.

WHY THE CHARGERS WILL COVER

Miami’s in the midst of a brutal road trip and the injuries have stacked up. The Bolts getting a field goal plus a hook at home might be pushing it.

DOLPHINS CHARGERS PICK

Miami looks pretty worn down right now and this is a huge home spot for the Chargers. They’ll at least keep it within a field goal, if not win outright.

Miami Chargers Anytime TD Props

Mike Williams +190

Williams is back healthy after battling an ankle injury. He is Herbert’s go-to target in the red zone.

Trent Sherfield +410

He has two touchdowns in his last three games.

Dolphins Chargers Betting Trends

UNDER is 15-2 past 17 meetings of Dolphins and Chargers

Chargers are 13-3 SU&ATS in their last 16 games played in Week 14.

Dolphins are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games as the favorite.

Dolphins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against LA Chargers.

Chargers have lost 5 straight as dogs and 4-15 SU in their last 19 games catching points

Dolphins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games played in Week 14 (including 5 straight)